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# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 17 17
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 31 31
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 58 58
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 62 62
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 64 64
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6 73 73
7 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 8 78 78
8 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 5 79 79
9 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 1 80 80
10 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 92 92
11 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 6 111 111
12 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 5 119 119
13 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 2 124 124
14 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 7 125 125
15 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 1 133 133
16 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 143 143
17 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 7 148 148
18 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 1 151 151
19 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 3 160 160
20 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 8 175 175
21 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 3 176 176
22 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 185 185
23 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 2 188 188
24 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 5 210 210
25 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 3 217 217
26 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 4 221 221
27 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 4 225 225
28 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 2 233 233
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 4 1 1 17 Dreugh Phillips '16
Sarah Smith '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 4 10 2 1 4 1 6 2 31 Gray Kiger '16
Alek Sas '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 3 7 17 1 7 9 2 2 10 58 Jessica Williams '16
Alexander Singh '15
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 6 10 11 5 9 8 3 7 3 62 Victor Layne '16
Daniel Vail '17
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 4 3 7 18 3 10 7 8 4 64 James Whitmore '16
Marshall Mccraw '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6 16 9 3 4 8 5 17 3 8 73 Ellie Maus '18
Ashley Obermeyer '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 8 13 20 5 6 6 3 13 5 7 78 Elise Turrietta '16 [1-9]
Katie Mansoor '16 [1-2]
Anna Cornetta '16 [3-9]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 5 19 5 4 10 4 7 8 10 12 79 Cal Neikirk '15
Sam Archbell '15
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 1 5 6 6 12 10 6 10 14 11 80 Kaila Pfrang '17
Eason Barclay '15
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DSQ 2 1 7 DSQ 2 5 11 6 92 Darden Purrington '16
Nick Baker '16
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 6 9 8 13 DNS 5 14 11 13 9 111 Jon Pavilack '16
Emmaline Herring '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 5 23 16 15 14 11 12 19 4 5 119 Joe Morrison '16
Nathan Stell '17
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 2 10 19 9 17 16 17 6 16 14 124 Harrison Parker '18 [1-9]
T.J. Argust '18 [1-6]
Hailey Gilman '17 [7-9]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 7 8 14 16 8 14 18 12 17 18 125 Jack Dickerson '15 [1-9]
Anna Brush '15 [1-4]
Katie Mansoor '16 [5-9]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 1 20 13 19 16 12 13 14 9 17 133 Miles Campbell '16
Henry Waddill '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 18 11 12 11 21 16 22 19 13 143 Emma Burdett '16
Rossi Mccall '15
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 7 21 12 8 9 15 19 15 24 25 148 Darden Purrington '16
Matt Wright '19
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 1 12 22 28 21 13 11 16 12 16 151 Richard Gunn '15
Burke Lawlor '17
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 3 11 15 21 15 23 21 9 23 22 160 Luke Fitzharris '19
Kylie Deboer '15
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 8 14 25 24 13 17 23 26 18 15 175 Alex Holt '17
Nick Selig '17
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 3 7 27 18 20 24 22 23 15 20 176 Mitchell Hynes '18 [1-9]
Hailey Gilman '17 [1-3]
Nicole Lavallee '18 [4-6]
T.J. Argust '18 [7-9]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 17 24 23 23 19 15 18 22 24 185 Hunter Kahler '17
Chris Robertson '19
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 2 24 17 14 25 22 24 20 21 21 188 Ian O'Connell '16 [1-9]
Meredith Watkins '15 [1-4]
William Olsen '19 [5-9]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 5 22 18 20 19 DNS 26 24 DNF 23 210 Jacob Wilcox '16 [1-9]
Carson Cooper '18 [1-4]
Stanton Camp '17 [5-9]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 3 25 23 25 24 25 DNS 27 20 19 217 Morgan Kelly '17
Morgan Williams '17
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 4 DNS DNS 22 22 20 20 21 DNF DNS 221 Tristan O'Connell '17
Declan Lawlor '16
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 4 26 26 27 27 18 25 25 25 26 225 Jared Cronin '17
Harry Ross '17
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 2 15 21 26 26 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 233 Henry Eley '18
Mike Keller '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Varsity 1111111111
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Varsity 2222222222
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Varsity 3333333333
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Varsity 4181818181818181818
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 1444444444
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 2555555555
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 3666666666
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1777777777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2888888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3999999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 4105105105105105105105105105
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 5106106106106106106106106106
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 6108108108108108108108108108
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 7109109109109109109109109109
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 8112112112112112112112112112
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1101010101010101010
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2111111111111111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3121212121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4161616161616161616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 5102102102102102102102102102
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6107107107107107107107107107
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 7114114114114114114114114114
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 8117117117117117117117117117
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity 1131313131313131313
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity 2141414141414141414
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity 3151515151515151515
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity 4101101101101101101101101101
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity 5103103103103103103103103103
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 1 Miles Campbell '16 Henry Waddill '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 2 Henry Eley '18 Mike Keller '17
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 3 Luke Fitzharris '19 Kylie Deboer '15
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 4 Jared Cronin '17 Harry Ross '17
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 1 Kaila Pfrang '17 Eason Barclay '15
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 2 Harrison Parker '18 [1-9] T.J. Argust '18 [1-6]
Hailey Gilman '17 [7-9]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 3 Mitchell Hynes '18 [1-9] Hailey Gilman '17 [1-3]
Nicole Lavallee '18 [4-6]
T.J. Argust '18 [7-9]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Gray Kiger '16 Alek Sas '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Jessica Williams '16 Alexander Singh '15
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 James Whitmore '16 Marshall Mccraw '16
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 Emma Burdett '16 Rossi Mccall '15
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 5 Cal Neikirk '15 Sam Archbell '15
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 6 Jon Pavilack '16 Emmaline Herring '16
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 7 Jack Dickerson '15 [1-9] Anna Brush '15 [1-4]
Katie Mansoor '16 [5-9]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 8 Elise Turrietta '16 [1-9] Katie Mansoor '16 [1-2]
Anna Cornetta '16 [3-9]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 Dreugh Phillips '16 Sarah Smith '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 Darden Purrington '16 Nick Baker '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 Victor Layne '16 Daniel Vail '17
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 Hunter Kahler '17 Chris Robertson '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 5 Joe Morrison '16 Nathan Stell '17
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6 Ellie Maus '18 Ashley Obermeyer '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 7 Darden Purrington '16 Matt Wright '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 8 Alex Holt '17 Nick Selig '17
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 1 Richard Gunn '15 Burke Lawlor '17
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 2 Ian O'Connell '16 [1-9] Meredith Watkins '15 [1-4]
William Olsen '19 [5-9]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 3 Morgan Kelly '17 Morgan Williams '17
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 4 Tristan O'Connell '17 Declan Lawlor '16
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 5 Jacob Wilcox '16 [1-9] Carson Cooper '18 [1-4]
Stanton Camp '17 [5-9]

Conditions — 10/28/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1018.2 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From SSW (209°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1018.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hampton: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hampton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (26 labelled days at Hampton).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →