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Minnesota Conference Finale Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 12 17 29
2 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 32 24 56
3 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 33 28 61
4 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 17 51 68
5 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 35 47 82
6 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 49 33 82
7 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 63 31 94
8 Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 57 37 94
9 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 71 42 113
10 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 51 70 121
11 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 68 61 129
12 Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 57 73 130
13 Hudson Hudson Mixed 56 76 132
14 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 44 88 132
15 Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 82 60 142
16 St. Paul Central High School St. Paul Central High School Mixed 90 78 168
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 2 1 1 5 2 12 Jackson Connell '17
Brianna Misk '17
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 2 1 2 4 2 6 17 Jason Davis '17
Madison Mott '17
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 3 7 3 10 1 8 32 Seamus Hendrickson '21 [1-6]
Divya Periakaruppan '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Dominic Serino '19 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 6 5 9 2 4 7 33 Rachel Bartel '20 [1-6]
Helen Mcdonnell '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Mei Vickery '21 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 4 6 6 8 7 4 35 Jack Indritz '17
Cole Barre '21
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 9 10 5 14 3 3 44 Toby Sullivan '19
Jose Verela '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 10 12 4 12 10 1 49 Katie Krauska '17
Lucas Haarstad '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 5 3 12 13 9 9 51 Matthew Kickhafer '19
Kacy Bryant '18
Hudson Hudson Mixed 8 8 11 3 12 14 56 Brian Olson '18
Emmanuel Hanson '20
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 7 11 13 5 11 10 57 Michael Dowson '19
Khan Dickel '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed DSQ 4 10 9 6 11 57 Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17 [1-6]
Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17 [1-2]
Teddy Damm '17 [3-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 12 9 16 6 8 12 63 Erik Sundberg '17 [1-6]
Megan Schoenzeit '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Martin Weiss '22 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 11 13 8 7 16 13 68 Lucia Loosbrock '21
Beth Walsh '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 13 15 14 11 13 5 71 Simon Rothman '17
Remi Clark '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 14 16 7 16 14 15 82 Sean Mcaneney '21
Willem Robertson '20
St. Paul Central High School St. Paul Central High School Mixed 15 14 15 15 15 16 90 Annahalle Miller '18 [1-6]
Leif Saveraid '18 [1-4]
Annahalle Miller '18 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 4 1 2 2 2 6 17 Emma Aubuchon '19
Anna Brew '17
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 8 6 1 6 2 24 Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-6]
Ellen Tovb '19 [1-4]
Dominic Serino '19 [5-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 9 5 5 3 1 5 28 Erich Pinske '18 [1-6]
Chase Blum '18 [1-4]
Mei Vickery '21 [5-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 6 3 1 6 5 10 31 Archie Bolgar '19 [1-6]
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21 [1-4]
Martin Weiss '22 [5-6]
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 3 10 3 7 7 3 33 Will Hedburg '18
Jack Wall '17
Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 2 9 7 9 9 1 37 Nicole Giuliani '20
Mason Pirner '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 7 11 4 12 4 4 42 Calvin Lamosse '21 [1-2]
James Jagielski '21 [3-6]
Gints Pelecis '21 [1-2]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 8 14 9 4 3 9 47 Clara Brown '18
Anika Liner '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 5 4 8 14 13 7 51 Thomas Jagielski '18
Henry Chadbourn '18
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 12 7 10 8 15 8 60 Tighe Case '18 [1-2, 5]
Anna Rose '15 [3-4, 6]
Jack Erickson '17 [1-2, 5]
Tate Nolte '17 [3-4, 6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 10 2 12 10 16 11 61 Garrett Moen '19
Rowan O'Connell '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 14 13 14 5 12 12 70 Lexie Baker '19
Evan Komis '20
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 15 6 15 13 11 13 73 Alexa Shinler '20
Joseph Goleczka '19
Hudson Hudson Mixed 11 15 11 15 8 16 76 Katie Wallace '18
Leigh Marker '17
St. Paul Central High School St. Paul Central High School Mixed 13 12 13 16 10 14 78 Leif Saveraid '18 [1-6]
Annahalle Miller '18 [1-4]
Leif Saveraid '18 [5-6]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 16 16 16 11 14 15 88 Karan Jain '19
Emmet Tanzer-Tragatsch '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Mixed131313131313
Eden Prairie Sailing TeamEden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed161616161616
HudsonHudson Mixed777777
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed444444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1888888
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2191919191919
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers232323232323
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed555555
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 1111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 2222222222222
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1121212121212
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2151515151515
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School mixed666666
St. Paul Central High SchoolSt. Paul Central High School Mixed141414141414
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed333333
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy111111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Mixed131313131313
Eden Prairie Sailing TeamEden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed161616161616
HudsonHudson Mixed777777
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed444444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1888888
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2191919191919
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers232323232323
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed555555
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 1111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 2222222222222
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1121212121212
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2151515151515
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School mixed666666
St. Paul Central High SchoolSt. Paul Central High School Mixed141414141414
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed333333
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy111111111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Katie Krauska '17 Lucas Haarstad '17
Mixed Will Hedburg '18 Jack Wall '17
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Michael Dowson '19 Khan Dickel '20
Mixed Alexa Shinler '20 Joseph Goleczka '19
Hudson Hudson Brian Olson '18 Emmanuel Hanson '20
Mixed Katie Wallace '18 Leigh Marker '17
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Jack Indritz '17 Cole Barre '21
Mixed Clara Brown '18 Anika Liner '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lucia Loosbrock '21 Beth Walsh '20
Skippers 1 Garrett Moen '19 Rowan O'Connell '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Matthew Kickhafer '19 Kacy Bryant '18
Skippers 2 Lexie Baker '19 Evan Komis '20
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Toby Sullivan '19 Jose Verela '19
Panthers Karan Jain '19 Emmet Tanzer-Tragatsch '21
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 [1-6] Divya Periakaruppan '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Dominic Serino '19 [3-4]
Mixed Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-6] Ellen Tovb '19 [1-4]
Dominic Serino '19 [5-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 [1-6] Helen Mcdonnell '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Mei Vickery '21 [3-4]
Scarlet 1 Erich Pinske '18 [1-6] Chase Blum '18 [1-4]
Mei Vickery '21 [5-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Erik Sundberg '17 [1-6] Megan Schoenzeit '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Martin Weiss '22 [3-4]
Scarlet 2 Archie Bolgar '19 [1-6] Jack (Henry) Strommen '21 [1-4]
Martin Weiss '22 [5-6]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Simon Rothman '17 Remi Clark '20
Varsity 1 Calvin Lamosse '21 [1-2]
James Jagielski '21 [3-6]		 Gints Pelecis '21 [1-2]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Jason Davis '17 Madison Mott '17
Varsity 2 Thomas Jagielski '18 Henry Chadbourn '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17 [1-6] Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17 [1-2]
Teddy Damm '17 [3-6]
mixed Nicole Giuliani '20 Mason Pirner '21
St. Paul Central High School St. Paul Central High School Annahalle Miller '18 [1-6] Leif Saveraid '18 [1-4]
Annahalle Miller '18 [5-6]
Mixed Leif Saveraid '18 [1-6] Annahalle Miller '18 [1-4]
Leif Saveraid '18 [5-6]
Washburn High School Washburn High School Sean Mcaneney '21 Willem Robertson '20
mixed Tighe Case '18 [1-2, 5]
Anna Rose '15 [3-4, 6]		 Jack Erickson '17 [1-2, 5]
Tate Nolte '17 [3-4, 6]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Jackson Connell '17 Brianna Misk '17
Navy Emma Aubuchon '19 Anna Brew '17

Conditions — 10/29/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1016.7 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NNW (348°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1016.7 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Edina/Hopkins/Robbinsdale Cooper/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Central/Washburn: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Edina/Hopkins/Robbinsdale Cooper/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Central/Washburn by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Edina/Hopkins/Robbinsdale Cooper/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Central/Washburn: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →