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2019 Rose Bowl Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 15 30 45
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 38 27 65
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 43 37 80
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 65 79 144
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 68 80 148
6 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 63 92 155
7 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 88 71 159
8 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 76 89 165
9 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 112 53 165
10 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 84 98 182
11 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 105 79 184
12 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 116 124 240
13 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 123 118 241
14 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 119 142 261
15 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 118 151 269
16 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 207 67 274
17 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 168 MRP 108 MRP 276 MRP
18 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 158 MRP 144 MRP 302 MRP
19 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 162 157 319
20 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 162 176 338
21 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 172 191 363
22 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 198 196 394
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 1 7 1 1 1 1 1 15 Andy Reiter '19
Gwynie Dunlevy '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 4 6 1 2 3 2 2 14 38 Liam Mccarthy '19
Ashley Wagner '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 2 3 11 6 4 4 5 5 3 43 Lucas Pierce '21 [1-9]
Samantha Obel '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Robert Johnson '19 [3-6, 9]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 2 8 3 16 9 12 3 5 63 Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6, 8]
Brock Paquin '22 [3-4, 7, 9]
Andrew Butler '22 [1-2, 5-6, 8]
Hailey Thompson '22 [3-4, 7, 9]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 10 5 4 BKD 12 3 9 8 65 Mark Davies '20 [1-9]
Lillian Nemeth '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Will Davies '22 [3-6, 9]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 11 14 4 2 5 6 4 12 10 68 Connor Ratcliff '21
Caroline Puckette '20
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 9 6 10 17 8 5 10 4 7 76 Aitana Mendiguren '20 [1-4]
Cameron Feves '22 [5-9]
Marie Line '19 [1-4]
Alexandra Fayer '19 [5-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 8 2 RAF 3 2 8 20 15 84 Nicholas Stefanoni '21
Camille Infurna '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 12 11 7 8 6 11 15 14 4 88 Madeline Kraus '20
Elizabeth Moody '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 13 16 9 18 12 8 16 7 6 105 Ben Brough '19
Helen Payne '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 10 17 16 10 19 19 11 8 2 112 Andrew Scotti '20
Kaitlyn Delisser '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 6 12 15 11 11 14 19 10 18 116 Alex Demmler '19
Kaela Riha '19
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 19 5 18 14 17 10 13 13 9 118 Connor Hughes '19
Maddie Tutton '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 18 7 13 12 10 15 17 15 12 119 Leah Ford '19
Hallie Muller '20
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 16 18 12 9 9 13 18 11 17 123 Alexander Hankins '22
Bailey Miller '21
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 14 13 17 15 18 20 6 19 16 158 MRP Jayden Potter '21
Jenna Rutledge '19
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 20 20 21 19 20 17 9 17 19 162 Robbie Culkin '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Bennett Dorsey '22 [3-6, 9]
Charis Todd '18 [1-2, 5-9]
Megan Conrad '22 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 21 21 14 DNF 13 21 20 16 13 162 Niko Twilla '21 [1-9]
Julia Soes '21 [1-6]
Emily Hammond '20 [7-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 17 15 19 13 15 16 14 18 21 168 MRP James Melvin '19
Katherine Sonnenfeldt '20
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 15 19 20 16 21 18 21 22 20 172 Drake Baldwin '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Trevor Tuck '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Brandon Volpa '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 22 22 22 DNS 22 22 22 21 22 198 Haley Nadone '20 [1-4]
Carson Engle '20 [5-9]
Alyssa Ray '20 [1-2]
Cristina Port '20 [3-4]
Corbin Bendel '20 [5-6]
Mary Spearman '22 [7-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 207 Ansgar Jordan '22
Duke Saunders '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 2 1 1 1 1 7 2 8 27 Lewis Cooper '21
Kaisey Mccallion '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 1 2 7 3 3 6 5 1 30 Jack Reiter '22
Marley Mais '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 11 4 11 2 2 1 1 4 37 David Eastwood '22 [1-9]
Claire Hunt '19 [1-6]
Tristan Richmond '22 [7-9]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 12 9 3 2 8 6 4 7 2 53 Robert Turigliatto '22
Alex Sidi '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 7 6 3 9 7 8 17 7 67 Wells Drayton '21
Juliana Testa '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 8 6 9 8 7 5 16 9 3 71 Kerri Luttrell '21
Olivia Beers '21
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 5 12 11 6 4 9 3 18 11 79 Liam Hood '20
Alyson Crowley '20
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 16 4 5 5 11 11 2 20 5 79 Ryder Easterlin '20 [1-9]
Alyssa Larios '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Mitchell Moore '21 [3-4, 7-9]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 6 5 16 9 6 8 14 3 13 80 Sean Tallman '22
Joshua Cole '22
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 9 10 8 4 15 13 5 11 14 89 Soenke Jordan '21 [1-4]
John Deruff '21 [5-8]
Ryan Janov '22 [9]
Ryan Janov '22 [1-4]
Taylor Milefchik '22 [5-9]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 10 3 13 10 5 17 10 8 16 92 Benjamin Rohr '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [3-4]
Emi Stephanoff '21 [1-2, 5-6, 8-9]
Theodore Carter '20 [3-4, 7]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans BKD 8 7 12 17 10 9 15 9 98 Sarah Alexander '19
Sabrina Moreno '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 7 14 10 15 10 4 18 4 6 108 MRP Keelin Davis '21 [1-6]
Aitor Iriso '21 [7-9]
Aitor Iriso '21 [1-4]
Dylan Yong '21 [5-9]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies BKD BKD 17 19 13 14 13 6 10 118 Harrison Lack '22
Wes Sholders '21
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 17 13 15 14 14 12 15 12 12 124 Julia Jaynes '19
Connor Kobel '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 13 15 14 18 19 18 11 13 21 142 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Mary Jane Howland '22
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 11 17 12 16 12 16 12 10 18 144 MRP James Letchinger '20
Jodie Jacobs '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 14 16 20 17 16 15 17 16 20 151 Austin Hauter '21 [1, 3-9]
Ian Wolcott '20 [2]
Avery Wolf '21 [1, 3-9]
Claire Johnson '22 [2]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 20 18 18 13 18 19 20 14 17 157 Nikoline Alden '19 [1-9]
Emily Hammond '20 [1-4]
Hayley Rawden '20 [5-6]
Julia Soes '21 [7-8]
Niko Twilla '21 [9]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 19 20 19 21 20 20 19 19 19 176 Jay Weber '20 [1-9]
John Rzepczynski '21 [1-4, 7-9]
Daniel Gutierrez-Monge '22 [5-6]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 21 21 DNF DNF 22 22 DNF 21 15 191 Jesse Campbell '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Makayla Berndt '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Jessica Woodruff '21 [1-2]
Madeline Bachus '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Maud Charlet '20 [5-6, 9]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils DNS DNS 21 20 21 21 DNS BKD 22 196 Emelia Dolson '21 [1-2]
Filip Teoharevic '20 [3-4]
Riley Glascoe '22 [5-6]
Daniel Childress '22 [7-9]
Brianna Orrill '21 [1-2]
Ciara Harding '22 [3-4]
Katherine Pearson '22 [5-6]
Josh Blumenthal '21 [7-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils393911383813813819
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers113838138138191972
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs4477773737333331
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77447777373733
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons38381381381919727248
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials1371377744777737
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas13813819197272484827
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes7575767639391138
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats7070137137774477
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191972724848272732
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373733333131252574
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks71717070137137774
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies727248482727323275
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7474717170701371377
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies484827273232757576
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525747471717070137
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272732327575767639
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1313125257474717170
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 232327575767639391
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's333331312525747471
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies76763939113838138
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings777737373333313125

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils4477137137707071
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers771371377070717174
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs393976767575323227
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers1139397676757532
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons13713770707171747425
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials3838113939767675
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas707071717474252531
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes373777774477137
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats138138383811393976
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos717174742525313133
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans757532322727484872
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks191913813838381139
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies747425253131333337
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7272191913813838381
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies252531313333373777
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters48487272191913813838
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins31313333373777774
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 12727484872721919138
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2333337377777447
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's323227274848727219
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies7777447713713770
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings767675753232272748
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Haley Nadone '20 [1-4]
Carson Engle '20 [5-9]		 Alyssa Ray '20 [1-2]
Cristina Port '20 [3-4]
Corbin Bendel '20 [5-6]
Mary Spearman '22 [7-9]
Sun Devils Emelia Dolson '21 [1-2]
Filip Teoharevic '20 [3-4]
Riley Glascoe '22 [5-6]
Daniel Childress '22 [7-9]		 Brianna Orrill '21 [1-2]
Ciara Harding '22 [3-4]
Katherine Pearson '22 [5-6]
Josh Blumenthal '21 [7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Helen Payne '19
Mustangs Liam Hood '20 Alyson Crowley '20
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6, 8]
Brock Paquin '22 [3-4, 7, 9]		 Andrew Butler '22 [1-2, 5-6, 8]
Hailey Thompson '22 [3-4, 7, 9]
Keelhaulers Benjamin Rohr '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [3-4]		 Emi Stephanoff '21 [1-2, 5-6, 8-9]
Theodore Carter '20 [3-4, 7]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 Kaela Riha '19
49ers Julia Jaynes '19 Connor Kobel '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Connor Ratcliff '21 Caroline Puckette '20
Tritons Sean Tallman '22 Joshua Cole '22
George Washington University George Washington University Aitana Mendiguren '20 [1-4]
Cameron Feves '22 [5-9]		 Marie Line '19 [1-4]
Alexandra Fayer '19 [5-9]
Colonials Soenke Jordan '21 [1-4]
John Deruff '21 [5-8]
Ryan Janov '22 [9]		 Ryan Janov '22 [1-4]
Taylor Milefchik '22 [5-9]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Andy Reiter '19 Gwynie Dunlevy '20
Hoyas Jack Reiter '22 Marley Mais '21
Northwestern University Northwestern University Mark Davies '20 [1-9] Lillian Nemeth '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Will Davies '22 [3-6, 9]
Wildcats Ryder Easterlin '20 [1-9] Alyssa Larios '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Mitchell Moore '21 [3-4, 7-9]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Robbie Culkin '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Bennett Dorsey '22 [3-6, 9]		 Charis Todd '18 [1-2, 5-9]
Megan Conrad '22 [3-4]
Broncos Jay Weber '20 [1-9] John Rzepczynski '21 [1-4, 7-9]
Daniel Gutierrez-Monge '22 [5-6]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Liam Mccarthy '19 Ashley Wagner '20
Seahawks Lewis Cooper '21 Kaisey Mccallion '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Alexander Hankins '22 Bailey Miller '21
Aggies Harrison Lack '22 Wes Sholders '21
Tufts University Tufts University Ansgar Jordan '22 Duke Saunders '20
Jumbos Wells Drayton '21 Juliana Testa '21
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jayden Potter '21 Jenna Rutledge '19
Aggies James Letchinger '20 Jodie Jacobs '20
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Drake Baldwin '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Trevor Tuck '22 [3-4, 7-8]		 Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Brandon Volpa '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Anteaters Jesse Campbell '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Makayla Berndt '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jessica Woodruff '21 [1-2]
Madeline Bachus '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Maud Charlet '20 [5-6, 9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Leah Ford '19 Hallie Muller '20
Bruins Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Mary Jane Howland '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Lucas Pierce '21 [1-9] Samantha Obel '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Robert Johnson '19 [3-6, 9]
Gauchos 1 David Eastwood '22 [1-9] Claire Hunt '19 [1-6]
Tristan Richmond '22 [7-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Madeline Kraus '20 Elizabeth Moody '20
Gauchos 2 Kerri Luttrell '21 Olivia Beers '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz James Melvin '19 Katherine Sonnenfeldt '20
Banana Slug's Keelin Davis '21 [1-6]
Aitor Iriso '21 [7-9]		 Aitor Iriso '21 [1-4]
Dylan Yong '21 [5-9]
University of Miami University of Miami Andrew Scotti '20 Kaitlyn Delisser '20
Hurricanes Robert Turigliatto '22 Alex Sidi '21
University of Southern California University of Southern California Nicholas Stefanoni '21 Camille Infurna '22
Trojans Sarah Alexander '19 Sabrina Moreno '19
University of Washington University of Washington Connor Hughes '19 Maddie Tutton '21
Huskies Austin Hauter '21 [1, 3-9]
Ian Wolcott '20 [2]		 Avery Wolf '21 [1, 3-9]
Claire Johnson '22 [2]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Niko Twilla '21 [1-9] Julia Soes '21 [1-6]
Emily Hammond '20 [7-9]
Vikings Nikoline Alden '19 [1-9] Emily Hammond '20 [1-4]
Hayley Rawden '20 [5-6]
Julia Soes '21 [7-8]
Niko Twilla '21 [9]

Conditions — 01/05/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1014.9 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From SE (137°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1014.9 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →