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2015 Anteater Regatta - Gold

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 34 41 75
2 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Varsity 54 31 85
3 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Varsity 47 63 110
4 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV 1 56 58 114
5 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers Varsity 86 29 115
6 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers JV 1 61 65 126
7 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Varsity 60 82 142
8 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV2 119 25 144
9 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Varsity 47 99 146
10 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV1 68 82 150
11 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Varsity 83 88 171
12 Redwood High School Redwood High School Varsity 98 96 194
13 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Varsity 102 95 197
14 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers JV 2 125 72 197
15 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 68 132 200
16 Branson School Branson School Varsity 107 98 205
17 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV 2 112 97 209
18 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Varsity 53 157 210
19 Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 109 137 246
20 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Varsity 134 115 249
21 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders JV1 153 97 250
22 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Varsity 127 149 276
23 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity 198 95 293
24 Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 149 150 299
25 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 138 162 300
26 Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Varsity 155 156 311
27 Alameda High School Alameda High School Varsity 142 176 318
28 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Varsity 168 166 334
29 Marin Academy Marin Academy Varsity 176 171 347
30 Archie Williams High School Archie Williams High School Varsity 161 190 351
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 4 2 11 6 5 1 BKD 34 Rhodes Garner '16
Sammy Pickell '18
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Varsity 2 6 1 5 2 16 15 47 Jacob Rosenberg '16
Madison Nadelman '16
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Varsity 16 5 4 7 BKD BKD 1 47 Evan Heffernan '16 [1-7]
Jodie Jacobs '16 [1-6]
Lauren Seigel '16 [7]
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Varsity 1 7 6 4 9 18 8 53 Ryan Eastwood '18 [1-7]
Sara Muir '18 [1-6]
Yannick Gloster '18 [7]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Varsity 9 1 22 9 6 3 4 54 Sean Segerblom '16
Briggs D'Eliscu '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV 1 8 10 3 3 13 8 11 56 Porter Killian '18
Catherine Webb '18
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Varsity 6 4 7 10 4 2 27 60 Cole Harris '18
Athena Malcolm '16
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers JV 1 5 19 10 2 12 4 9 61 Paul Didham '16
James (Jd) Schrady '18
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 11 11 2 8 20 13 3 68 Sawyer Gibbs '16
Roxanne Snyder '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV1 14 18 12 13 1 5 5 68 Michael Sabourin '16
Madeline Bubb '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Varsity 15 24 5 1 7 17 14 83 Ryan Ratliffe '17 [1-7]
Elizabeth Matheson '16 [1-4]
Ryan Mcconnville '18 [5-7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers Varsity 20 14 21 12 3 14 2 86 Jack Mcgraw '16
Emma Batcher '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Varsity 25 13 9 23 10 12 6 98 Will Martens '16 [1-7]
Chloe Holder '19 [1-4]
Chloe Belgum '16 [5-7]
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Varsity 13 3 15 25 14 15 17 102 Grace Yakutis '16
Casey King '16
Branson School Branson School Varsity 3 26 13 24 8 7 26 107 Jackson Ritter '16
Ben Hoffner '16
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 18 16 25 11 17 6 16 109 Cameron Feves '18
Taylor Milefchek '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV 2 7 8 16 15 21 22 23 112 Cameron Wood '18 [1-6]
Jack Detmers '17 [7]
Victoria Thompson '17 [1-6]
Ian Sellinger '18 [7]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV2 12 12 28 14 15 10 28 119 Patrick Shannon '16 [1-7]
Katie Mcallister '17 [1-6]
Grace Blackman '16 [7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers JV 2 27 25 20 18 11 11 13 125 Cole Baker '16
Conner Mccully '18
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Varsity 23 29 24 17 18 9 7 127 Peter Neal '16
Sara James '17
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Varsity 26 22 14 21 16 23 12 134 Kyle Collins '17
Cameron Neligan '19
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 21 23 18 19 19 19 19 138 Spencer Paulsen '16
Chloe Bohannon '16
Alameda High School Alameda High School Varsity 10 15 26 28 22 DSQ 10 142 Drake Hayes '17
Noelle Siriot '16
Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 19 27 17 16 25 27 18 149 Amanda Majernik '18 [1-2, 7]
Daisy Holthus '17 [3-6]
Claire Lester '17 [1-7]
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders JV1 29 17 8 30 24 25 20 153 Nicole Simon '16
Katie Roughneen '16
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Varsity 17 21 23 29 23 21 21 155 Emi Stephanoff '17 [1-7]
Micky Munns '19 [1-4, 7]
Alex Shapiro '19 [5-6]
Archie Williams High School Archie Williams High School Varsity 22 9 30 27 28 20 25 161 Dylan Meade '16
Antonio Mejia '16
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Varsity DSQ 20 19 26 26 24 22 168 Hayden Potter '16
Makena Barkus '18
Marin Academy Marin Academy Varsity 24 28 27 20 27 26 24 176 Alyson Crowley '16 [1-7]
Jack Lamarre '17 [1-4]
Parker Kulavic '18 [5-7]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity 28 30 29 22 30 28 DNF 198 Gwynie Dunlevy '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Mats Keldsen '19 [3-4, 7]
Sarah Paulsen '16 [1-2, 5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV2 7 7 4 4 1 1 1 25 Andrew Person '17 [1-7]
Riley Schupak '16 [1-4]
Marley Mais '17 [5-7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers Varsity 2 4 8 1 2 5 7 29 Steven Leuck '16
Megan Lansdale '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Varsity 1 1 12 5 3 3 6 31 Joseph Hou '18
Emily Overstreet '17
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 9 8 7 3 5 4 5 41 Derek Pickell '16
Kate Madigan '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV 1 5 14 11 6 6 8 8 58 Sean Dahl '17
Laurel Foster '18
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Varsity 12 9 10 8 13 2 9 63 Lucas Pierce '17 [1-7]
Lauren Seigel '16 [1-2]
Caden Scheiblauer '19 [3-7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers JV 1 8 22 2 14 7 10 2 65 Jack Reiter '18 [1-7]
Katharine Bowman '16 [1-4]
Nate Dimelfi '16 [5-7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers JV 2 20 17 1 2 11 11 BKD 72 Jack Joslin '18 [1-7]
Kenny Moats '17 [1-4]
James Ozaki '19 [5-7]
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Varsity 13 10 9 11 4 14 21 82 Samuel Merson '18
Madeleine Mcgrath '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV1 18 18 3 10 9 9 15 82 Carter Scott '16
Eliza Moody '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Varsity 10 12 17 12 14 BKD 10 88 Jesse Mcknight '16
Kylie Freitas '16
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Varsity 4 6 16 21 8 24 16 95 Pj Eaton '17
Joey Simon '18
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity 6 13 21 19 10 12 BKD 95 Michael Tellini '17
Paige Dunlevy '16
Redwood High School Redwood High School Varsity 14 11 5 16 25 BKD 11 96 Harry Schmidt '16
Liam Farese '18
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders JV1 11 3 15 9 19 22 18 97 Tanner Chapko '17
Tristan Richmond '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV 2 22 19 6 7 16 15 12 97 Michael Farris '17 [1-6]
Robert Garrett '17 [7]
Jordan Sellinger '16 [1-4]
Ashton Brown '18 [5-6]
Christopher Sandoval '18 [7]
Branson School Branson School Varsity 15 16 18 18 12 6 13 98 Kamila Harting '18
Daniel Pascal '17
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Varsity 27 20 14 13 BKD 7 4 99 Bobby Briggs '16 [1-7]
Isabelle Meegan '19 [1-2]
Paige Okey '17 [3-6]
Madison Nadelman '16 [7]
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Varsity 16 2 23 24 17 13 20 115 Gavin Mcjones '19
Hannah Rener '16
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 17 5 20 17 DNF 28 14 132 Trent Turigliatto '18 [1-7]
Christina Vandyke '19 [1-4]
Alan Peoples '17 [5-7]
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 3 21 19 25 23 21 25 137 Jake Zieba '18 [1-7]
Julia Golison '19 [1-2]
James Giles '18 [3-4]
Tom Morel '19 [5-7]
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Varsity 21 29 24 22 15 19 19 149 Duke Saunders '16
Leah James '17
Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 23 15 22 27 22 17 24 150 Jack Plavan '19
Lizzie Russell '17
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Varsity 28 25 30 30 24 16 3 156 Angela Stuckey '16 [1-2]
Calvin Tiernan '18 [3-4]
Daniel Belton '16 [5-7]
Calvin Tiernan '18 [1-2]
Jack Polnisch '17 [3-6]
Angela Stuckey '16 [7]
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Varsity 19 23 27 20 21 20 27 157 Chris Kayda '19
Sachin Suri '19
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 30 28 13 23 26 25 17 162 Sumner Strumph '17 [1-7]
Juliana Testa '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Cali Salinas '19 [3-4]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Varsity 25 24 25 15 28 27 22 166 Andy Strike '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Tye Varnes '17 [3-4, 7]
Kate Hofele '17 [1-7]
Marin Academy Marin Academy Varsity 24 27 28 26 20 23 23 171 Madeline Kuhn '16 [1-7]
Emily Ritter '16 [1-2]
Jack Lamarre '17 [3-7]
Alameda High School Alameda High School Varsity 29 30 26 29 18 18 26 176 Miles Orozco '16 [1-7]
Dimitri Stetsenko '16 [1-4]
Liam Orozco '19 [5-7]
Archie Williams High School Archie Williams High School Varsity 26 26 29 28 27 26 28 190 Sam Barton '17
Delaney Hunt '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Varsity1133557
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Varsity2244668
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity3355779
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV 155779911
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV 26688101012
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity44668810
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders JV1881010121214
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Varsity7799111113
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Varsity991111131315
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Varsity10101212141416
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits11111313151517
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins12121414161618
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Varsity13131515171719
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Varsity14141616181820
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV116161818202022
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV217171919212123
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Varsity15151717191921
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Varsity18182020222224
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers JV 120202222242426
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers JV 221212323252527
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers Varsity19192121232325
Redondo Union High SchoolRedondo Union High School Varsity22222424262628
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Varsity23232525272729
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Varsity24242626282830
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Varsity2525272729291
Archie Williams High SchoolArchie Williams High School Varsity2626282830302
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Varsity27272929113
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers28283030224
Bishop's SchoolBishop's School Knights292911335
Branson SchoolBranson School Varsity303022446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Varsity2244668
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Varsity3355779
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity44668810
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV 16688101012
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV 27799111113
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity55779911
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders JV1991111131315
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Varsity881010121214
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Varsity10101212141416
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Varsity11111313151517
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits12121414161618
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins13131515171719
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Varsity14141616181820
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Varsity15151717191921
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV117171919212123
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV218182020222224
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Varsity16161818202022
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Varsity19192121232325
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers JV 121212323252527
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers JV 222222424262628
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers Varsity20202222242426
Redondo Union High SchoolRedondo Union High School Varsity23232525272729
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Varsity24242626282830
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Varsity2525272729291
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Varsity2626282830302
Archie Williams High SchoolArchie Williams High School Varsity27272929113
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Varsity28283030224
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers292911335
Bishop's SchoolBishop's School Knights303022446
Branson SchoolBranson School Varsity1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Alameda High School Alameda High School Drake Hayes '17 Noelle Siriot '16
Varsity Miles Orozco '16 [1-7] Dimitri Stetsenko '16 [1-4]
Liam Orozco '19 [5-7]
Archie Williams High School Archie Williams High School Dylan Meade '16 Antonio Mejia '16
Varsity Sam Barton '17 Delaney Hunt '17
Bishop's School Bishop's School Amanda Majernik '18 [1-2, 7]
Daisy Holthus '17 [3-6]		 Claire Lester '17 [1-7]
Knights Jack Plavan '19 Lizzie Russell '17
Branson School Branson School Jackson Ritter '16 Ben Hoffner '16
Varsity Kamila Harting '18 Daniel Pascal '17
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Ryan Ratliffe '17 [1-7] Elizabeth Matheson '16 [1-4]
Ryan Mcconnville '18 [5-7]
Varsity Jesse Mcknight '16 Kylie Freitas '16
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Gwynie Dunlevy '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Mats Keldsen '19 [3-4, 7]		 Sarah Paulsen '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Varsity Michael Tellini '17 Paige Dunlevy '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Porter Killian '18 Catherine Webb '18
JV 1 Sean Dahl '17 Laurel Foster '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Cameron Wood '18 [1-6]
Jack Detmers '17 [7]		 Victoria Thompson '17 [1-6]
Ian Sellinger '18 [7]
JV 2 Michael Farris '17 [1-6]
Robert Garrett '17 [7]		 Jordan Sellinger '16 [1-4]
Ashton Brown '18 [5-6]
Christopher Sandoval '18 [7]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Rhodes Garner '16 Sammy Pickell '18
Sea Kings Varsity Derek Pickell '16 Kate Madigan '16
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nicole Simon '16 Katie Roughneen '16
JV1 Tanner Chapko '17 Tristan Richmond '18
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Grace Yakutis '16 Casey King '16
Varsity Pj Eaton '17 Joey Simon '18
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Ryan Eastwood '18 [1-7] Sara Muir '18 [1-6]
Yannick Gloster '18 [7]
Varsity Chris Kayda '19 Sachin Suri '19
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Cole Harris '18 Athena Malcolm '16
Varsity Samuel Merson '18 Madeleine Mcgrath '18
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Cameron Feves '18 Taylor Milefchek '18
Jackrabbits Jake Zieba '18 [1-7] Julia Golison '19 [1-2]
James Giles '18 [3-4]
Tom Morel '19 [5-7]
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Sawyer Gibbs '16 Roxanne Snyder '19
Bruins Trent Turigliatto '18 [1-7] Christina Vandyke '19 [1-4]
Alan Peoples '17 [5-7]
Marin Academy Marin Academy Alyson Crowley '16 [1-7] Jack Lamarre '17 [1-4]
Parker Kulavic '18 [5-7]
Varsity Madeline Kuhn '16 [1-7] Emily Ritter '16 [1-2]
Jack Lamarre '17 [3-7]
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Peter Neal '16 Sara James '17
Varsity Duke Saunders '16 Leah James '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Michael Sabourin '16 Madeline Bubb '16
JV1 Carter Scott '16 Eliza Moody '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Patrick Shannon '16 [1-7] Katie Mcallister '17 [1-6]
Grace Blackman '16 [7]
JV2 Andrew Person '17 [1-7] Riley Schupak '16 [1-4]
Marley Mais '17 [5-7]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sean Segerblom '16 Briggs D'Eliscu '16
Varsity Joseph Hou '18 Emily Overstreet '17
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Kyle Collins '17 Cameron Neligan '19
Varsity Gavin Mcjones '19 Hannah Rener '16
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Paul Didham '16 James (Jd) Schrady '18
Pointers JV 1 Jack Reiter '18 [1-7] Katharine Bowman '16 [1-4]
Nate Dimelfi '16 [5-7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Cole Baker '16 Conner Mccully '18
Pointers JV 2 Jack Joslin '18 [1-7] Kenny Moats '17 [1-4]
James Ozaki '19 [5-7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Jack Mcgraw '16 Emma Batcher '18
Pointers Varsity Steven Leuck '16 Megan Lansdale '16
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Emi Stephanoff '17 [1-7] Micky Munns '19 [1-4, 7]
Alex Shapiro '19 [5-6]
Varsity Angela Stuckey '16 [1-2]
Calvin Tiernan '18 [3-4]
Daniel Belton '16 [5-7]		 Calvin Tiernan '18 [1-2]
Jack Polnisch '17 [3-6]
Angela Stuckey '16 [7]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Will Martens '16 [1-7] Chloe Holder '19 [1-4]
Chloe Belgum '16 [5-7]
Varsity Harry Schmidt '16 Liam Farese '18
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Jacob Rosenberg '16 Madison Nadelman '16
Varsity Bobby Briggs '16 [1-7] Isabelle Meegan '19 [1-2]
Paige Okey '17 [3-6]
Madison Nadelman '16 [7]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Evan Heffernan '16 [1-7] Jodie Jacobs '16 [1-6]
Lauren Seigel '16 [7]
Varsity Lucas Pierce '17 [1-7] Lauren Seigel '16 [1-2]
Caden Scheiblauer '19 [3-7]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Hayden Potter '16 Makena Barkus '18
Varsity Andy Strike '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Tye Varnes '17 [3-4, 7]		 Kate Hofele '17 [1-7]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Spencer Paulsen '16 Chloe Bohannon '16
Breakers Sumner Strumph '17 [1-7] Juliana Testa '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Cali Salinas '19 [3-4]

Conditions — 11/14/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From S (190°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1013.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Newport Harbor: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Newport Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →