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Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 39 30 69
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 49 22 71
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 33 84 117
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team 71 58 129
5 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 74 61 135
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 68 68 136
7 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 92 86 178
8 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 85 110 195
9 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 145 77 222
10 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 133 107 240
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 86 155 241
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 98 174 272
13 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 149 135 284
14 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 177 134 311
15 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 150 169 319
16 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 183 162 345
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 1 4 6 4 2 1 4 1 1 3 5 33 Joseph Hou '22
Rachel Leipold '22
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 4 3 2 3 1 1 4 3 3 9 5 1 39 Bastien Rasse '23
Devon Stapleton '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 2 1 7 2 6 3 2 2 5 4 8 49 Alex Bowdler '22
Frances Donahoe '24
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 3 5 9 9 3 9 6 5 7 3 7 2 68 Trey Summers '24
Taylor Ledgerwood '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team 2 10 8 1 10 8 7 6 5 10 1 3 71 Pearl Lattanzi '23 [1-12]
Charlotte Martinez '23 [1-8]
Caelan Haddock '25 [9-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 8 9 3 2 6 10 5 10 4 6 2 9 74 Mercy Tangredi '25
Kelsie Grant '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 6 12 5 8 4 11 11 9 4 6 4 85 Thomas Pentimonti '24
Duncan Weiner '24
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 9 4 5 4 9 7 2 1 11 8 14 12 86 Nicholas Dorn '22 [1-8]
Noah Barton '23 [9-12]
Sebastien Franck '23 [1-8]
Drake Coy '23 [9-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 13 8 6 10 5 11 9 7 6 2 9 6 92 Hayden Lahr '22
Jemma Baird '22
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6 7 10 8 7 3 8 8 10 13 8 10 98 Kai Ponting '23
Corey Quillen '22
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 10 13 7 12 14 12 12 9 8 12 11 13 133 Ian Marshall '22
Emma Worthington '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 12 14 13 11 11 5 13 16 13 11 15 11 145 Lucas Burzycki '23 [1-2, 7-10]
Maxwell Dodd '23 [3-6, 11-12]
Anna Stensland '22 [1-6]
Cece Nielsen '23 [7-12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 15 15 14 16 12 13 15 13 12 7 10 7 149 Jonah Brees '23 [1-8]
Braedon Hansen '25 [9-12]
Lily Cuyler '23 [1-8]
Sarah Puts '22 [9-12]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 11 11 11 13 13 14 10 12 14 14 13 14 150 Enzo Cremers '24 [1-12]
Jessica Stewart '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ethan Lisle '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 14 12 16 14 16 15 14 14 15 15 16 16 177 Connor Lothrop '24 [1-12]
Elizabeth Harrington '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Benjamin Garretson '24 [3-4, 9-12]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 16 16 15 15 15 16 16 15 16 16 12 15 183 Grant Gravallese '22
Kathryn Lewis '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 1 1 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 22 Peter Cronin '22
Caroline Mcneil '22
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 1 3 4 1 2 8 1 2 2 2 2 2 30 Samuel Patton '22
Sam Kimmel '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team 2 5 5 5 5 3 5 6 6 9 3 4 58 Molly Hanrahan '22
Hannah Mailey '25
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 4 6 6 2 4 4 4 5 5 8 5 8 61 Morgan Carew '25
Anna Kalabukhova '24
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 10 10 3 4 1 5 9 8 4 4 7 3 68 Theodore Knobel '25 [1-8]
Nikhil Stewart '25 [9-12]
Lily Simpson '24 [1-8]
Kees Horn '25 [9-10]
Annie Stevens '24 [11-12]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 2 2 9 6 7 7 3 3 10 11 11 77 Tyler Nolasco '23
Cooper Snell '23
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 7 9 9 13 7 1 3 7 9 6 4 9 84 Edward Ansart '24
John Hutchison '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 3 7 7 6 9 6 8 9 7 3 9 12 86 Frances Tarpey-Schwed '23
Chloe Long '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 13 4 14 7 10 12 6 4 10 5 12 10 107 Jacob Matiyevsky '23
Tess Mcmullin '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 9 8 8 8 12 9 10 12 11 11 6 6 110 Emily Smith '25 [1-6, 11-12]
Zackery Martin '23 [7-8]
Samuel Delasanta '24 [9-10]
Henry Stier '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Samuel Delasanta '24 [3-4, 11-12]
Emily Smith '25 [7-8]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 8 12 10 11 15 10 13 11 15 14 10 5 134 Hannah Mercurio '24 [1-12]
Kieran Mcmahon '22 [1-2, 5-10]
Helen Bechler '22 [3-4, 11-12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 14 13 15 11 16 11 13 8 7 8 7 135 Grace Chitouras '22 [1-6]
Nathaniel Holden '25 [7-12]
Shanay Patel '22 [1-6]
Bridget Barclay '23 [7-12]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 14 11 11 14 8 14 14 16 13 12 13 15 155 Jonathan Hickey '23 [1-8]
Megan Saenz '22 [9-12]
Annaclaire Rogness '22 [1-8]
Jessica Dally '22 [9-12]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 11 16 15 12 13 13 15 10 12 16 16 13 162 Ryan Martin '23
Karl Zoghbi '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 15 13 16 10 16 11 16 14 16 13 15 14 169 John Cornet '22 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Adrien Stroumza '23 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]
Adrien Stroumza '23 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
John Cornet '22 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 16 15 12 16 14 15 12 15 14 15 14 16 174 Jack Kelly '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Jeffrey Romeo '22 [3-4, 7-10]
Chris Haugen '22 [11-12]
Chris Haugen '22 [1-4, 7-8]
Jeffrey Romeo '22 [5-6]
Jack Kelly '22 [9-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears446688101012121414
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs11335577991111
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black991111131315151133
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green10101212141416162244
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine111113131515113355
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White121214141616224466
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team3355779911111313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks2244668810101212
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1313151511335577
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies557799111113131515
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins66881010121214141616
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons779911111313151511
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs88101012121414161622
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1414161622446688
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies15151133557799
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1616224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears557799111113131515
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs2244668810101212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black10101212141416162244
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green111113131515113355
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine121214141616224466
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White1313151511335577
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team446688101012121414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks3355779911111313
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1414161622446688
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies66881010121214141616
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins779911111313151511
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons88101012121414161622
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs991111131315151133
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos15151133557799
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1616224466881010
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Kai Ponting '23 Corey Quillen '22
Mustangs Jack Kelly '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Jeffrey Romeo '22 [3-4, 7-10]
Chris Haugen '22 [11-12]		 Chris Haugen '22 [1-4, 7-8]
Jeffrey Romeo '22 [5-6]
Jack Kelly '22 [9-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Pearl Lattanzi '23 [1-12] Charlotte Martinez '23 [1-8]
Caelan Haddock '25 [9-12]
Seahawk Women's Team Molly Hanrahan '22 Hannah Mailey '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Alex Bowdler '22 Frances Donahoe '24
Seahawks Peter Cronin '22 Caroline Mcneil '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Enzo Cremers '24 [1-12] Jessica Stewart '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ethan Lisle '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Bears John Cornet '22 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Adrien Stroumza '23 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]		 Adrien Stroumza '23 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
John Cornet '22 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jonah Brees '23 [1-8]
Braedon Hansen '25 [9-12]		 Lily Cuyler '23 [1-8]
Sarah Puts '22 [9-12]
Aggies Grace Chitouras '22 [1-6]
Nathaniel Holden '25 [7-12]		 Shanay Patel '22 [1-6]
Bridget Barclay '23 [7-12]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Ian Marshall '22 Emma Worthington '23
Bruins Jacob Matiyevsky '23 Tess Mcmullin '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicholas Dorn '22 [1-8]
Noah Barton '23 [9-12]		 Sebastien Franck '23 [1-8]
Drake Coy '23 [9-12]
Tritons Jonathan Hickey '23 [1-8]
Megan Saenz '22 [9-12]		 Annaclaire Rogness '22 [1-8]
Jessica Dally '22 [9-12]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Grant Gravallese '22 Kathryn Lewis '22
Banana Slugs Ryan Martin '23 Karl Zoghbi '22
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Bastien Rasse '23 Devon Stapleton '23
Rainbow Black Samuel Patton '22 Sam Kimmel '24
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Trey Summers '24 Taylor Ledgerwood '23
Rainbow Green Theodore Knobel '25 [1-8]
Nikhil Stewart '25 [9-12]		 Lily Simpson '24 [1-8]
Kees Horn '25 [9-10]
Annie Stevens '24 [11-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Mercy Tangredi '25 Kelsie Grant '23
Rainbow Wahine Morgan Carew '25 Anna Kalabukhova '24
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Hayden Lahr '22 Jemma Baird '22
Rainbow White Frances Tarpey-Schwed '23 Chloe Long '23
University of Southern California University of Southern California Joseph Hou '22 Rachel Leipold '22
Trojans Edward Ansart '24 John Hutchison '23
University of Virginia University of Virginia Connor Lothrop '24 [1-12] Elizabeth Harrington '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Benjamin Garretson '24 [3-4, 9-12]
Wahoos Hannah Mercurio '24 [1-12] Kieran Mcmahon '22 [1-2, 5-10]
Helen Bechler '22 [3-4, 11-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Thomas Pentimonti '24 Duncan Weiner '24
Huskies Emily Smith '25 [1-6, 11-12]
Zackery Martin '23 [7-8]
Samuel Delasanta '24 [9-10]		 Henry Stier '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Samuel Delasanta '24 [3-4, 11-12]
Emily Smith '25 [7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Lucas Burzycki '23 [1-2, 7-10]
Maxwell Dodd '23 [3-6, 11-12]		 Anna Stensland '22 [1-6]
Cece Nielsen '23 [7-12]
Vikings Tyler Nolasco '23 Cooper Snell '23

Conditions — 01/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1015.6 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From SW (227°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover40% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1015.6 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn* · S 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.24 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →