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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 15 19 34
2 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 26 38 64
3 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 31 47 78
4 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 49 39 88
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 72 41 113
6 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 71 59 130
7 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 55 91 146
8 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 64 86 150
9 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 96 62 158
10 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 87 94 181
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 91 94 185
12 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 117 76 193
13 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 80 120 200
14 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 112 117 229
15 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 140 105 245
16 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 119 148 267
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 2 3 1 3 1 1 1 1 15 Storm Brown '20
Bennett Zemke '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 5 3 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 26 Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Avery Burke '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 1 5 5 5 1 4 2 2 6 31 Erika Barth '16
Chieko Imai '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 6 1 4 6 4 3 6 DSQ 2 49 Timothy Zimmermann '19 [1-9]
Ricardo López '19 [1-6]
Julia Jaynes '19 [7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 4 12 7 13 5 4 3 4 55 Kai Ponting '23 [1-9]
Robyn Zulauf '20 [1-3, 7-9]
Ellie Bonnie '22 [4-6]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 11 10 2 4 9 6 8 7 7 64 Gillian Dean '19
Erik Hallback '21
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 4 7 7 15 10 10 7 6 5 71 James Letchinger '20 [1-9]
Jodie Jacobs '20 [1-3, 7-9]
An Lee Johnson '22 [4-6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 7 11 10 3 5 8 9 11 8 72 Josefina Ruggieri '21
Sophia Zaleski '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 10 9 6 11 7 13 5 10 9 80 Andrew Clements '17
Declan Dury '22
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 8 13 13 8 8 12 11 4 10 87 Jesse Campbell '19 [1-9]
Elijah Hong '22 [1-6]
Jessica Woodruff '21 [7-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 9 14 8 9 6 7 14 12 12 91 Daniel Vick '19
Nicole Berari '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 13 6 9 10 12 9 15 8 14 96 Parker Kulavic '22
Gabriel Bettner '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 15 15 14 12 11 11 10 13 11 112 Laura Jones '19
Michael Schmitz '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 14 8 16 16 15 14 12 9 13 117 Mckenna Roonan '21 [1-9]
Jay Tapadiya '21 [1-6]
Jessica Dally '22 [7-9]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 12 12 11 13 14 15 13 14 15 119 Samantha Gray '19
Andrew Grisham '21
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 16 16 15 14 16 16 16 15 16 140 Anthony El-Sokkary '20 [1-9]
Shanay Patel '22 [1-3, 7-9]
Isabel Kalogiannis '19 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 4 1 3 3 1 2 2 1 2 19 Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21
Mauricio Guzman '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 3 2 4 5 2 3 7 3 9 38 Augustus Doricko '22
Cameron Juybari '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 7 5 1 2 8 10 1 4 1 39 Julia Jaynes '19 [1-6]
Alex Demmler '19 [7-9]
Connor Kobel '19 [1-6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 5 4 7 4 3 1 4 9 4 41 Luc Lamontagne '22
Mia Campbell '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 2 8 13 1 5 4 5 2 7 47 Nicholas Dorn '22
Nicolas Brunk '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 6 12 8 8 4 8 3 7 3 59 Jayden Potter '21 [1-9]
Kasey Stoudt '20 [1-3, 7-9]
Lukas Schulze Balhorn '19 [4-6]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 10 7 2 11 6 7 9 5 5 62 Trevor Tuck '22 [1-9]
Christopher Nie '21 [1-4]
Maud Charlet '20 [5-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 11 3 5 6 9 6 11 10 15 76 Marie-Laure Golier '21 [1-6]
Alexander Bittner '19 [7-9]
Ellen Carlander '20 [1-6]
Jay Tapadiya '21 [7-9]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 1 9 12 10 11 9 10 12 12 86 Adam Wild '20 [1-6]
Charlotte Hinman '22 [7-9]
Kimberly Clemens '20 [1-3]
Krysten Emanuel Templin '20 [4-6]
Andrew Bittner '21 [7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 14 13 11 9 7 5 13 11 8 91 Sebastien Danthinne '22 [1-3, 7-9]
Matt Elliott '20 [4-6]
Chris Haugen '22 [1-3, 7-9]
Julie Ruiz '21 [4-6]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 9 10 10 12 13 12 14 8 6 94 Alexander Myers '22
Anthony Drabeck '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 15 6 6 7 10 11 15 13 11 94 Warren Ko '19
Julien Stroumza '21
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 13 14 15 13 14 14 6 6 10 105 Grace Chitouras '22 [1-6]
Sarah Puts '22 [7-9]
Sarah Puts '22 [1-3]
Conor White '20 [4-6]
Grace Chitouras '22 [7-9]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 8 11 9 DNF DNS DNS 8 14 16 117 Kevin Gates '27
Cynthia Kerby '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 12 15 14 14 12 13 12 15 13 120 Olivia Feito '22
Kaylena Mann '22
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 16 16 14 148 Joseph Presley '19
Jeffrey Zuidland '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs103103103103103103103103103
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1999999999
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2109109109109109109109109109
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 1777777777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 2888888888
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs151515151515151515
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1484848484848484848
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 1252525252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 2262626262626262626
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3301301301301301301301301301

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs103103103103103103103103103
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1999999999
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2109109109109109109109109109
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 1777777777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 2888888888
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs151515151515151515
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1484848484848484848
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 1252525252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 2262626262626262626
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3301301301301301301301301301
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Kai Ponting '23 [1-9] Robyn Zulauf '20 [1-3, 7-9]
Ellie Bonnie '22 [4-6]
Mustangs Sebastien Danthinne '22 [1-3, 7-9]
Matt Elliott '20 [4-6]		 Chris Haugen '22 [1-3, 7-9]
Julie Ruiz '21 [4-6]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Storm Brown '20 Bennett Zemke '19
Keelhaulers Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21 Mauricio Guzman '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Laura Jones '19 Michael Schmitz '22
Dolphins 1 Kevin Gates '27 Cynthia Kerby '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Andrew Clements '17 Declan Dury '22
Dolphins 2 Olivia Feito '22 Kaylena Mann '22
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Timothy Zimmermann '19 [1-9] Ricardo López '19 [1-6]
Julia Jaynes '19 [7-9]
49ers 1 Julia Jaynes '19 [1-6]
Alex Demmler '19 [7-9]		 Connor Kobel '19 [1-6]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Samantha Gray '19 Andrew Grisham '21
49ers 2 Joseph Presley '19 Jeffrey Zuidland '20
San Diego State University San Diego State University Gillian Dean '19 Erik Hallback '21
Aztecs Adam Wild '20 [1-6]
Charlotte Hinman '22 [7-9]		 Kimberly Clemens '20 [1-3]
Krysten Emanuel Templin '20 [4-6]
Andrew Bittner '21 [7-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Avery Burke '20
Bears 1 Augustus Doricko '22 Cameron Juybari '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Josefina Ruggieri '21 Sophia Zaleski '22
Bears 2 Luc Lamontagne '22 Mia Campbell '22
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis James Letchinger '20 [1-9] Jodie Jacobs '20 [1-3, 7-9]
An Lee Johnson '22 [4-6]
Aggies 1 Jayden Potter '21 [1-9] Kasey Stoudt '20 [1-3, 7-9]
Lukas Schulze Balhorn '19 [4-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Anthony El-Sokkary '20 [1-9] Shanay Patel '22 [1-3, 7-9]
Isabel Kalogiannis '19 [4-6]
Aggies 2 Grace Chitouras '22 [1-6]
Sarah Puts '22 [7-9]		 Sarah Puts '22 [1-3]
Conor White '20 [4-6]
Grace Chitouras '22 [7-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Parker Kulavic '22 Gabriel Bettner '22
Anteaters 1 Trevor Tuck '22 [1-9] Christopher Nie '21 [1-4]
Maud Charlet '20 [5-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Jesse Campbell '19 [1-9] Elijah Hong '22 [1-6]
Jessica Woodruff '21 [7-9]
Anteaters 2 Alexander Myers '22 Anthony Drabeck '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Erika Barth '16 Chieko Imai '20
Tritons 1 Nicholas Dorn '22 Nicolas Brunk '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Daniel Vick '19 Nicole Berari '19
Tritons 2 Warren Ko '19 Julien Stroumza '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Mckenna Roonan '21 [1-9] Jay Tapadiya '21 [1-6]
Jessica Dally '22 [7-9]
Tritons 3 Marie-Laure Golier '21 [1-6]
Alexander Bittner '19 [7-9]		 Ellen Carlander '20 [1-6]
Jay Tapadiya '21 [7-9]

Conditions — 03/09/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From SSW (207°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1016.3 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn · S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Irvine: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Irvine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at UC Irvine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →