College of Charleston '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.97 (fleet 4.18) | 46 of 328 | −0.05 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 47–15 (76%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 5 | 47–15 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (62 matches) the record is 47–15 against 48.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | SAISA Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 3.47 | 4.00 | 17–1 | 16.4 | +0.53 | 0.2 | 51% |
| 2026-03-21 | The Friis Trophy | skipper | 3.55 | 2.58 | 7–9 | 9.4 | −0.97 | 1.6 | 97% |
| 2026-03-07 | St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference | skipper | 3.54 | 2.96 | 5–4 | 5.7 | −0.58 | 0.3 | 87% |
| 2026-02-28 | Mendelblatt Open Team Race | skipper | 3.46 | 3.80 | 10–1 | 9.7 | +0.34 | 0.1 | 61% |
| 2026-02-15 | SAISA Open Top 6 Team Race | skipper | 3.14 | 6.14 | 8–0 | 7.5 | ≥+3.00 | 0.7 | 60% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference | Skipper | TR | 9 | 56% | — |
| SAISA Open Top 6 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 100% | — |
| SAISA Open Top 6 Invite | Skipper | C | 9 | 2.8 | 2.75 |
| SAISA Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 18 | 94% | — |
| SAISA Coed Champs: Richard Tillman Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 2.3 | 4.66 |
| Open Western National Semis | Skipper | A | 1 | 8.0 | — |
| Open Fleet Race National Championships | Skipper | A | 2 | 11.0 | 3.93 |
| Mendelblatt Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 92% | — |
| The Friis Trophy | Skipper | TR | 16 | 44% | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Pierce Olsen |  Georgetown University |
'29 |
| ISSA | Pierce Olsen |  The Hotchkiss School |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
