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North Designate/St. Francis

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 21 13 34
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 22 14 36
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 20 19 39
4 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 42 29 71
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 39 34 73
6 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 25 48 73
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 25 49 74
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 37 43 80
9 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 47 65 112
10 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 67 56 123
11 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 73 56 129
12 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 70 61 131
13 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 79 80 159
14 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 92 MRP 70 162 MRP
15 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 92 84 176
16 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 85 95 180
17 Aztecs Aztecs Aztecs 128 MRP 128 MRP 256 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 3 2 1 7 6 20 Joseph Hou '22
Rachel Leipold '22
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 7 2 4 4 3 1 21 Bastien Rasse '23
Devon Stapleton '22
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 1 3 2 1 12 22 Justin Lim '23 [1-4]
Hannah Freeman '24 [5-6]
Abigail Tindall '23 [1-4]
Justin Lim '23 [5-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 9 1 8 2 3 25 Gideon Burnes Heath '23
Mary Jane Howland '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 5 6 3 4 2 25 Nicholas Dorn '22
Mufei Li '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6 4 5 5 10 7 37 Kai Ponting '23
Peyton Nienaber '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 7 8 7 5 8 39 David Alexander '23 [1-2]
Jasper Reid '25 [3-6]
Grace Forgea '25 [1-2]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 8 6 7 11 6 4 42 Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21
Garrett Wymer '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 10 8 9 6 9 5 47 Aitor Iriso '21
Burleigh Charlton '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 14 13 14 9 8 9 67 Kingsley Ehrich '23
Lindsea Hayes '22
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 9 12 13 12 11 13 70 Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-6]
Sophia Herrada '24 [1-4]
Thomas Norman '23 [5-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 13 11 11 10 14 14 73 Braedon Hansen '25
Cecilia Rothman-Salado '24
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 15 16 12 13 12 11 79 Amir Tadros '23
Leeann Burrows '23
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 12 10 16 16 16 15 85 Emily Avey '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sadie Creemer '25 [3-4]
Aidan Clark '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Kate Ryan '25 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 11 14 10 14 13 10 92 MRP Tyler Nolasco '23 [1-5]
Claire Jablonski '23 [6]
Cooper Snell '23 [1-5]
Matthew Lindburg '25 [6]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 16 15 15 15 15 16 92 Kaylena Mann '22
Brooke Rodgers '23
Aztecs Aztecs Aztecs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 128 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 2 2 5 1 2 13 Samuel Patton '22
Sam Kimmel '24
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 7 1 1 2 1 14 Hallie Schiffman '23 [1-6]
Lauren Taylor '24 [1-4]
Abigail Tindall '23 [5-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 1 4 4 3 4 19 Diya Correa '22
John Hutchison '23
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 3 7 3 4 6 29 Justin Zmina '23
Madeline Rivera '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 5 3 10 9 3 34 Ted Mcdonough '25
Joshua Pelletier '24
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 5 6 6 9 7 10 43 Max Case '24
Corey Quillen '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 15 9 5 2 5 12 48 Noah Barton '23
Drake Coy '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 8 10 11 6 6 8 49 Ian Marshall '22
Emma Worthington '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 4 9 11 12 11 56 Will Cornell '25 [1-2]
Mackenzie Berwick '22 [3-6]
Beck Boyea '24 [1-2]
Jessica Stewart '23 [3-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 8 13 7 11 5 56 Nathaniel Holden '25
Aryaman Patel '24
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 7 11 8 12 10 13 61 Theresa Mccomiskey '22 [1-4]
Reilly Linn '23 [5-6]
Warren Wegener '23 [1-4]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 11 15 10 14 8 7 65 Blake Roberts '25
Travis Ackermann '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 13 14 12 8 14 9 70 Tyler Nolasco '23 [1-5]
Claire Jablonski '23 [6]
Cooper Snell '23 [1-5]
Matthew Lindburg '25 [6]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 10 12 14 13 16 15 80 Nikita Swatek '25
Calli Genest '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 14 13 15 15 13 14 84 Olivia Feito '22 [1-6]
Rob Reigelman '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Joseph Silveira '24 [3-4]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 16 16 16 16 15 16 95 Quincy Spurlock '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Katy Priest '22 [3-4]
Kathryn Lance '24 [1-2, 5-6]
John Kish '23 [3-4]
Aztecs Aztecs Aztecs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 128 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers102102102102102102
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows353535353535
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks747474747474
AztecsAztecs Aztecs444444
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373737373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal212121212121
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns111111
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs343434343434
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings878787878787

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers102102102102102102
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows353535353535
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks747474747474
AztecsAztecs Aztecs444444
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373737373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal212121212121
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns111111
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs343434343434
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings878787878787
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Kai Ponting '23 Peyton Nienaber '22
Mustangs Max Case '24 Corey Quillen '22
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21 Garrett Wymer '22
Keelhaulers Justin Zmina '23 Madeline Rivera '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Kaylena Mann '22 Brooke Rodgers '23
Dolphins Olivia Feito '22 [1-6] Rob Reigelman '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Joseph Silveira '24 [3-4]
Stanford University Stanford University Justin Lim '23 [1-4]
Hannah Freeman '24 [5-6]		 Abigail Tindall '23 [1-4]
Justin Lim '23 [5-6]
Cardinal Hallie Schiffman '23 [1-6] Lauren Taylor '24 [1-4]
Abigail Tindall '23 [5-6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kingsley Ehrich '23 Lindsea Hayes '22
Bears Will Cornell '25 [1-2]
Mackenzie Berwick '22 [3-6]		 Beck Boyea '24 [1-2]
Jessica Stewart '23 [3-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Braedon Hansen '25 Cecilia Rothman-Salado '24
Aggies Nathaniel Holden '25 Aryaman Patel '24
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Amir Tadros '23 Leeann Burrows '23
Anteaters Nikita Swatek '25 Calli Genest '22
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Gideon Burnes Heath '23 Mary Jane Howland '22
Bruins Ian Marshall '22 Emma Worthington '23
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicholas Dorn '22 Mufei Li '25
Tritons Noah Barton '23 Drake Coy '23
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara David Alexander '23 [1-2]
Jasper Reid '25 [3-6]		 Grace Forgea '25 [1-2]
Gauchos Ted Mcdonough '25 Joshua Pelletier '24
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Aitor Iriso '21 Burleigh Charlton '23
Banana Slugs Blake Roberts '25 Travis Ackermann '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Bastien Rasse '23 Devon Stapleton '22
Rainbows Samuel Patton '22 Sam Kimmel '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Emily Avey '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sadie Creemer '25 [3-4]		 Aidan Clark '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Kate Ryan '25 [3-4]
Ducks Quincy Spurlock '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Katy Priest '22 [3-4]		 Kathryn Lance '24 [1-2, 5-6]
John Kish '23 [3-4]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Joseph Hou '22 Rachel Leipold '22
Trojans Diya Correa '22 John Hutchison '23
University of Texas University of Texas Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-6] Sophia Herrada '24 [1-4]
Thomas Norman '23 [5-6]
Longhorns Theresa Mccomiskey '22 [1-4]
Reilly Linn '23 [5-6]		 Warren Wegener '23 [1-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Tyler Nolasco '23 [1-5]
Claire Jablonski '23 [6]		 Cooper Snell '23 [1-5]
Matthew Lindburg '25 [6]
Vikings Tyler Nolasco '23 [1-5]
Claire Jablonski '23 [6]		 Cooper Snell '23 [1-5]
Matthew Lindburg '25 [6]

Conditions — 04/02/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From WSW (242°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1016.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cal Maritime: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cal Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Cal Maritime: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →