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South Points 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 17 18 35
2 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 19 23 42
3 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 14 29 43
4 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 32 44 76
5 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 67 20 87
6 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 61 34 95
7 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 50 60 110
8 Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 54 56 110
9 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 66 48 114
10 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 49 76 125
11 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 73 65 138
12 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 84 58 142
13 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 58 86 144
14 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 79 76 155
15 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 75 91 166
16 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 69 104 173
17 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 77 113 190
18 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 112 88 200
19 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 104 100 204
20 Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Varsity 117 87 204
21 Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 115 97 212
22 Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 131 129 260
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 1 4 3 2 3 1 14 Jack Johansson '17
Roberto Lugones '20
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 2 1 3 2 7 17 Shawn Harvey '17
Bernat Miro '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 9 2 1 1 3 19 Connor Nelson '19
Erica Brown '17
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 5 3 4 4 10 6 32 Kathryn Bornarth '17
Griffin Pollis '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 6 8 13 7 4 11 49 Kyle Dochoda '17 [1-6]
Lily Schneider '19 [1-4]
Ryan O'Neil '19 [5-6]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 8 7 15 8 7 5 50 Kingsley Ehrich '19 [1-4]
Chris Kiener '17 [5-6]
Rachel Dionne '20 [1-4]
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 14 1 5 9 9 16 54 Matthew Magardino '17
Alexander Askar '18
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 10 6 9 RAF 8 2 58 Jack Groves '20
Riley Baugh '20
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 16 12 7 10 12 4 61 Max Karpanty '17 [1-6]
Oliver Stabley '18 [1-4]
Chris Haner '17 [5-6]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 21 15 6 5 5 14 66 Shane Riera '17
Mariela Solorzano '19
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 4 5 10 OCS 16 9 67 Sam Baker '17 [1-4]
Ella Marsden '20 [5-6]
Ethan Osborne '19 [1-4]
Sam Baker '17 [5-6]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 7 14 17 15 6 10 69 Matthew King '20
Kailin Foster '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 12 10 19 6 13 13 73 Alex Commette '17 [1-6]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [1-2]
Reese Kelly '18 [3-4]
No Show [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 13 17 12 11 14 8 75 Grant Boicheff '18 [1-6]
Victoria Lescanzo '19 [1-4]
Erika Desonie '19 [5-6]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 17 11 8 14 15 12 77 Sam Meyer '19
Evan Occhino '20
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 9 13 18 13 11 15 79 Mikaela Munao '18 [1-6]
Noah Guntow '20 [1-4]
Alissa Stachelek '18 [5-6]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 11 16 14 12 17 BKD 84 Callista Hopkins '19 [1-4]
Daniel Denison '17 [5-6]
Alex Pearson '18 [1-2]
Ethan Myott '17 [3-4]
Kurban Ali '17 [5-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 15 18 11 16 21 OCS 104 Colin Fitzgerald '18
Cameron Swain '18
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 22 21 16 17 18 18 112 Ethan Grove '17 [1-6]
Audrey Hollo '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Leah Schulman '18 [3-4]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 18 19 21 18 19 20 115 Corinne Graves '20
Dana Aljasir '20
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Varsity 19 20 22 19 20 17 117 Brendan Williams '19 [1-6]
Sean Onorato '20 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4]
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 20 22 20 DNF DNF DNS 131 Jocelyn Lyon '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Justin Merrell '20 [3-4]
Abby Worthington '18 [1-4]
Audrey Wood '19 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 7 4 2 2 1 2 18 Tucker Weed '18 [1-6]
Maddie Sharp '18 [1-4]
Mcleod Kennedy '19 [5-6]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 2 2 4 3 6 3 20 Alex Gonzalez '20
Ethan Osborne '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 3 1 6 5 5 23 Andy Burns '16
Olivia Mcintosh '18
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 1 1 DSQ 1 2 1 29 Sean Brennan '17
Teddy Bueres '19
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 9 6 3 5 4 7 34 Dylan Brazee '17
Chandler Scott '19
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 8 7 6 4 10 9 44 Emily Bornarth '20 [1-4]
Nick Ochalek '17 [5-6]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [1-2]
Emma Barska '19 [3-4]
Trevor Tigges '17 [5-6]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 6 16 8 7 3 8 48 Olivia De Olazarra '18
Natalia Gagliano '19
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 10 8 9 10 13 6 56 Johnny Magardino '19
Harrison Rogers '19
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 4 9 10 14 8 13 58 Cameron Delgado '19
Charlie Langer '17
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers DNS 10 5 11 7 4 60 Jack Macdonald '18 [1-6]
Nick Block '17 [1-2]
Kara Percival '18 [3-4]
Rachel Dionne '20 [5-6]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 5 11 16 12 RDG RDG 65 Alec Sullivan '17 [1-6]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [1-4]
John Cotter '17 [5-6]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 14 13 11 9 18 11 76 Cameron Kuchar '17 [1-6]
Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [1-4]
Austin Daigle '20 [5-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 18 12 12 8 9 17 76 Heather Kerns '20 [1-4]
Anika Boicheff '20 [5-6]
Zachery Ofenloch '19 [1-4]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 19 15 7 18 17 10 86 J.J. Smith '20
Sophia Metallo '17
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Varsity 15 5 15 13 16 DSQ 87 Virginia Zedda '18
Holly Gandolfo '18
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 12 19 14 15 12 16 88 Harrison Freedman '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Ariel Casaretto '17 [3-4]
Jack Bilello '18 [1-4]
Leah Schulman '18 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 11 17 17 17 15 14 91 Phillip Peterson '17 [1-6]
Cole Madden '19 [1-4]
Kalee Parmentier '19 [5-6]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 20 21 13 20 11 12 97 Colin Lawther '20
Noah Bardes '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 16 14 20 16 19 15 100 Sam Juskiewicz '20
No Show
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 17 18 18 19 14 18 104 Will Murray '20
Zeban Kaiser '20
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 13 20 19 21 21 19 113 Landen Latchford '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Eric Vangennip '20 [3-4]
Aaron Williams '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 21 22 21 22 22 21 129 Isabella Peters '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jakob Germann '17 [3-4]
Nicholas Lyon '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Audrey Wood '19 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity335577
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes10108866
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders113355
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons44222222
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity131315151717
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes141412121010
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers664422
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers557799
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity151517171919
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves161614141212
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Varsity171719192121
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers1212101088
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders181816161414
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders9911111313
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1919212111
Seacrest Country Day SchoolSeacrest Country Day School Varsity886644
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers202018181616
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS77991111
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils21211133
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity2222222020
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Varsity222220201818
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors111113131515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity446688
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes997755
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders224466
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons33112121
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity141416161818
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes1313111199
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers553311
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers66881010
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity161618182020
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves151513131111
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Varsity181820202222
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers11119977
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders171715151313
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders101012121414
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors2020222222
Seacrest Country Day SchoolSeacrest Country Day School Varsity775533
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers191917171515
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS8810101212
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils22222244
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity1121211919
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Varsity212119191717
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors121214141616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Matthew Magardino '17 Alexander Askar '18
Varsity Johnny Magardino '19 Harrison Rogers '19
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Sam Baker '17 [1-4]
Ella Marsden '20 [5-6]		 Ethan Osborne '19 [1-4]
Sam Baker '17 [5-6]
Hurricanes Alex Gonzalez '20 Ethan Osborne '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Jack Johansson '17 Roberto Lugones '20
Raiders Sean Brennan '17 Teddy Bueres '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Erica Brown '17
Panthers Andy Burns '16 Olivia Mcintosh '18
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Max Karpanty '17 [1-6] Oliver Stabley '18 [1-4]
Chris Haner '17 [5-6]
Falcons Dylan Brazee '17 Chandler Scott '19
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Callista Hopkins '19 [1-4]
Daniel Denison '17 [5-6]		 Alex Pearson '18 [1-2]
Ethan Myott '17 [3-4]
Kurban Ali '17 [5-6]
Varsity Cameron Delgado '19 Charlie Langer '17
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Mikaela Munao '18 [1-6] Noah Guntow '20 [1-4]
Alissa Stachelek '18 [5-6]
Panthers Cameron Kuchar '17 [1-6] Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [1-4]
Austin Daigle '20 [5-6]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Jack Groves '20 Riley Baugh '20
Hurricanes J.J. Smith '20 Sophia Metallo '17
Martin County High School Martin County High School Kingsley Ehrich '19 [1-4]
Chris Kiener '17 [5-6]		 Rachel Dionne '20 [1-4]
Tigers Jack Macdonald '18 [1-6] Nick Block '17 [1-2]
Kara Percival '18 [3-4]
Rachel Dionne '20 [5-6]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Corinne Graves '20 Dana Aljasir '20
Varsity Colin Lawther '20 Noah Bardes '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Alex Commette '17 [1-6] Rylee Macarthur '17 [1-2]
Reese Kelly '18 [3-4]
No Show [5-6]
ThunderWolves Alec Sullivan '17 [1-6] Rylee Macarthur '17 [1-4]
John Cotter '17 [5-6]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Ethan Grove '17 [1-6] Audrey Hollo '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Leah Schulman '18 [3-4]
Varsity Harrison Freedman '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Ariel Casaretto '17 [3-4]		 Jack Bilello '18 [1-4]
Leah Schulman '18 [5-6]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Shawn Harvey '17 Bernat Miro '19
Raiders Tucker Weed '18 [1-6] Maddie Sharp '18 [1-4]
Mcleod Kennedy '19 [5-6]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 Kailin Foster '20
Sailors Will Murray '20 Zeban Kaiser '20
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Jocelyn Lyon '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Justin Merrell '20 [3-4]		 Abby Worthington '18 [1-4]
Audrey Wood '19 [5-6]
Varsity Isabella Peters '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jakob Germann '17 [3-4]		 Nicholas Lyon '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Audrey Wood '19 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Kyle Dochoda '17 [1-6] Lily Schneider '19 [1-4]
Ryan O'Neil '19 [5-6]
Chargers Heather Kerns '20 [1-4]
Anika Boicheff '20 [5-6]		 Zachery Ofenloch '19 [1-4]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Kathryn Bornarth '17 Griffin Pollis '19
SF BULLDOGS Emily Bornarth '20 [1-4]
Nick Ochalek '17 [5-6]		 Yazmeen Simpson '19 [1-2]
Emma Barska '19 [3-4]
Trevor Tigges '17 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Grant Boicheff '18 [1-6] Victoria Lescanzo '19 [1-4]
Erika Desonie '19 [5-6]
Green Devils Phillip Peterson '17 [1-6] Cole Madden '19 [1-4]
Kalee Parmentier '19 [5-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Colin Fitzgerald '18 Cameron Swain '18
Raiders Sam Juskiewicz '20 No Show
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Sam Meyer '19 Evan Occhino '20
Varsity Landen Latchford '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Eric Vangennip '20 [3-4]		 Aaron Williams '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Brendan Williams '19 [1-6] Sean Onorato '20 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4]
Varsity Virginia Zedda '18 Holly Gandolfo '18
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Shane Riera '17 Mariela Solorzano '19
Warriors Olivia De Olazarra '18 Natalia Gagliano '19

Conditions — 10/22/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.9 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From NNW (340°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1014.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/Westwood/South Fork/The Pine: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.18)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.27 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 16% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/Westwood/South Fork/The Pine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/Westwood/South Fork/The Pine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →