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Anteater Open JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 3 11 47 58
2 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 29 48 77
3 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 24 56 80
4 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 97 15 112
5 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 87 43 130
6 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 50 84 134
7 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 1 87 54 141
8 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 2 113 63 176
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 100 82 182
10 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 3 99 89 188
11 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 98 90 188
12 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 105 88 193
13 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 98 104 202
14 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 102 115 217
15 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 116 122 238
16 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 5 121 125 246
17 Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins 119 145 264
18 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 128 160 288
19 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 183 126 309
20 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 145 166 311
21 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4 137 192 329
22 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6 167 165 332
23 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 159 186 345
24 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 157 188 345
25 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 194 160 354
26 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 141 214 355
27 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 176 193 369
28 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 218 175 393
29 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 221 186 407
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 3 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 11 Buster Baylis '25
Dakota Rutherford '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 2 10 3 2 2 1 2 2 24 Jack Kisling '25 [1-8]
Paulina Williams '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Hirth '25 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 4 4 2 1 3 9 3 3 29 Hunter Holguin '25
Max Lopez '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 7 5 8 7 4 3 11 5 50 Maggie Mceachen '27 [1-8]
Kayla Doherty '28 [1-4]
Chas Mitchell '26 [5-8]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 8 11 13 6 18 16 4 11 87 Andrew Down '27
Alexandra Park '27
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 1 10 16 5 8 8 19 17 4 87 Joshua Barraza '26
Lila Kramer '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 3 2 19 21 6 5 26 15 97 Parker Ziegler '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Pike Williams '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Samantha Katz '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Kieran Mcewen '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 11 15 9 19 17 8 12 7 98 Bennett Alger '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Alejandro Fernandez '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Siha Top '27 [1-2, 5-6]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 15 6 6 4 15 23 8 21 98 Emma Feasey '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Brayden Money '26 [3-4]
Valentina Garcia '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Kean Kennedy '25 [3-4]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 3 5 9 7 9 16 17 13 23 99 Marley Daniel '27
Sadie Marinerstein '28
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 17 12 4 18 9 7 15 18 100 Alex Bussey '25
Nida Firdaws '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 23 22 10 12 12 6 9 8 102 Emilia Mcnabb '28 [1-8]
Judyanna Ladella '26 [1-4]
Lachlan Hodge '27 [5-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 12 3 14 17 26 14 7 12 105 Nejan Gunawardena '27
Ashley Searcy '25
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 2 24 24 11 5 5 13 6 25 113 Ryan Giorgianni '26
Nicholas Torres '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 9 17 20 11 21 11 18 9 116 Matthew Prendiville '25
Cade Januszewski '27
Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins 14 21 12 16 20 10 10 16 119
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 5 25 18 17 10 22 4 19 6 121 Noa Brassfield '25 [1-8]
Michael Sullivan '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Sierra Lieske '28 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 19 14 21 14 11 OCS 5 14 128 Ian Johnston '25
Thomas Murphy '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4 6 13 22 27 19 15 16 19 137 Nathan Briar '26 [1-8]
Anna Fineberg '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Ava Quinn '28 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 18 25 15 20 7 20 23 13 141 Jacob Horn '25
Natasha Popenoe '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 26 7 26 24 14 18 20 10 145 Dereck Phan '27
Gavriel Bar-Or '26
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 21 19 16 13 23 21 27 17 157 James Makler '26
Adam Fournier '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 20 8 27 15 27 12 24 26 159 Nate Powers '26
Celine Sawiris '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6 13 23 25 25 10 25 22 24 167 Catalina Brody '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Mira Shupe '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Renee Ortiz '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Juanita Delgado '28 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 29 26 23 22 13 22 21 20 176 Kevin Lu '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Emre Gurdal '28 [5-6]
Della Eckenrod '25 [1-4, 7-8]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 22 20 18 23 24 24 25 27 183 Annika Altman '26
Melany Menezes '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 27 28 24 28 25 26 14 22 194 Sophia Pless '25
Axel Ognar '25
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 16 DNF 29 29 28 28 29 29 218 James Carney '26
Caroline Crowe '28
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 28 27 28 26 29 27 28 28 221 John Van Roekel '26
Emily Torres '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 2 15 Samuel Groom '24 [1-8]
Simone Karlon '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Aiden Haboush '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 7 7 11 2 3 3 3 7 43 Patrick Gardiner '26
Austin Hargus '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 3 3 1 1 OCS 1 6 4 1 47 Isaac Sharp '26
Caden Domingo '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 4 4 6 4 4 13 7 6 48 Devon Baker-Berry '26 [1-8]
Sophia Preston '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Anya Knoepp '28 [5-6]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 1 9 8 8 6 7 7 5 4 54 Juan Alcala '26
Jay Luquin '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 5 6 3 13 9 2 10 8 56 Ximena Greatorex '25 [1-8]
Emily Yong '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Leah Oleksik '26 [3-4, 7-8]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 2 10 3 16 12 5 8 6 3 63 Julian Stauffer '26
Sofia Dorman '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 12 5 5 17 13 5 15 10 82 Jp Finnegan '26
Diana Vins '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 6 15 7 5 11 11 12 17 84 Dante Massaro '26 [1-8]
Eleanor Massey '28 [1-6]
Anya Knoepp '28 [7-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 14 16 14 8 6 16 2 12 88 Matthew Stank '27
Julia Black '26
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 3 8 9 10 1 27 15 14 5 89 Beverly Schimmel '26
Macaela Wilton '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 20 11 4 7 10 20 9 9 90 Gabriel Peralta '27
Tyler Stump '26
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 11 12 19 11 8 4 18 21 104 Gennis Marie Pilapil '25
Keane Hana '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 13 13 21 10 14 22 11 11 115 Mcquaid Harkin-Goodrich '28 [1-8]
Lily Righetti '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Sebastian Stretch '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 19 14 9 9 17 17 23 14 122 Elias Ricken '27 [1-8]
Maxwell Kandas '27 [1-4]
Emily Broach '25 [5-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 5 16 10 15 15 19 12 16 22 125 Griffin Vernon '26
Lea Bourges-Sevenier '27
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 18 23 18 14 12 10 8 23 126 Phoebe Liermann '27
Elena Crow '27
Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins 15 22 23 20 16 9 21 19 145
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 17 18 17 21 15 23 25 24 160 Maria Gunness '25
Elsa Engesser '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 22 19 24 19 22 14 20 20 160 Landon Mcalister '25
Maia Turner '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6 26 20 26 18 20 27 13 15 165 Daniel Gates '26
Zoe Miersma '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 25 28 12 16 23 18 17 27 166 Gabriel Rousseau '27 [1-8]
Dante Drolet '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Connor Fagan '26 [3-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 1 27 29 25 29 24 22 18 175 Kamdyn Goosheh '25
Laith Moustafa '26
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 24 25 22 27 24 25 26 13 186 Philip Yang '26
Luca Gonzalez-Bustos '28
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 27 26 20 22 18 26 19 28 186 Mackenzie Santos '28
Nathan Muck '25
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 21 21 27 24 21 21 27 26 188 Jack Skinner '25
Eshaal Wajahat '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4 28 24 25 26 26 19 28 16 192 Colin Thompson '25
Maya Peña '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 23 17 28 23 25 28 24 25 193 Katinka Lennemann '26
Yifeng Zeng '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 29 29 13 28 28 29 29 29 214 Marina Robalino '27
Eric Cai '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 1139139139139139139139139
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 2140140140140140140140140
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears2424242424242424
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 344444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4131131131131131131131131
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 5318318318318318318318318
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6321321321321321321321321
DolphinsDolphins Dolphins109109109109109109109109
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1125125125125125125125125
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2126126126126126126126126
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 11616161616161616
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 2115115115115115115115115
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 3151151151151151151151151
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848484848
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 12525252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 22626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 13030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2291291291291291291291291
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 4295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 5301301301301301301301301
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 13333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 23434343434343434
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 3133133133133133133133133
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4184184184184184184184184

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 1139139139139139139139139
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 2140140140140140140140140
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears2424242424242424
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 344444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4131131131131131131131131
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 5318318318318318318318318
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6321321321321321321321321
DolphinsDolphins Dolphins109109109109109109109109
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1125125125125125125125125
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2126126126126126126126126
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 11616161616161616
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 2115115115115115115115115
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 3151151151151151151151151
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848484848
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 12525252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 22626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 13030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2291291291291291291291291
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 4295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 5301301301301301301301301
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 13333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 23434343434343434
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 3133133133133133133133133
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4184184184184184184184184
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Andrew Down '27 Alexandra Park '27
Sun Devils 1 Patrick Gardiner '26 Austin Hargus '27
Arizona State University Arizona State University Matthew Prendiville '25 Cade Januszewski '27
Sun Devils 2 Elias Ricken '27 [1-8] Maxwell Kandas '27 [1-4]
Emily Broach '25 [5-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Jack Kisling '25 [1-8] Paulina Williams '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Hirth '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 1 Ximena Greatorex '25 [1-8] Emily Yong '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Leah Oleksik '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Parker Ziegler '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Pike Williams '28 [3-4, 7-8]		 Samantha Katz '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Kieran Mcewen '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 2 Samuel Groom '24 [1-8] Simone Karlon '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Aiden Haboush '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Bennett Alger '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Alejandro Fernandez '28 [3-4, 7-8]		 Siha Top '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Mustangs 3 Gabriel Peralta '27 Tyler Stump '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Nathan Briar '26 [1-8] Anna Fineberg '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Ava Quinn '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 4 Colin Thompson '25 Maya Peña '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Noa Brassfield '25 [1-8] Michael Sullivan '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Sierra Lieske '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 5 Griffin Vernon '26 Lea Bourges-Sevenier '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Catalina Brody '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Mira Shupe '26 [3-4, 7-8]		 Renee Ortiz '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Juanita Delgado '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 6 Daniel Gates '26 Zoe Miersma '26
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Annika Altman '26 Melany Menezes '27
Otters 1 Phoebe Liermann '27 Elena Crow '27
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay John Van Roekel '26 Emily Torres '28
Otters 2 Philip Yang '26 Luca Gonzalez-Bustos '28
San Diego State University San Diego State University Joshua Barraza '26 Lila Kramer '26
Aztecs 1 Juan Alcala '26 Jay Luquin '27
San Diego State University San Diego State University Ryan Giorgianni '26 Nicholas Torres '25
Aztecs 2 Julian Stauffer '26 Sofia Dorman '27
San Diego State University San Diego State University Marley Daniel '27 Sadie Marinerstein '28
Aztecs 3 Beverly Schimmel '26 Macaela Wilton '27
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Dereck Phan '27 Gavriel Bar-Or '26
Bears Gabriel Rousseau '27 [1-8] Dante Drolet '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Connor Fagan '26 [3-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis James Makler '26 Adam Fournier '27
Aggies 1 Jack Skinner '25 Eshaal Wajahat '28
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis James Carney '26 Caroline Crowe '28
Aggies 2 Kamdyn Goosheh '25 Laith Moustafa '26
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Emma Feasey '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Brayden Money '26 [3-4]		 Valentina Garcia '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Kean Kennedy '25 [3-4]
Anteaters 1 Gennis Marie Pilapil '25 Keane Hana '27
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Nejan Gunawardena '27 Ashley Searcy '25
Anteaters 2 Matthew Stank '27 Julia Black '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Kevin Lu '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Emre Gurdal '28 [5-6]		 Della Eckenrod '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Bruins Katinka Lennemann '26 Yifeng Zeng '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Ian Johnston '25 Thomas Murphy '26
Tritons 1 Maria Gunness '25 Elsa Engesser '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Alex Bussey '25 Nida Firdaws '25
Tritons 2 Jp Finnegan '26 Diana Vins '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sophia Pless '25 Axel Ognar '25
Tritons 3 Landon Mcalister '25 Maia Turner '28
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nate Powers '26 Celine Sawiris '25
Tritons 4 Mackenzie Santos '28 Nathan Muck '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Jacob Horn '25 Natasha Popenoe '25
Tritons 5 Marina Robalino '27 Eric Cai '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Maggie Mceachen '27 [1-8] Kayla Doherty '28 [1-4]
Chas Mitchell '26 [5-8]
Banana Slugs 1 Dante Massaro '26 [1-8] Eleanor Massey '28 [1-6]
Anya Knoepp '28 [7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Hunter Holguin '25 Max Lopez '27
Banana Slugs 2 Devon Baker-Berry '26 [1-8] Sophia Preston '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Anya Knoepp '28 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Buster Baylis '25 Dakota Rutherford '27
Banana Slugs 3 Isaac Sharp '26 Caden Domingo '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Emilia Mcnabb '28 [1-8] Judyanna Ladella '26 [1-4]
Lachlan Hodge '27 [5-8]
Banana Slugs 4 Mcquaid Harkin-Goodrich '28 [1-8] Lily Righetti '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Sebastian Stretch '26 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 04/26/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From SSW (212°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1014.5 hPa Rain0.35 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Irvine: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Irvine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at UC Irvine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →