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Anteater Regatta - Gold

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 47 22 69
2 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 18 54 72
3 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 24 70 94
4 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 48 53 101
5 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 40 80 120
6 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 84 70 154
7 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4 70 87 157
8 Parker Parker Parker 1 110 49 159
9 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1 140 54 194
10 Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 61 138 199
11 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 129 73 202
12 Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 102 106 208
13 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 93 118 211
14 Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 95 119 214
15 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 112 104 216
16 Parker Parker Parker 2 80 140 220
17 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 133 92 225
18 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 85 143 228
19 South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans 155 94 249
20 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 83 182 265
21 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 175 102 277
22 Branson School Branson School Bulls 121 160 281
23 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 136 152 288
24 The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 173 118 291
25 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 153 146 299
26 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 135 168 303
27 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 162 145 307
28 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 181 126 307
29 Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 164 148 312
30 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2 173 159 332
31 Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 177 200 377
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 1 3 1 1 2 3 7 18 Joseph Hou '18
Emily Overstreet '17
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 8 6 2 5 1 1 1 24 Max Mayol '19
Catherine Webb '18
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 4 13 13 3 3 2 2 40 Ryan Eastwood '18
Sara Muir '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 6 1 3 2 5 9 21 47 Jack Reiter '18 [1-7]
Remy Reynolds '17 [1-4]
James (Jd) Schrady '18 [5-7]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 7 2 5 16 6 8 4 48 Porter Killian '18
Sammy Pickell '18
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 11 10 10 7 7 13 3 61 Cameron Feves '18
Taylor Milefchek '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4 20 11 11 9 8 5 6 70 Ryan Tolsma '18
Carah Reddin '18
Parker Parker Parker 2 14 16 7 4 11 18 10 80 Samuel Merson '18
Allison Silverstein '18
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 5 7 6 14 15 19 17 83 Ryan Ratliffe '17 [1-7]
Oliveira Calista '19 [1-4]
Dobos-Bubno Camrynn '18 [5-7]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 10 14 4 6 13 10 27 84 Scott Mais '19
Grace Vandervort '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 2 15 18 10 10 22 8 85 Marley Mais '17
Harrington Bubb '19
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 21 24 8 19 12 4 5 93 Lucas Pierce '17
Katelon Egan '18
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 9 9 20 22 4 6 25 95 Pj Eaton '17
Tristan Richmond '18
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 23 5 16 13 22 14 9 102 Brock Paquin '18 [1-7]
Tanner Chapko '17 [1-4, 7]
Amy Schafer '19 [5-6]
Parker Parker Parker 1 22 23 9 12 17 7 20 110 Jack Joslin '18
Isabel Sanchez '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 3 12 19 21 23 15 BKD 112 Marcus Huttunen '20
Emma Batcher '18
Branson School Branson School Bulls 13 4 25 27 28 11 13 121 Nicholas Marwell '17
Daniel Pascal '17
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 15 8 21 30 19 20 16 129 Ryan Schack '17
Roxanne Snyder '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 16 22 27 8 14 28 18 133 Taisei Hatter '19
Jonah Hatt '19
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 26 21 22 15 16 23 12 135 Wells Drayton '17
Paige Okey '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 17 20 23 23 18 12 23 136 Trenton Bashaw '18
Skyler Jacobsen '19
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1 28 17 12 17 29 26 11 140 Kyle Collins '17
Justin Zmina '19
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 31 26 31 11 9 31 14 153 Sally Wilmot '18
Kai Otsmaa '17
South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans 18 30 14 18 24 29 22 155 Sean Tallman '18
Alex Krouse '17
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 12 31 24 20 26 25 24 162 Tommy Young '18
Ian Roddy '18
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 19 25 28 24 21 21 26 164 Michael Tellini '17 [1-7]
Olivia Mohun '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexander Nunez '20 [3-4, 7]
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2 25 19 17 31 BKD 24 30 173 Lukas Kraak '19
Cameron Neligan '19
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 30 27 15 29 27 30 15 173 Amanda Majernik '18 [1-4, 7]
Gabe Cappetta '17 [5-6]
Lizzie Russell '17 [1-7]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 29 18 29 26 25 17 31 175 Anthony Zorayan '18 [1-7]
Matt Sanchez '18 [1-4]
Dutch Dietrick '20 [5-7]
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 24 29 30 28 20 27 19 177 Emi Stephanoff '17
Michael Fineman '21
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 27 28 26 25 30 16 29 181 Robert Garrett '17 [1-4]
Jack Detmers '17 [5-7]
Kaiya Bertrand '18 [1-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 2 3 6 3 4 3 1 22 Jack Egan '20 [1-7]
James (Jd) Schrady '18 [1-2]
Kenny Moats '17 [3-7]
Parker Parker Parker 1 1 19 5 4 3 9 8 49 Cole Harris '18
Madeleine Mcgrath '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 9 10 4 2 2 15 11 53 Sean Dahl '17
Laurel Foster '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 7 4 1 6 14 2 20 54 Andrew Person '17
Amy Sabourin '19
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1 14 1 7 11 12 5 4 54 Gavin Mcjones '19
Grant Coors '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 6 2 22 9 8 21 2 70 Wills Cook '19
Katie Mcallister '17
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 17 13 11 1 15 10 3 70 David Wood '19
Victoria Thompson '17
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 15 6 12 25 1 4 10 73 Trent Turigliatto '18
Christina Vandyke '19
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 18 5 26 7 5 7 12 80 Chris Kayda '19
Sophie Thompson '17
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4 21 8 15 12 6 20 5 87 Christopher Sandoval '18
Lex Nasser '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 4 9 10 15 18 17 19 92 Aidan Hoogland '20
Andrew Larson '17
South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans 23 14 28 8 7 1 13 94 Luke Pond '19
Dane Gramstrup '19
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 24 16 17 17 16 6 6 102 Jeffrey Petersen '20
Sarah Politiski '17
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 28 7 8 14 9 13 25 104 Diego Escobar '20
Trevor Jones '19
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 16 11 19 5 22 24 9 106 Sam Roughneen '18
Joey Simon '18
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 3 25 3 18 27 12 30 118 Daisy Holthus '17 [1-6]
Lizzie Russell '17 [7]
Cal Pedroli '19 [1-7]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 31 17 16 21 10 8 15 118 Caden Scheiblauer '19 [1-7]
Chris Ozolins '19 [1-4]
Paul Harteck '18 [5-7]
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 25 20 14 10 13 14 23 119 Crew Fristch '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Schafer '17 [3-4, 7]
Evan Arnold '17 [1-2]
Carolyn Kearns '18 [3-4, 7]
Max Stangl '17 [5-6]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 10 24 24 20 25 16 7 126 Michael Farris '17 [1-4]
Cameron Wood '18 [5-7]
Carolyn Horton '19 [1-7]
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 13 26 9 27 20 27 16 138 Jake Zieba '18
James Giles '18
Parker Parker Parker 2 11 12 18 24 21 23 31 140 Annabelle Huyard '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Cameron Cage '20 [3-4]
Cameron Cage '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Annabelle Huyard '20 [3-4]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 27 18 13 16 24 18 27 143 Reid Wiley '18
Brooke Wilke '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 19 28 2 29 19 26 22 145 Kaelin Stock '18
Madeline Stull '19
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 12 23 23 22 23 19 24 146 Thomas Erisman '19
Ian Churchill '19
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 20 22 20 30 11 28 17 148 Mats Keldsen '19 [1-7]
Lulu Desai '18 [1-6]
Olivia Mohun '19 [7]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 5 30 21 13 31 31 21 152 Pearce Mendoza '19 [1-6]
Erik Hou '20 [7]
Will Vandervort '19 [1-6]
Madison Bashaw '20 [7]
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2 22 15 27 19 28 22 26 159 Kaili Campbell '17
Emily Collins '19
Branson School Branson School Bulls 8 31 25 23 26 29 18 160 Andrew Fisher '19 [1-7]
Kamila Harting '18 [1-4]
Emma Kami '19 [5-7]
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 26 29 29 28 17 25 14 168 Jonathan Chance '19
Dylan Strode '18
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 29 21 31 31 30 11 29 182 Ryan Mcconnville '18
Desantis Jennifer '19
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 30 27 30 26 29 30 28 200 Calvin Tiernan '18 [1-7]
Greg Fujita '19 [1-2, 7]
Jasmine Christensen '20 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons2244668
Convent and Stuart HallConvent and Stuart Hall Cubs3355779
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 144668810
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 255779911
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 36688101012
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 47799111113
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 1881010121214
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 2991111131315
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers10101212141416
ParkerParker Parker 121212323252527
ParkerParker Parker 222222424262628
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits11111313151517
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins12121414161618
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs13131515171719
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors14141616181820
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 115151717191921
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 216161818202022
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 317171919212123
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 418182020222224
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings 119192121232325
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings 220202222242426
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 123232525272729
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 224242626282830
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 325252727292931
Redondo Union High SchoolRedondo Union High School Sea Hawks2626282830301
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants2727292931312
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning28283030113
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons29293131224
South Torrance High SchoolSouth Torrance High School Spartans303011335
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights313122446
Branson SchoolBranson School Bulls1133557

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons3355779
Convent and Stuart HallConvent and Stuart Hall Cubs44668810
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 155779911
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 26688101012
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 37799111113
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4881010121214
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 1991111131315
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 210101212141416
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers11111313151517
ParkerParker Parker 122222424262628
ParkerParker Parker 223232525272729
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits12121414161618
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins13131515171719
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs14141616181820
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors15151717191921
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 116161818202022
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 217171919212123
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 318182020222224
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 419192121232325
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings 120202222242426
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings 221212323252527
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 124242626282830
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 225252727292931
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 32626282830301
Redondo Union High SchoolRedondo Union High School Sea Hawks2727292931312
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants28283030113
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning29293131224
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons303011335
South Torrance High SchoolSouth Torrance High School Spartans313122446
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights1133557
Branson SchoolBranson School Bulls2244668
School / Team SkipperCrew
Branson School Branson School Nicholas Marwell '17 Daniel Pascal '17
Bulls Andrew Fisher '19 [1-7] Kamila Harting '18 [1-4]
Emma Kami '19 [5-7]
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Ryan Ratliffe '17 [1-7] Oliveira Calista '19 [1-4]
Dobos-Bubno Camrynn '18 [5-7]
Dons Ryan Mcconnville '18 Desantis Jennifer '19
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Michael Tellini '17 [1-7] Olivia Mohun '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexander Nunez '20 [3-4, 7]
Cubs Mats Keldsen '19 [1-7] Lulu Desai '18 [1-6]
Olivia Mohun '19 [7]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Porter Killian '18 Sammy Pickell '18
Sea Kings 1 Sean Dahl '17 Laurel Foster '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Max Mayol '19 Catherine Webb '18
Sea Kings 2 David Wood '19 Victoria Thompson '17
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Robert Garrett '17 [1-4]
Jack Detmers '17 [5-7]		 Kaiya Bertrand '18 [1-7]
Sea Kings 3 Michael Farris '17 [1-4]
Cameron Wood '18 [5-7]		 Carolyn Horton '19 [1-7]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Ryan Tolsma '18 Carah Reddin '18
Sea Kings 4 Christopher Sandoval '18 Lex Nasser '18
Coronado High School Coronado High School Pj Eaton '17 Tristan Richmond '18
Islanders 1 Crew Fristch '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Schafer '17 [3-4, 7]		 Evan Arnold '17 [1-2]
Carolyn Kearns '18 [3-4, 7]
Max Stangl '17 [5-6]
Coronado High School Coronado High School Brock Paquin '18 [1-7] Tanner Chapko '17 [1-4, 7]
Amy Schafer '19 [5-6]
Islanders 2 Sam Roughneen '18 Joey Simon '18
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Ryan Eastwood '18 Sara Muir '18
Chargers Chris Kayda '19 Sophie Thompson '17
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Cameron Feves '18 Taylor Milefchek '18
Jackrabbits Jake Zieba '18 James Giles '18
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Ryan Schack '17 Roxanne Snyder '19
Bruins Trent Turigliatto '18 Christina Vandyke '19
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Anthony Zorayan '18 [1-7] Matt Sanchez '18 [1-4]
Dutch Dietrick '20 [5-7]
Monarchs Jeffrey Petersen '20 Sarah Politiski '17
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Sally Wilmot '18 Kai Otsmaa '17
Matadors Thomas Erisman '19 Ian Churchill '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Joseph Hou '18 Emily Overstreet '17
Sailors 1 Andrew Person '17 Amy Sabourin '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Scott Mais '19 Grace Vandervort '17
Sailors 2 Wills Cook '19 Katie Mcallister '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Marley Mais '17 Harrington Bubb '19
Sailors 3 Reid Wiley '18 Brooke Wilke '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Trenton Bashaw '18 Skyler Jacobsen '19
Sailors 4 Pearce Mendoza '19 [1-6]
Erik Hou '20 [7]		 Will Vandervort '19 [1-6]
Madison Bashaw '20 [7]
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Kyle Collins '17 Justin Zmina '19
Sea Kings 1 Gavin Mcjones '19 Grant Coors '19
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Lukas Kraak '19 Cameron Neligan '19
Sea Kings 2 Kaili Campbell '17 Emily Collins '19
Parker Parker Jack Joslin '18 Isabel Sanchez '18
Parker 1 Cole Harris '18 Madeleine Mcgrath '18
Parker Parker Samuel Merson '18 Allison Silverstein '18
Parker 2 Annabelle Huyard '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Cameron Cage '20 [3-4]		 Cameron Cage '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Annabelle Huyard '20 [3-4]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Jack Reiter '18 [1-7] Remy Reynolds '17 [1-4]
James (Jd) Schrady '18 [5-7]
Pointers 1 Jack Egan '20 [1-7] James (Jd) Schrady '18 [1-2]
Kenny Moats '17 [3-7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Marcus Huttunen '20 Emma Batcher '18
Pointers 2 Diego Escobar '20 Trevor Jones '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Taisei Hatter '19 Jonah Hatt '19
Pointers 3 Aidan Hoogland '20 Andrew Larson '17
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Emi Stephanoff '17 Michael Fineman '21
Sea Hawks Calvin Tiernan '18 [1-7] Greg Fujita '19 [1-2, 7]
Jasmine Christensen '20 [3-6]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Tommy Young '18 Ian Roddy '18
Giants Kaelin Stock '18 Madeline Stull '19
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Wells Drayton '17 Paige Okey '17
Lightning Jonathan Chance '19 Dylan Strode '18
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Lucas Pierce '17 Katelon Egan '18
Dons Caden Scheiblauer '19 [1-7] Chris Ozolins '19 [1-4]
Paul Harteck '18 [5-7]
South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Sean Tallman '18 Alex Krouse '17
Spartans Luke Pond '19 Dane Gramstrup '19
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Amanda Majernik '18 [1-4, 7]
Gabe Cappetta '17 [5-6]		 Lizzie Russell '17 [1-7]
Knights Daisy Holthus '17 [1-6]
Lizzie Russell '17 [7]		 Cal Pedroli '19 [1-7]

Conditions — 11/12/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1023.4 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From WNW (299°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover12% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1023.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn · W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Newport Harbor Yacht Club: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport Harbor Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Newport Harbor Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →