Hawken Sail Now Homework Later Regatta

HostThe Station
Date09/24/2017
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Rocky River High School	Pirates 1	3	14	17
2	Avon High School	Eagles	9	21	30
3	Vermilion High School	Sailors	21	17	38
4	Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	8	31	39
5	Hawken School	Hawks	19	20	39
6	Lakewood High School (OH)	Rangers	21	20	41
7	Westerville North High School	Mixed	18	26	44
8	Olentangy Liberty High School	Mascots	33	11	44
9	Rocky River High School	Pirates 2	32	14	46
10	St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats	28	21	49
11	Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Varsity	26	26	52
12	Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	42	20	62
13	New Albany High School	Mixed	22	47	69
14	Westerville South High School	Mixed	37	36	73
15	Olentangy Liberty High School	Mixed	46	39	85
16	Thomas Worthington High School	Mixed	46	47	93
17	Westerville Central High School	Mixed	48	50	98

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Rocky River High School	Pirates 1	1	1	1	3	Ian Moran '18 [1-3] Natalie Dugan '18 [1-2] Spencer Asmar '18 [3]
Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	2	2	4	8	Grace Squires '19 Marshall Wellejus '22
Avon High School	Eagles	3	3	3	9	Iain Mcsweeney '20 Megan Mcsweeney '18
Westerville North High School	Mixed	4	12	2	18	Nadia Reynolds '20 Nicolas Robertson '23
Hawken School	Hawks	6	5	8	19	Sophia Van Heeckeren '20 [1-3] Fisher Allyn '21 [1-2] Liz Frissell '18 [3]
Lakewood High School (OH)	Rangers	5	10	6	21	Luke Healy '18 Jack Wynn '20
Vermilion High School	Sailors	10	6	5	21	Jack Rini '20 Molly Gregory '19
New Albany High School	Mixed	8	7	7	22	Collier Ellis '21 Jed Lory '23
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Varsity	7	9	10	26	Michaela O'Donnell '20 Grace Quasebarth '20
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats	9	8	11	28	Spencer Barnes '20 [1-2] Will Carroll '19 [3] Will Thorton '19 [1-2] Conner Sheehan '20 [3]
Rocky River High School	Pirates 2	12	4	16	32	Margot Dugan '20 [1-3] Blair Pichola '23 [1-2] Ellie Milius '19 [3]
Olentangy Liberty High School	Mascots	13	11	9	33	Cameron Friedauer '20 Emma Friedauer '23
Westerville South High School	Mixed	11	13	13	37	Mason Shaw '22 Alex Butte '23
Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	14	14	14	42	Patrick Kelly '20 Autumn Bertgess '18
Olentangy Liberty High School	Mixed	15	16	15	46	Sam Schwartz '20 Porter Martin '23
Thomas Worthington High School	Mixed	17	17	12	46	Emmet Foley '23 Kyle Bruxe '23
Westerville Central High School	Mixed	16	15	17	48	Lilli Malone '22 Emma Kruse '22

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Olentangy Liberty High School	Mascots	1	2	8	11	Donovan Decoster '22 Lena Olsen '21
Rocky River High School	Pirates 2	4	4	6	14	Santiago Echevarria '22 [1-3] Joey Bonacci '21 [1-2] Aiden Carter '22 [3]
Rocky River High School	Pirates 1	8	1	5	14	Maggie Swasey '19 [1-3] Libby Weixel '18 [1-2] Charlie Movius '22 [3]
Vermilion High School	Sailors	5	10	2	17	Ben Rini '22 Sam Walcott '20
Lakewood High School (OH)	Rangers	2	9	9	20	Parker Polen '20 Kiera Hoye '19
Hawken School	Hawks	3	3	14	20	Andy Solganik '21 [1-2] Michael Shade '18 [3] Fletcher Allyn '23 [1-2] Gordon Johnson '18 [3]
Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	9	8	3	20	John Kelly '18 [1-2] Aj Smith '18 [3] Aj Smith '18 [1-2] John Kelly '18 [3]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats	6	5	10	21	Patrick Sheehan '18 [1-2] Jp Wynn '19 [3] Eddie Keck '19 [1-2] Ben Slater '19 [3]
Avon High School	Eagles	10	7	4	21	Emily Brassell '18 James Brassell '23
Westerville North High School	Mixed	7	12	7	26	Brendon Smucker '21 Sam Heighway '21
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Varsity	11	14	1	26	Ashlin N. Fegen '20 [1-2] Ellen Petrigan '22 [3] Ellen Petrigan '22 [1-2] Ashlin N. Fegen '20 [3]
Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	12	6	13	31	Zoe Hoctor '21 Vivien Strange '21
Westerville South High School	Mixed	13	11	12	36	Grace Yingling '18 Caroline Urbanic '18
Olentangy Liberty High School	Mixed	15	13	11	39	Kyle Burkey '23 Alec Kingsley '23
New Albany High School	Mixed	14	DNF	15	47	Tom Oelkers '19 Hayden Henderson '22
Thomas Worthington High School	Mixed	16	15	16	47	Raaghuv Vazirani '22 Aiden Dorr '20
Westerville Central High School	Mixed	17	16	17	50	Nick Byerly '18 Joe Miller '19

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A
Avon High School Eagles	1	1	3
Hawken School Hawks	2	2	4
Lakewood High School (OH) Rangers	3	3	5
New Albany High School Mixed	4	4	6
Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots	5	5	7
Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed	6	6	8
Rocky River High School Pirates 1	7	7	9
Rocky River High School Pirates 2	8	8	10
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity	9	9	11
Southwestern Central High School Trojans	10	10	12
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats	11	11	13
Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals	12	12	14
Thomas Worthington High School Mixed	13	13	15
Vermilion High School Sailors	14	14	16
Westerville Central High School Mixed	15	15	17
Westerville North High School Mixed	16	16	1
Westerville South High School Mixed	17	17	2

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B
Avon High School Eagles	2	2	4
Hawken School Hawks	3	3	5
Lakewood High School (OH) Rangers	4	4	6
New Albany High School Mixed	5	5	7
Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots	6	6	8
Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed	7	7	9
Rocky River High School Pirates 1	8	8	10
Rocky River High School Pirates 2	9	9	11
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity	10	10	12
Southwestern Central High School Trojans	11	11	13
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats	12	12	14
Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals	13	13	15
Thomas Worthington High School Mixed	14	14	16
Vermilion High School Sailors	15	15	17
Westerville Central High School Mixed	16	16	1
Westerville North High School Mixed	17	17	2
Westerville South High School Mixed	1	1	3

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Avon High School	Iain Mcsweeney '20	Megan Mcsweeney '18
Eagles	Emily Brassell '18	James Brassell '23
Hawken School	Sophia Van Heeckeren '20 [1-3]	Fisher Allyn '21 [1-2] Liz Frissell '18 [3]
Hawks	Andy Solganik '21 [1-2] Michael Shade '18 [3]	Fletcher Allyn '23 [1-2] Gordon Johnson '18 [3]
Lakewood High School (OH)	Luke Healy '18	Jack Wynn '20
Rangers	Parker Polen '20	Kiera Hoye '19
New Albany High School	Collier Ellis '21	Jed Lory '23
Mixed	Tom Oelkers '19	Hayden Henderson '22
Olentangy Liberty High School	Cameron Friedauer '20	Emma Friedauer '23
Mascots	Donovan Decoster '22	Lena Olsen '21
Olentangy Liberty High School	Sam Schwartz '20	Porter Martin '23
Mixed	Kyle Burkey '23	Alec Kingsley '23
Rocky River High School	Ian Moran '18 [1-3]	Natalie Dugan '18 [1-2] Spencer Asmar '18 [3]
Pirates 1	Maggie Swasey '19 [1-3]	Libby Weixel '18 [1-2] Charlie Movius '22 [3]
Rocky River High School	Margot Dugan '20 [1-3]	Blair Pichola '23 [1-2] Ellie Milius '19 [3]
Pirates 2	Santiago Echevarria '22 [1-3]	Joey Bonacci '21 [1-2] Aiden Carter '22 [3]
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Michaela O'Donnell '20	Grace Quasebarth '20
Varsity	Ashlin N. Fegen '20 [1-2] Ellen Petrigan '22 [3]	Ellen Petrigan '22 [1-2] Ashlin N. Fegen '20 [3]
Southwestern Central High School	Patrick Kelly '20	Autumn Bertgess '18
Trojans	John Kelly '18 [1-2] Aj Smith '18 [3]	Aj Smith '18 [1-2] John Kelly '18 [3]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Spencer Barnes '20 [1-2] Will Carroll '19 [3]	Will Thorton '19 [1-2] Conner Sheehan '20 [3]
Wildcats	Patrick Sheehan '18 [1-2] Jp Wynn '19 [3]	Eddie Keck '19 [1-2] Ben Slater '19 [3]
Thomas Worthington High School	Grace Squires '19	Marshall Wellejus '22
Cardinals	Zoe Hoctor '21	Vivien Strange '21
Thomas Worthington High School	Emmet Foley '23	Kyle Bruxe '23
Mixed	Raaghuv Vazirani '22	Aiden Dorr '20
Vermilion High School	Jack Rini '20	Molly Gregory '19
Sailors	Ben Rini '22	Sam Walcott '20
Westerville Central High School	Lilli Malone '22	Emma Kruse '22
Mixed	Nick Byerly '18	Joe Miller '19
Westerville North High School	Nadia Reynolds '20	Nicolas Robertson '23
Mixed	Brendon Smucker '21	Sam Heighway '21
Westerville South High School	Mason Shaw '22	Alex Butte '23
Mixed	Grace Yingling '18	Caroline Urbanic '18

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Hawken Sail Now Homework Later Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes