Stoney Burke Co-Ed Varsity

HostBerkeley
Date10/09/2021
TypeNOT ALLOWED Interconference
BoatFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	University of Hawaii	Rainbows	29	41	70
2	University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 2	65	34	99
3	California Maritime Academy	Keelhaulers	49	53	102
4	University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 1	65	38	103
5	Cal Poly University S.L.O.	Mustangs	53	67	120
6	University of California at San Diego	Tritons	67	72	139
7	University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins	66	79	145
8	University of California at Berkeley	Bears	103	42	145
9	University of Southern California	Trojans	37	115	152
10	University of California at Santa Cruz	Banana Slugs	69	107	176
11	University of Washington	Huskies	87	100	187
12	California State University Long Beach	49ers	126	96	222
13	University of California at Davis	Aggies	132	94	226
14	California State University Monterey Bay	Otters	130	134	264
15	San Diego State University	Aztecs	126	141	267

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
University of Hawaii	Rainbows	5	4	1	2	2	4	3	4	1	3	29	Bastien Rasse '23 Devon Stapleton '22
University of Southern California	Trojans	4	1	4	9	1	1	7	1	8	1	37	Joseph Hou '22 Rachel Leipold '22
California Maritime Academy	Keelhaulers	1	2	6	1	12	10	2	3	4	8	49	Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21 Casey Tolan '23
Cal Poly University S.L.O.	Mustangs	3	13	3	4	4	3	6	6	9	2	53	Kai Ponting '23 Peyton Nienaber '22
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 2	2	10	5	7	3	8	11	9	5	5	65	Jake Zieba '22 Kate Gallagher '25
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 1	10	3	12	5	OCS	2	5	5	3	4	65	David Alexander '23 Julia Roudebush '23
University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins	8	5	8	6	9	5	1	8	10	6	66	Gideon Burnes Heath '23 Mary Jane Howland '22
University of California at San Diego	Tritons	6	9	2	3	8	9	8	10	2	10	67	Nicholas Dorn '22 Sebastien Franck '23
University of California at Santa Cruz	Banana Slugs	7	8	9	8	6	6	4	7	7	7	69	Aitor Iriso '21 [1-10] Burleigh Charlton '23 [1-6] Lola Rao '24 [7-10]
University of Washington	Huskies	11	7	7	11	11	12	9	2	6	11	87	Samuel Delasanta '24 Aidan Kemper '23
University of California at Berkeley	Bears	9	6	11	OCS	5	7	14	14	12	9	103	Luc Lamontagne '22 Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22
California State University Long Beach	49ers	13	11	10	10	DNF	11	12	15	13	15	126	Devon Kurisu '23 Luna Fernandez '23
San Diego State University	Aztecs	15	14	14	12	7	13	15	11	11	14	126	Casey Gignac '22 Morgan Burton '23
California State University Monterey Bay	Otters	12	12	15	14	10	15	13	12	15	12	130	Caila Devlin '23 [1-2, 5-6] Liam Patrick '22 [3-4, 7-10] Aaron Helfgott '23 [1-2, 5-6] Violet Delgado '25 [3-4, 7-10]
University of California at Davis	Aggies	14	15	13	13	13	14	10	13	14	13	132	Jonah Brees '23 Sarah Puts '22

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 2	5	4	3	4	5	1	7	2	1	2	34	Ted Mcdonough '25 Joshua Pelletier '24
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 1	1	1	5	3	OCS	2	1	1	5	3	38	Lukas Kraak '23 Grace Forgea '25
University of Hawaii	Rainbows	4	2	7	1	2	3	13	3	2	4	41	Owen Lahr '23 [1-6] Samuel Patton '22 [7-10] Frances Tarpey-Schwed '23 [1-6] Sam Kimmel '24 [7-10]
University of California at Berkeley	Bears	2	6	1	6	1	4	5	5	7	5	42	Will Cornell '25 Beck Boyea '24
California Maritime Academy	Keelhaulers	3	5	2	2	OCS	5	8	7	4	1	53	Kyle Collins '23 Justin Zmina '23
Cal Poly University S.L.O.	Mustangs	6	3	8	10	7	12	2	6	3	10	67	Max Case '24 Corey Quillen '22
University of California at San Diego	Tritons	10	7	4	5	4	7	9	9	8	9	72	Noah Barton '23 [1-10] Drake Coy '23 [1-8] Megan Saenz '22 [9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins	8	8	6	8	3	6	3	11	10	RAF	79	Ian Marshall '22 Emma Worthington '23
University of California at Davis	Aggies	9	11	11	12	8	8	4	8	12	11	94	Braedon Hansen '25 Bridget Barclay '23
California State University Long Beach	49ers	12	10	9	9	12	10	6	DNF	6	6	96	Max Schröder '22 Chelsea Inthavong '21
University of Washington	Huskies	11	12	13	7	OCS	9	11	4	9	8	100	Thomas Pentimonti '24 Duncan Weiner '24
University of California at Santa Cruz	Banana Slugs	13	14	10	11	6	11	10	12	13	7	107	Grant Gravallese '22 [1-6] Burleigh Charlton '23 [7-10] Kathryn Lewis '22 [1-6] Ryan Martin '23 [7-10]
University of Southern California	Trojans	7	9	14	14	9	13	12	10	11	DNF	115	Edward Ansart '24 John Hutchison '23
California State University Monterey Bay	Otters	14	13	12	13	11	14	14	13	14	DNF	134	Sasha Wilson '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Max Graves '22 [3-4, 7-8] Joshua Brooks '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
San Diego State University	Aztecs	15	15	15	15	10	15	15	14	15	12	141	Tegan Smith '24 [1-10] Beverly Schimmel '25 [1-6, 9-10] Nicholas Goldentuller '22 [7-8]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
University of California at Berkeley Bears	53	53	53	53	53	53	53	53	53	53
California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
California State University Long Beach 49ers	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
University of Hawaii Rainbows	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35
California State University Monterey Bay Otters	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
San Diego State University Aztecs	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
University of Southern California Trojans	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
University of California at Davis Aggies	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47
University of California at Los Angeles Bruins	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28
University of California at San Diego Tritons	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1	311	311	311	311	311	311	311	311	311	311
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31
University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34
University of Washington Huskies	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
University of California at Berkeley Bears	53	53	53	53	53	53	53	53	53	53
California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
California State University Long Beach 49ers	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
University of Hawaii Rainbows	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35
California State University Monterey Bay Otters	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
San Diego State University Aztecs	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
University of Southern California Trojans	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
University of California at Davis Aggies	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47
University of California at Los Angeles Bruins	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28
University of California at San Diego Tritons	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1	311	311	311	311	311	311	311	311	311	311
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31
University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34
University of Washington Huskies	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Cal Poly University S.L.O.	Kai Ponting '23	Peyton Nienaber '22
Mustangs	Max Case '24	Corey Quillen '22
California Maritime Academy	Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21	Casey Tolan '23
Keelhaulers	Kyle Collins '23	Justin Zmina '23
California State University Long Beach	Devon Kurisu '23	Luna Fernandez '23
49ers	Max Schröder '22	Chelsea Inthavong '21
California State University Monterey Bay	Caila Devlin '23 [1-2, 5-6] Liam Patrick '22 [3-4, 7-10]	Aaron Helfgott '23 [1-2, 5-6] Violet Delgado '25 [3-4, 7-10]
Otters	Sasha Wilson '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Max Graves '22 [3-4, 7-8]	Joshua Brooks '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
San Diego State University	Casey Gignac '22	Morgan Burton '23
Aztecs	Tegan Smith '24 [1-10]	Beverly Schimmel '25 [1-6, 9-10] Nicholas Goldentuller '22 [7-8]
University of California at Berkeley	Luc Lamontagne '22	Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22
Bears	Will Cornell '25	Beck Boyea '24
University of California at Davis	Jonah Brees '23	Sarah Puts '22
Aggies	Braedon Hansen '25	Bridget Barclay '23
University of California at Los Angeles	Gideon Burnes Heath '23	Mary Jane Howland '22
Bruins	Ian Marshall '22	Emma Worthington '23
University of California at San Diego	Nicholas Dorn '22	Sebastien Franck '23
Tritons	Noah Barton '23 [1-10]	Drake Coy '23 [1-8] Megan Saenz '22 [9-10]
University of California at Santa Barbara	David Alexander '23	Julia Roudebush '23
Gauchos 1	Lukas Kraak '23	Grace Forgea '25
University of California at Santa Barbara	Jake Zieba '22	Kate Gallagher '25
Gauchos 2	Ted Mcdonough '25	Joshua Pelletier '24
University of California at Santa Cruz	Aitor Iriso '21 [1-10]	Burleigh Charlton '23 [1-6] Lola Rao '24 [7-10]
Banana Slugs	Grant Gravallese '22 [1-6] Burleigh Charlton '23 [7-10]	Kathryn Lewis '22 [1-6] Ryan Martin '23 [7-10]
University of Hawaii	Bastien Rasse '23	Devon Stapleton '22
Rainbows	Owen Lahr '23 [1-6] Samuel Patton '22 [7-10]	Frances Tarpey-Schwed '23 [1-6] Sam Kimmel '24 [7-10]
University of Southern California	Joseph Hou '22	Rachel Leipold '22
Trojans	Edward Ansart '24	John Hutchison '23
University of Washington	Samuel Delasanta '24	Aidan Kemper '23
Huskies	Thomas Pentimonti '24	Duncan Weiner '24

Conditions — 10/09/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 51% · Pressure 1021.6 hPa

Temperature

65°F

↑ 72°F ↓ 52°F

Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.7 kn

avg · max 6.2 kn

Gusts to 16.9 kn

From N (1°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1021.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Berkeley: a typical day (−0.01)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02

Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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