Cal Poly University S.L.O. '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 (fleet 0.09) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 1–10 (9%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | — | 1–10 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (11 matches) the record is 1–10 against 2.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.4). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | McIntyre Team Race | crew | 0.85 | -0.38 | 1–10 | 2.4 | −1.23 | 1.1 | 96% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 15.0 | -0.34 |
| Mustang Open JV | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.2 | 0.57 |
| Anteater JV | Skipper | A | 8 | 15.1 | -0.13 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.2 | 1.20 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC South Designate 2025 | Skipper | B | 5 | 9.4 | 0.61 |
| Mustang Open JV | Skipper | B | 4 | 10.2 | 0.45 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Crew | TR | 11 | 9% | — |
| Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta Coed | Skipper | A | 6 | 25.8 | 0.32 |
| Anteater Open JV | Skipper | A | 8 | 17.1 | -0.66 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | A | 7 | 10.9 | 0.15 |
| Kiara Broudy Memorial | Skipper | A | 9 | 7.4 | 0.71 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Mustang Open (JV) | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.9 | -0.50 |
| Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta - Open | Skipper | B | 5 | 18.8 | -1.44 |
| Anteater JV | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.0 | 0.16 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.7 | -2.01 |
| Fall PCC JV | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.2 | -0.27 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Mustang Open JV | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.2 | -0.84 |
| Jeff Simon Memorial - Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 23.4 | -1.65 |
| Anteater Open Varsity | Skipper | B | 10 | 12.3 | -1.20 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.6 | -1.23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
