Halloween Regatta DCDS

HostPontiac Yacht Club
Date10/25/2014
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Spring Lake High School	Red	7	13	20
2	Spring Lake High School	Grey	29	15	44
3	Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Nutmeg	17	32	49
4	Spring Lake High School	Black	38	11	49
5	De La Salle Collegiate High School	Varsity	25	41	66
6	Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 1	23	57	80
7	Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile Red	29	58	87
8	Traverse City Central	Varsity	43	48	91
9	Detroit Country Day School	Guest A	51	53	104
10	Traverse City West	Middle School	86	36	122
11	Spring Lake High School	Silver	43	81	124
12	Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Cloves	65	60	125
13	Grand Rapids Christian High School	Eagle	51	75	126
14	Grand Haven High School	Varsity	68	58	126
15	Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Pumpkin Pie	71	55	126
16	Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile Silver	88	44	132
17	Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 2	62	73	135
18	St. Francis High School Traverse City	St Francis A	67	76	143
19	Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Ginger	83	85	168

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Spring Lake High School	Red	2	1	2	1	1	7	Frank Reeg '15 Nathan James '18
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Nutmeg	3	2	3	5	4	17	Thomas Frikker '15 Jacob Mackey '17
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 1	1	3	1	3	15	23	Grant Glover '15 Carsten Ritter '17
De La Salle Collegiate High School	Varsity	5	7	4	7	2	25	Stephen Kowl-Besler '17 Matt Koch '17
Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile Red	4	8	5	6	6	29	Kristin Ruta '15 Luna Terauchi '15
Spring Lake High School	Grey	9	5	8	4	3	29	Riley Sorber '15 Jacob Weesies '16
Spring Lake High School	Black	6	4	12	8	8	38	Jonathan Prins '16 Megan Bush '17
Spring Lake High School	Silver	10	10	7	11	5	43	Reid Kwiatkowski '16 Sam Colvin '16
Traverse City Central	Varsity	12	6	9	9	7	43	Sara Gustafson '17 Katherine Crewes '17
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Eagle	7	9	11	15	9	51	Rock Macinnes '16 Joe Deyoung '16
Detroit Country Day School	Guest A	17	12	6	2	14	51	Justin Lee '17 Kait Alvord '16
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 2	11	11	15	12	13	62	Buddy Ford-Rippolone '17 [1, 3] Allison Glover '17 [2, 4-5] Allison Glover '17 [1, 3] Buddy Ford-Rippolone '17 [2, 4-5]
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Cloves	13	17	10	14	11	65	Blake Bernard '15 Andre Sosa '18
St. Francis High School Traverse City	St Francis A	14	16	13	10	RDG	67	Maryfrances Myler '18 Katherine Clulo '17
Grand Haven High School	Varsity	8	13	14	16	17	68	Avery Hirdes '16 Frank Frisinger '19
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Pumpkin Pie	15	14	17	13	12	71	Liz Obermaier '17 [1-5] Lily Constance '19 [1-2] Aidan Darby '16 [3-5]
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Ginger	16	18	16	17	16	83	Connagh Rowley '18 [1-5] Ethan Lee '19 [1-4] Sonali Reddy '18 [5]
Traverse City West	Middle School	DSQ	19	19	18	10	86	Katy Crewes '17 [1-5] Katy Crewes '17 [1] Eric Anton '15 [2-5]
Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile Silver	18	15	18	19	18	88	Neil Quinlan '17 Grace Hsu '15

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Spring Lake High School	Black	3	2	1	3	2	11	Luca '15 Alivia Stille '18
Spring Lake High School	Red	5	1	2	1	4	13	Grant Stille '16 [1-5] Ava Hatton '18 [1] Tommy Clover '17 [2-5]
Spring Lake High School	Grey	2	3	5	2	3	15	Sara Riegler '16 Eric Schock '17
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Nutmeg	4	4	3	DSQ	1	32	Jason Liu '15 [1-5] Alexandra Soo '18 [1-2, 5] Bella Rosenberg '18 [3-4]
Traverse City West	Middle School	7	5	7	6	11	36	Katy Crewes '17 Ian Beck '18
De La Salle Collegiate High School	Varsity	14	6	9	4	8	41	William Street '18 Ryan Heitman '18
Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile Silver	8	10	13	8	5	44	Chris Twomley '17 [1-2, 5] Michael Kalata '18 [3-4] Dale Gardner '16 [1-2, 5] Toby Pfeiffer '18 [3-4]
Traverse City Central	Varsity	9	9	11	13	6	48	Jajaune Ferris '16 Margaret Miron '17
Detroit Country Day School	Guest A	6	7	10	10	DNS	53	Blake Bernard '15 Grant Jason '14
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Pumpkin Pie	12	12	RDG	RDG	9	55	Amanda Williams '17 Brian Liu '18
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 1	13	11	6	7	DSQ	57	Noah Momblanco '16 Hunter Shuert '17
Grand Haven High School	Varsity	11	8	12	DSQ	7	58	Cody Peterson '16 Sophie Sagan '16
Grosse Ile High School	Grosse Ile Red	15	14	4	5	DSQ	58	Meghan Dieball '20 [1-2, 5] Ian Reimel '19 [3-4] Ian Reimel '19 [1-2, 5] Meghan Dieball '20 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Cloves	10	17	14	9	10	60	Harrison George '18 Syona Varty '16
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 2	18	DNF	8	14	13	73	Ross Warr '15 [1-2] Hattie Garratt '17 [3-5] Hattie Garratt '17 [1-2] Ross Warr '15 [3-5]
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Eagle	19	15	16	11	14	75	Sam Poortenga '15 Thomas Young '16
St. Francis High School Traverse City	St Francis A	16	13	15	12	DNS	76	Amanda Dow '18 [1-3] Nick Julien '15 [4-5] Sophia Elkhart '18 [1-3]
Spring Lake High School	Silver	1	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	81	Anne Allman '16 [1-5] Tommy Clover '17 [1] Ava Hatton '18 [2-5]
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Ginger	17	16	DSQ	DNS	12	85	William Lethemon '17 Sailesh Yellayi '17

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 1	1	1	3	3	5
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 2	2	2	4	4	6
De La Salle Collegiate High School Varsity	3	3	5	5	7
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Cloves	5	5	7	7	9
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Ginger	7	7	9	9	11
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Nutmeg	4	4	6	6	8
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Pumpkin Pie	6	6	8	8	10
Detroit Country Day School Guest A	8	8	10	10	12
Grand Haven High School Varsity	9	9	11	11	13
Grand Rapids Christian High School Eagle	10	10	12	12	14
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Red	11	11	13	13	15
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Silver	12	12	14	14	16
Spring Lake High School Black	16	16	18	18	1
Spring Lake High School Grey	14	14	16	16	18
Spring Lake High School Red	13	13	15	15	17
Spring Lake High School Silver	15	15	17	17
St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis A	17	17			2
Traverse City Central Varsity	18	18	1	1	3
Traverse City West Middle School			2	2	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 1	2	2	4	4	6
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 2	3	3	5	5	7
De La Salle Collegiate High School Varsity	4	4	6	6	8
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Cloves	6	6	8	8	10
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Ginger	8	8	10	10	12
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Nutmeg	5	5	7	7	9
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Pumpkin Pie	7	7	9	9	11
Detroit Country Day School Guest A	9	9	11	11	13
Grand Haven High School Varsity	10	10	12	12	14
Grand Rapids Christian High School Eagle	11	11	13	13	15
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Red	12	12	14	14	16
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Silver	13	13	15	15	17
Spring Lake High School Black	17	17			2
Spring Lake High School Grey	15	15	17	17
Spring Lake High School Red	14	14	16	16	18
Spring Lake High School Silver	16	16	18	18	1
St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis A	18	18	1	1	3
Traverse City Central Varsity			2	2	4
Traverse City West Middle School	1	1	3	3	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Cranbrook Kingswood	Grant Glover '15	Carsten Ritter '17
Cranes 1	Noah Momblanco '16	Hunter Shuert '17
Cranbrook Kingswood	Buddy Ford-Rippolone '17 [1, 3] Allison Glover '17 [2, 4-5]	Allison Glover '17 [1, 3] Buddy Ford-Rippolone '17 [2, 4-5]
Cranes 2	Ross Warr '15 [1-2] Hattie Garratt '17 [3-5]	Hattie Garratt '17 [1-2] Ross Warr '15 [3-5]
De La Salle Collegiate High School	Stephen Kowl-Besler '17	Matt Koch '17
Varsity	William Street '18	Ryan Heitman '18
Detroit Country Day School	Blake Bernard '15	Andre Sosa '18
DCDS Cloves	Harrison George '18	Syona Varty '16
Detroit Country Day School	Connagh Rowley '18 [1-5]	Ethan Lee '19 [1-4] Sonali Reddy '18 [5]
DCDS Ginger	William Lethemon '17	Sailesh Yellayi '17
Detroit Country Day School	Thomas Frikker '15	Jacob Mackey '17
DCDS Nutmeg	Jason Liu '15 [1-5]	Alexandra Soo '18 [1-2, 5] Bella Rosenberg '18 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School	Liz Obermaier '17 [1-5]	Lily Constance '19 [1-2] Aidan Darby '16 [3-5]
DCDS Pumpkin Pie	Amanda Williams '17	Brian Liu '18
Detroit Country Day School	Justin Lee '17	Kait Alvord '16
Guest A	Blake Bernard '15	Grant Jason '14
Grand Haven High School	Avery Hirdes '16	Frank Frisinger '19
Varsity	Cody Peterson '16	Sophie Sagan '16
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Rock Macinnes '16	Joe Deyoung '16
Eagle	Sam Poortenga '15	Thomas Young '16
Grosse Ile High School	Kristin Ruta '15	Luna Terauchi '15
Grosse Ile Red	Meghan Dieball '20 [1-2, 5] Ian Reimel '19 [3-4]	Ian Reimel '19 [1-2, 5] Meghan Dieball '20 [3-4]
Grosse Ile High School	Neil Quinlan '17	Grace Hsu '15
Grosse Ile Silver	Chris Twomley '17 [1-2, 5] Michael Kalata '18 [3-4]	Dale Gardner '16 [1-2, 5] Toby Pfeiffer '18 [3-4]
Spring Lake High School	Jonathan Prins '16	Megan Bush '17
Black	Luca '15	Alivia Stille '18
Spring Lake High School	Riley Sorber '15	Jacob Weesies '16
Grey	Sara Riegler '16	Eric Schock '17
Spring Lake High School	Frank Reeg '15	Nathan James '18
Red	Grant Stille '16 [1-5]	Ava Hatton '18 [1] Tommy Clover '17 [2-5]
Spring Lake High School	Reid Kwiatkowski '16	Sam Colvin '16
Silver	Anne Allman '16 [1-5]	Tommy Clover '17 [1] Ava Hatton '18 [2-5]
St. Francis High School Traverse City	Maryfrances Myler '18	Katherine Clulo '17
St Francis A	Amanda Dow '18 [1-3] Nick Julien '15 [4-5]	Sophia Elkhart '18 [1-3]
Traverse City Central	Sara Gustafson '17	Katherine Crewes '17
Varsity	Jajaune Ferris '16	Margaret Miron '17
Traverse City West	Katy Crewes '17 [1-5]	Katy Crewes '17 [1] Eric Anton '15 [2-5]
Middle School	Katy Crewes '17	Ian Beck '18

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Halloween Regatta DCDS

Division A

Division B

From the notes