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Cascadia Cup (Varsity)

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 13 17 30
2 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 17 17 34
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 25 26 51
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 31 22 53
5 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 45 39 84
6 Vikings Vikings Vikings 40 49 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 4 2 1 1 2 1 13 Aragorn Crozier '24
Aidan Kemper '23
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 2 17 Erin Pamplin '24
Amelia Kau '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 4 2 1 3 5 4 3 25 Niko Twilla '21
Cooper Snell '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 4 3 1 5 4 3 6 5 31 Anna Morrow '23
Fiona Mcbride '21
Vikings Vikings Vikings 6 6 6 4 5 4 3 6 40
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 5 5 5 DNF DNS DNS 5 4 45 Ella Notdurft '25
Katy Priest '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 1 2 2 4 3 3 1 1 17 Emily Smith '25
Maya Outhred '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 17 Thomas Pentimonti '24
Duncan Weiner '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 3 3 5 3 2 2 2 2 22 Kira Blumhagen '24
Ella Barnard '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 4 2 4 4 3 3 26 Tyler Nolasco '23
Kevin Hicks '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 5 6 3 5 5 5 5 5 39 Emily Avey '25
Aidan Clark '24
Vikings Vikings Vikings 6 5 6 6 6 6 DNS DNS 49
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
VikingsVikings Vikings88888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women11111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings22222222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
VikingsVikings Vikings88888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women11111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings22222222

Conditions — 10/16/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1006.1 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 14.3 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From SW (227°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover65% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1006.1 hPa Rain0.45 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn · NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.43 ± 0.33)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →