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NJISA Wednesday Series 2016-2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 12 8 20
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 11 9 20
3 Red Bank Regional High School Red Bank Regional High School Bucs 13 13 26
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 12 16 28
5 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 20 25 45
6 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 31 14 45
7 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 25 26 51
8 Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 30 25 55
9 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 20 42 62
10 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 40 23 63
11 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 27 40 67
12 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 42 25 67
13 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 38 33 71
14 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 19 54 73
15 St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 39 39 78
16 Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 2 33 47 80
17 Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 1 52 34 86
18 Toms River East Toms River East Raiders 49 40 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 6 2 3 11 Joe Laforgia '17
Justin Modin '19
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 1 10 12 Emily Haig '17
Kailee Forlai '17
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 2 9 1 12 Chris Magno '17 [1-3]
Quinn Harrington '19 [1-2]
Jack Harrington '18 [3]
Red Bank Regional High School Red Bank Regional High School Bucs 8 3 2 13 Colleen Obrien '20 [1-2]
Mitchell Quinn '20 [3]
Michael Meehan '22 [1-2]
Harrison Quinn '20 [3]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 4 7 8 19 Cameron Giblin '19
Catherine Vucetic '19
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 5 6 9 20 Shaanti Choi-Bose '19
No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 9 5 6 20 Luke Arnone '19
Blake Epstein '19
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 7 14 4 25 Eddie Harrison '18
Devin Leadbetter '17
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 10 10 7 27 Willow Wahlers '17 [1-2]
Joey Cashman '18 [3]
Paige Zelenak '19 [1-2]
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 11 4 15 30 Brendan Gilman '18 [1-2]
Shayn Lynch '18 [3]
Lauren Darval '18 [1-2]
Matthew Mcconnell '18 [3]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 13 13 5 31 Cole Banias '17
Camryn Kennedy '17
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 2 3 16 14 33 Taboada Peter '20
Maxwell Bonanno '19
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 14 11 13 38 Zach Higham '19
Alexa Carles '19
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 15 12 12 39 Connor Murray '17 [1-2]
Michael Pinto '19 [3]
Vincent Cordasco '20 [1-2]
Chris Medolla '20 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 12 17 11 40 Lauren Ehnot '20
Holly Koerwer '17
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 18 8 16 42 Margaret Maccormack '17 [1-3]
Catherine Cooke '17 [1-2]
Alexis Tedesco '17 [3]
Toms River East Toms River East Raiders 16 15 18 49 No Show
No Show
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 1 17 18 17 52 Patience Harrington '17
Nicastro Dino '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 4 1 3 8 Tom Green '19
Kendal Forlai '20
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 2 2 5 9 Michael Ehnot '18
Ryan Mullins '19
Red Bank Regional High School Red Bank Regional High School Bucs 1 8 4 13 Michaela Obrien '20
Kieran Nevins '20
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 5 3 6 14 Erin Mcgarry '17
Maureen Mcgarry '17
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 7 7 2 16 Garret Boyan '17 [1-3]
Luke Caponegro '18 [1-2]
Jonathan Wilhelm '17 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 3 13 7 23 Julia Laforgia '19
Kailin Burns-Cohen '18
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 8 6 11 25 Molly Meehan '19 [1-3]
Caroline Fortier '19 [1-2]
Christopher Quindes '19 [3]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 13 4 8 25 Patrick Modin '19
No Show
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 14 10 1 25 Regina Vahey '18 [1-2]
Taylor Warwick '20 [3]
Vincent Priolo '19 [1-2]
Nate Ciak '20 [3]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 12 5 9 26 James Koerner '17
Everett Botwinick '22
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 9 12 12 33 No Show
Tabitha Paul '19
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 1 15 9 10 34 Macmoyle John '17
Fifield Scott '16
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 6 16 17 39 Zachary York '20 [1-2]
Patrick York '20 [3]
Timothy Capalbo '20 [1-2]
Luke Alley '20 [3]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 10 14 16 40 Lauren Zelenak '17
Leo Krajewski '19
Toms River East Toms River East Raiders 16 11 13 40 No Show
No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 11 17 14 42 Mari Patient '17
Julia Wolf '19
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 2 17 15 15 47 Reilly Fitzgerald '18
Vasel Luke '20
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 18 18 18 54 Matthew Hamelsky '19
Kelsey Stout '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles 1181818
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles 2171717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1161616
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2151515
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1141414
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2131313
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1121212
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2111111
Red Bank Catholic High SchoolRed Bank Catholic High School Caseys101010
Red Bank Regional High SchoolRed Bank Regional High School Bucs999
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs888
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams777
St. Augustine Prep SchoolSt. Augustine Prep School Hermits666
Toms River EastToms River East Raiders555
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners444
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1333
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2222
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs111

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles 1181818
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles 2171717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1161616
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2151515
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1141414
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2131313
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1121212
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2111111
Red Bank Catholic High SchoolRed Bank Catholic High School Caseys101010
Red Bank Regional High SchoolRed Bank Regional High School Bucs999
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs888
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams777
St. Augustine Prep SchoolSt. Augustine Prep School Hermits666
Toms River EastToms River East Raiders555
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners444
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1333
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2222
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Patience Harrington '17 Nicastro Dino '20
Eagles 1 Macmoyle John '17 Fifield Scott '16
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Taboada Peter '20 Maxwell Bonanno '19
Eagles 2 Reilly Fitzgerald '18 Vasel Luke '20
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Chris Magno '17 [1-3] Quinn Harrington '19 [1-2]
Jack Harrington '18 [3]
Colts 1 Garret Boyan '17 [1-3] Luke Caponegro '18 [1-2]
Jonathan Wilhelm '17 [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Joe Laforgia '17 Justin Modin '19
Colts 2 Michael Ehnot '18 Ryan Mullins '19
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Margaret Maccormack '17 [1-3] Catherine Cooke '17 [1-2]
Alexis Tedesco '17 [3]
Griffins 1 Regina Vahey '18 [1-2]
Taylor Warwick '20 [3]		 Vincent Priolo '19 [1-2]
Nate Ciak '20 [3]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Cole Banias '17 Camryn Kennedy '17
Griffins 2 Erin Mcgarry '17 Maureen Mcgarry '17
Ranney School Ranney School Cameron Giblin '19 Catherine Vucetic '19
Panthers 1 Matthew Hamelsky '19 Kelsey Stout '19
Ranney School Ranney School Luke Arnone '19 Blake Epstein '19
Panthers 2 Mari Patient '17 Julia Wolf '19
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Brendan Gilman '18 [1-2]
Shayn Lynch '18 [3]		 Lauren Darval '18 [1-2]
Matthew Mcconnell '18 [3]
Caseys Molly Meehan '19 [1-3] Caroline Fortier '19 [1-2]
Christopher Quindes '19 [3]
Red Bank Regional High School Red Bank Regional High School Colleen Obrien '20 [1-2]
Mitchell Quinn '20 [3]		 Michael Meehan '22 [1-2]
Harrison Quinn '20 [3]
Bucs Michaela Obrien '20 Kieran Nevins '20
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Shaanti Choi-Bose '19 No Show
Bulldogs Patrick Modin '19 No Show
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Emily Haig '17 Kailee Forlai '17
Rams Tom Green '19 Kendal Forlai '20
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Connor Murray '17 [1-2]
Michael Pinto '19 [3]		 Vincent Cordasco '20 [1-2]
Chris Medolla '20 [3]
Hermits Zachary York '20 [1-2]
Patrick York '20 [3]		 Timothy Capalbo '20 [1-2]
Luke Alley '20 [3]
Toms River East Toms River East No Show No Show
Raiders No Show No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Eddie Harrison '18 Devin Leadbetter '17
Mariners James Koerner '17 Everett Botwinick '22
Toms River South Toms River South Willow Wahlers '17 [1-2]
Joey Cashman '18 [3]		 Paige Zelenak '19 [1-2]
Indians 1 Lauren Zelenak '17 Leo Krajewski '19
Toms River South Toms River South Zach Higham '19 Alexa Carles '19
Indians 2 No Show Tabitha Paul '19
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Lauren Ehnot '20 Holly Koerwer '17
Monarchs Julia Laforgia '19 Kailin Burns-Cohen '18

Conditions — 09/21/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1021.2 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From ENE (59°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine7.4 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1021.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Toms River South: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Toms River South by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at Toms River South, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →