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MN Conference Finale

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 19 10 29
2 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 17 36 53
3 Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 26 30 56
4 Blake School Blake School Varsity 43 14 57
5 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 22 37 59
6 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 30 55 85
7 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 28 60 88
8 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 54 52 106
9 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 67 39 106
10 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Varsity 65 50 115
11 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue 75 48 123
12 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 57 84 141
13 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 56 89 145
14 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 80 81 161
15 Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 93 70 163
16 Visitation School Visitation School Blazers 103 82 185
17 Hudson Hudson Raiders 97 92 189
18 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 95 102 197
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 2 2 7 1 3 2 17 Dane Pedersen '15
Michael Donadio '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 3 5 1 2 5 3 19 Jackson Connell '17
Mckenna Miller '16
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 1 11 2 3 1 4 22 Jason Davis '17
Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 4 6 3 5 2 6 26 Samuel Bartel '18 [1-6]
Henry Jaffray '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Dominic Serino '19 [3-4]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 7 3 4 9 4 1 28 Kate Cox '16 [1-6]
Schoon Daulton '17 [1-4]
Wyndham John '16 [5-6]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 5 1 8 4 7 5 30 Josh Sullivan '16
Clara Brown '18
Blake School Blake School Varsity 6 8 6 7 6 10 43 Michael Stone '15
Lizzie Easter '15
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 14 4 5 8 10 13 54 Claire Clark '15 [1-6]
Acadia Hegedus '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Courtney Clark '17 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 10 10 9 6 12 9 56 Mike Johnson '17
Kendyll Vandlik '20
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 11 7 12 11 9 7 57 Joe Sanderson '18
Steve Franklin '18
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Varsity 8 9 11 12 11 14 65 Maggie Houtz '15
William Walcher '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 15 13 13 10 8 8 67 Graham Ness '19
Stratford Vandlik '18
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue 12 14 10 15 13 11 75 Avery Beltrand '16
Anna Brew '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 9 12 DSQ 13 15 12 80 Wiley Hunt '19 [1-6]
Ryan White '18 [1-3]
Zach Paulson '19 [4-6]
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 17 15 14 16 16 15 93 Anna Rose '15
Gabrielle Ritacco '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 13 17 15 17 17 16 95 Jesse Densch '15
Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17
Hudson Hudson Raiders 18 18 16 14 14 17 97 Adam Tronnes '20
Steve Franklin '18
Visitation School Visitation School Blazers 16 16 17 18 18 18 103 Ellie Meyer '17
Wiebke Seedorf '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 3 1 1 1 2 2 10 Charlie Hicks '16
Alex Honke '16
Blake School Blake School Varsity 5 3 2 2 1 1 14 Mary Amis '15
Maddison Mott '17
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 4 8 5 3 4 6 30 Solomon Dworsky '17
Erich Pinske '18
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 1 BKD 8 7 3 11 36 Katie Krauska '17
Ryne Ryshavy '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 2 17 4 4 6 4 37 Luc Mainguy '15
Teddy Damm '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 6 2 3 8 7 13 39 Matthew Kickhafer '19
Sonja Zbinden '18
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue 11 6 11 6 9 5 48 Emma Aubuchon '19
Chase Connell '19
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Varsity 7 5 12 12 5 9 50 Jack Wall '17
Will Hedberg '18
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 9 15 6 5 10 7 52 Genna Viggiano '18
Laurel Schreier '17
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 8 4 7 14 DNF 3 55 Toby Sullivan '19 [1-6]
Duncan Wenzel '18 [1-2]
Karan Jain '19 [3-6]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 12 11 10 11 8 8 60 Olivia Staruck '16 [1-6]
Annika Hsu '17 [1-4]
Schoon Daulton '17 [5-6]
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 15 14 9 9 11 12 70 Jack Freeman '17
Ed Shipp '19
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 10 9 16 17 14 15 81 Lucas Haarstad '17
Harry Penner '17
Visitation School Visitation School Blazers 18 DNF 13 10 12 10 82 Rebecca Hed '16
Abigail Ardito '17
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 17 12 15 13 13 14 84 Leigh Marker '17
Brian Olson '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 16 10 17 15 15 16 89 Garrett Moen '19
Alexander Witcraft '18
Hudson Hudson Raiders 14 13 14 16 16 DNF 92 Joe Sanderson '18
No Show
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 13 16 BKD 18 DNF DNS 102 Jason Davis '17
Tighe Case '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Varsity999999
Blake SchoolBlake School Varsity111111
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Varsity777777
HudsonHudson Raiders222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1171717171717
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2444444
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed111111111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity888888
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1333333
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2555555
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Varsity141414141414
Visitation SchoolVisitation School Blazers151515151515
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity161616161616
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Blue121212121212
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold101010101010
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed666666
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed181818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Varsity999999
Blake SchoolBlake School Varsity111111
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Varsity777777
HudsonHudson Raiders222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1171717171717
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2444444
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed111111111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity888888
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1333333
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2555555
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Varsity141414141414
Visitation SchoolVisitation School Blazers151515151515
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity161616161616
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Blue121212121212
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold101010101010
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed666666
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed181818181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Maggie Houtz '15 William Walcher '17
Varsity Jack Wall '17 Will Hedberg '18
Blake School Blake School Michael Stone '15 Lizzie Easter '15
Varsity Mary Amis '15 Maddison Mott '17
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Dane Pedersen '15 Michael Donadio '17
Varsity Katie Krauska '17 Ryne Ryshavy '18
Hudson Hudson Adam Tronnes '20 Steve Franklin '18
Raiders Joe Sanderson '18 No Show
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Claire Clark '15 [1-6] Acadia Hegedus '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Courtney Clark '17 [3-4]
Zephyrs Genna Viggiano '18 Laurel Schreier '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Graham Ness '19 Stratford Vandlik '18
Skippers 1 Matthew Kickhafer '19 Sonja Zbinden '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mike Johnson '17 Kendyll Vandlik '20
Skippers 2 Garrett Moen '19 Alexander Witcraft '18
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Josh Sullivan '16 Clara Brown '18
Mixed Toby Sullivan '19 [1-6] Duncan Wenzel '18 [1-2]
Karan Jain '19 [3-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Samuel Bartel '18 [1-6] Henry Jaffray '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Dominic Serino '19 [3-4]
Varsity Solomon Dworsky '17 Erich Pinske '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Jesse Densch '15 Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17
Varsity 1 Jason Davis '17 Tighe Case '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Jason Davis '17 Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17
Varsity 2 Luc Mainguy '15 Teddy Damm '17
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Joe Sanderson '18 Steve Franklin '18
Varsity Leigh Marker '17 Brian Olson '18
Visitation School Visitation School Ellie Meyer '17 Wiebke Seedorf '16
Blazers Rebecca Hed '16 Abigail Ardito '17
Washburn High School Washburn High School Anna Rose '15 Gabrielle Ritacco '18
Varsity Jack Freeman '17 Ed Shipp '19
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Avery Beltrand '16 Anna Brew '17
Blue Emma Aubuchon '19 Chase Connell '19
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Jackson Connell '17 Mckenna Miller '16
Gold Charlie Hicks '16 Alex Honke '16
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Wiley Hunt '19 [1-6] Ryan White '18 [1-3]
Zach Paulson '19 [4-6]
Mixed Lucas Haarstad '17 Harry Penner '17
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Kate Cox '16 [1-6] Schoon Daulton '17 [1-4]
Wyndham John '16 [5-6]
Mixed Olivia Staruck '16 [1-6] Annika Hsu '17 [1-4]
Schoon Daulton '17 [5-6]

Conditions — 10/25/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.5 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From WNW (299°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1017.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at White Bear Lake: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at White Bear Lake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →