San Diego State University '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 (fleet 0.32) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–9 (10%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 1–5 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 0–4 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 1–9 against 2.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 0.30 | -0.17 | 1–5 | 1.3 | −0.47 | 0.1 | 84% |
| 2025-02-01 | Mustang Team Race | skipper | -0.14 | -3.14 | 0–4 | 0.7 | ≤−3.00 | 1.1 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke | Skipper | A | 10 | 13.3 | 0.64 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | A | 5 | 14.6 | -0.22 |
| PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 6 | 17% | — |
| PCCSC South Designate 2026 | Skipper | B | 10 | 17.0 | -1.02 |
| Jeff Simon Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 4.3 | 0.45 |
| Husky Women's 1 Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.7 | -3.34 |
| Husky Women's 2 Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 11.2 | — |
| Charley Dole PCCSC Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 2 | 10.5 | -0.12 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Fall PCC JV | Skipper | B | 4 | 9.2 | 0.70 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC South Designate 2025 | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.8 | 0.66 |
| Mustang Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| Mustang Open JV | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.9 | 0.15 |
| Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta Coed | Skipper | B | 5 | 30.0 | -1.33 |
| Cactus Cup | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.3 | 0.39 |
| Anteater Open JV | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.4 | 0.19 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh Soph | Skipper | B | 8 | 16.8 | -1.29 |
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | A | 7 | 16.7 | -1.34 |
| Fall PCC JV | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.2 | 0.06 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC South Designate Semis | Crew | A | 5 | 20.4 | -0.11 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
