University of Washington '24
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.28 (fleet 1.78) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 5–9 (36%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 4–1 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 1 | 1–8 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 5–9 against 6.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-29 | Island Cup | skipper | 1.52 | 0.60 | 4–1 | 4.5 | −0.92 | 0.4 | 93% |
| 2022-04-08 | Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.32 | 0.24 | 1–8 | 2.1 | −1.08 | 0.8 | 94% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | B | 8 | 6.0 | 0.86 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| North/North | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.8 | 2.25 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC South Designate Semis | Skipper | B | 5 | 8.6 | -0.51 |
| Island Cup | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| North/North | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.1 | 2.29 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC South Designate | Skipper | B | 10 | 7.1 | 2.13 |
| Mark Healy PCCSC Open Conference Championship | Skipper | A | 4 | 10.0 | 1.90 |
| NWICSA Championships | Skipper | B | 4 | 2.0 | 0.55 |
| Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | A | 12 | 7.1 | 2.51 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke Co-Ed Varsity | Skipper | B | 9 | 9.3 | 0.76 |
| Outlaw Regatta | Skipper | A | 4 | 1.0 | — |
| Frosh/Soph | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.8 | 0.83 |
| Cascadia Cup (Varsity) | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.1 | 2.13 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Thomas Pentimonti |  Bellarmine Preparatory School |
'20 |
| ISSA | Thomas Pentimonti |  Charles Wright Academy |
'20 |
| ISSA | Thomas Pentimonti |  Stadium High School |
'20 |
| ISSA | Thomas Pentimonti |  Science and Math Institute |
'20 |
| ISSA | Thomas Pentimonti |  Gig Harbor High School |
'20 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
