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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 27 36 63
2 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 46 23 69
3 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 42 40 82
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 50 52 102
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 37 71 108
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 41 73 114
7 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 96 43 139
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 63 84 147
9 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 74 82 156
10 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 77 94 171
11 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 111 66 177
12 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 73 116 189
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 115 78 193
14 Vikings Vikings Vikings 117 116 233
15 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 115 131 246
16 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 140 119 259
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 1 10 2 1 4 1 5 2 27 Tyler Nolasco '23 [1-9]
Christa Robertson '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Kurtis Johnston '26 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 2 5 8 5 6 6 3 1 1 37 Thomas Pentimonti '24 [1-9]
William Gilfoil '23 [1-6]
Duncan Weiner '24 [7-9]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 6 7 5 6 2 3 4 3 5 41 Dalton Lovett '25 [1-9]
Eric Newell '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Calvin Blaser '25 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 8 3 2 3 4 2 7 9 4 42 Zackery Martin '23
Carrie Narbutis '26
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 3 9 7 7 3 1 2 8 6 46 Nelson Fretenburg '25
Nicole Eastman '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 4 4 3 4 8 14 8 2 3 50 Erin Pamplin '24 [1-4, 7-9]
Lauren Mcclintock '25 [5-6]
Grace Smith '24 [1-4, 7-9]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 11 6 4 1 13 8 6 7 7 63 Kira Blumhagen '24 [1-9]
Ella Barnard '24 [1-4]
Aliyah Dodge '25 [5-9]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 7 8 1 13 7 11 11 6 9 73 Emily Avey '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Dylan Murphy '26 [3-4, 7-9]
Aidan Clark '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Avey '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 9 2 9 11 5 7 9 12 10 74 Liam Brinton '22 [1-2, 7-9]
Ethan Wickman '25 [3-6]
Khalia Mork '26 [1-2, 7-9]
Stella Doehring '25 [3-6]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 10 10 14 12 9 5 5 4 8 77 Nathan Lemke '25
Guillaume Claude '22
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 5 11 16 9 10 10 14 10 11 96 Ilya Sharikov '23
Michelle Martindale '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 14 16 6 8 14 13 15 13 12 111 Maclain Walsworth '28
Liam Bonnoe '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 13 15 13 10 15 12 10 14 13 115 Caroline Hurley '25 [1-9]
Piper Easton '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Amy Chookiatsirichai '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 15 14 12 15 12 9 13 11 14 115 Matthew Lindburg '25 [1-9]
Soren Althoff '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Cole Baldwin '26 [3-4, 7-9]
Vikings Vikings Vikings 12 12 11 14 11 15 12 15 15 117
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 16 13 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 140 Jack Rector '23
Hugh Atkinson '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 5 4 2 1 4 1 3 2 1 23 Gavin Adams '23
Emelie Lustig '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 4 7 4 3 1 4 2 1 10 36 Leopold Sabharwal '25
Maya Giss '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 7 1 1 8 6 7 5 3 2 40 Maxwell Miller '25
Luke Jouflas '25
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 1 3 6 7 2 6 6 8 4 43 Maya Gray '26
Anna Schroeder '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 13 5 6 3 8 4 5 6 52 Jaden Unruh '26
Julia Oglevie '26
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 11 14 3 2 9 5 12 7 3 66 Bailey Logan '26
Nathan Reinheimer '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 3 10 13 11 7 11 1 4 11 71 Virginia Higgins '26 [1-9]
Kaia Armas '25 [1-4, 7-9]
Joseph Cawthorne '23 [5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 12 5 12 9 5 9 7 6 8 73 Cooper Snell '24
Bayard Johnson '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 6 2 8 13 11 2 11 12 13 78 Nathan Gerber '26 [1-9]
Carolyn Harmon '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Kerry Wier '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 10 8 7 4 13 16 10 9 5 82 Marty Weigel '25
Elisabeth Grace Diemer '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 13 6 11 5 10 3 16 13 7 84 Anna Morrow '24 [1-9]
Aliyah Dodge '25 [1-2]
Julia Grams '24 [3-4]
Ella Barnard '24 [5-9]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 9 12 9 12 8 13 8 11 12 94 Ethan Lowenthal '25
Sofya Sharikova '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 14 9 15 10 12 15 13 14 14 116 Sadie Creemer '25 [1-2, 5-6]
John Kish '23 [3-4, 7-9]
Talia Mintz '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Matyas '23 [3-4, 7-9]
Vikings Vikings Vikings 16 16 10 15 14 12 9 15 9 116
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 8 15 16 16 15 10 14 10 15 119 Charlie German '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 15 11 14 14 16 14 15 16 16 131 Malcolm Duncan Graves '24
Tess Schornack '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737373737373737373
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers757575757575757575
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1909090909090909090
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2919191919191919191
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 3929292929292929292
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 4878787878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 5888888888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737373737373737373
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers757575757575757575
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1909090909090909090
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2919191919191919191
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 3929292929292929292
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 4878787878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 5888888888888888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oregon State University Oregon State University Liam Brinton '22 [1-2, 7-9]
Ethan Wickman '25 [3-6]		 Khalia Mork '26 [1-2, 7-9]
Stella Doehring '25 [3-6]
Beavers Marty Weigel '25 Elisabeth Grace Diemer '26
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Nelson Fretenburg '25 Nicole Eastman '23
UBC Thunderbirds 1 Gavin Adams '23 Emelie Lustig '26
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Jack Rector '23 Hugh Atkinson '23
UBC Thunderbirds 2 Charlie German '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Emily Avey '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Dylan Murphy '26 [3-4, 7-9]		 Aidan Clark '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Avey '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Ducks Sadie Creemer '25 [1-2, 5-6]
John Kish '23 [3-4, 7-9]		 Talia Mintz '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Matyas '23 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Ilya Sharikov '23 Michelle Martindale '23
Vikes 1 Maya Gray '26 Anna Schroeder '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Nathan Lemke '25 Guillaume Claude '22
Vikes 2 Ethan Lowenthal '25 Sofya Sharikova '26
University of Victoria University of Victoria Maclain Walsworth '28 Liam Bonnoe '23
Vikes 3 Bailey Logan '26 Nathan Reinheimer '26
University of Washington University of Washington Zackery Martin '23 Carrie Narbutis '26
Huskies 1 Maxwell Miller '25 Luke Jouflas '25
University of Washington University of Washington Erin Pamplin '24 [1-4, 7-9]
Lauren Mcclintock '25 [5-6]		 Grace Smith '24 [1-4, 7-9]
Huskies 2 Jaden Unruh '26 Julia Oglevie '26
University of Washington University of Washington Thomas Pentimonti '24 [1-9] William Gilfoil '23 [1-6]
Duncan Weiner '24 [7-9]
Huskies 3 Virginia Higgins '26 [1-9] Kaia Armas '25 [1-4, 7-9]
Joseph Cawthorne '23 [5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Tyler Nolasco '23 [1-9] Christa Robertson '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Kurtis Johnston '26 [3-4, 7-9]
Vikings 1 Leopold Sabharwal '25 Maya Giss '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Kira Blumhagen '24 [1-9] Ella Barnard '24 [1-4]
Aliyah Dodge '25 [5-9]
Vikings 2 Anna Morrow '24 [1-9] Aliyah Dodge '25 [1-2]
Julia Grams '24 [3-4]
Ella Barnard '24 [5-9]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Dalton Lovett '25 [1-9] Eric Newell '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Calvin Blaser '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Vikings 3 Cooper Snell '24 Bayard Johnson '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Caroline Hurley '25 [1-9] Piper Easton '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Amy Chookiatsirichai '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Vikings 4 Malcolm Duncan Graves '24 Tess Schornack '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Matthew Lindburg '25 [1-9] Soren Althoff '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Cole Baldwin '26 [3-4, 7-9]
Vikings 5 Nathan Gerber '26 [1-9] Carolyn Harmon '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Kerry Wier '25 [3-4, 7-9]

Conditions — 11/05/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1021.6 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From S (172°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1021.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 4 kn · S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →