Rose Bowl 2018 - HS Silver

HostUS Sailing Center - Long Beach
Date01/06/2018
TypePromotional
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Point Loma High School	Pointers	63	18	81
2	Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	61	53	114
3	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	53	63	116
4	Olympia High School	Bears	56	64	120
5	Sehome High School	Mariners	59	68	127
6	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	76	59	135
7	Latin School of Chicago	Varsity	60	86	146
8	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	91	73	164
9	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	75	93	168
10	New Trier HS	Trevian	101	67	168
11	The Urban School	Blues	91	92	183
12	Hinsdale Central High School	Varsity	111	84	195
13	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	105	97	202
14	Charles Wright High School	Tarriers	109	125	234
15	Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Varsity	104	133	237
16	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	129	116	245
17	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	103	148	251
18	Marin Catholic	Wildcats	113	146	259
19	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	101	160	261
20	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	127	142	269
21	Design Tech High School	d.tech	114	161	275
22	Head Royce	Jayhawks	184	95	279
23	Marin Academy	Wildcats	153	127	280
24	Coronado	Nado	154	132	286
25	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	173	185	358

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	4	12	9	1	6	9	3	9	53	Drea Keswater '19 Wynslow Wilmot '21
Olympia High School	Bears	16	5	11	5	4	8	5	2	56	Owen Timms '19 Evan Krug '19
Sehome High School	Mariners	3	10	4	2	1	10	13	16	59	Lera Anders '18 Peyton Nienaber '18
Latin School of Chicago	Varsity	15	13	6	6	3	1	11	5	60	Marleigh Belsley '19 James Nappo '20
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	1	1	19	18	14	6	1	1	61	Dylan Styron '19 Charley Snyder '21
Point Loma High School	Pointers	6	3	1	19	2	7	21	4	63	Megan Cates '18 Ximena Escobar '21
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	5	8	2	15	13	14	8	10	75	George Soliman '20 [1-4] Evan Insley '19 [5-8] Evan Insley '19 [1-4] Calvin Ytterboe '20 [5-8]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	2	DNF	13	4	12	12	4	3	76	Sarah Cuyler '19 Reid Wishner '19
The Urban School	Blues	14	16	10	14	7	17	7	6	91	J.P. Murphy '21 [1-8] Anna Krylova '20 [1-2, 5-6] Tristan Bellevin '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	19	7	14	13	5	4	17	12	91	Joe Rico '18 Frances Tarpey-Schwed '19
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	8	17	17	16	11	22	2	8	101	Nick Dorn '17 Daria Bubnova '20
New Trier HS	Trevian	10	21	8	11	9	18	10	14	101	Nate Alter '19 Quin Doughty '21
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	24	4	BKD	BKD	20	2	16	11	103	Ryan Mcconnville '18 Jacob Titcomb '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Varsity	9	11	20	10	17	15	9	13	104	Owen Patterson '19 Asha Baddi '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	11	19	12	9	19	16	12	7	105	Daren Sathasivam '21 Kaitlin Chan '19
Charles Wright High School	Tarriers	7	14	16	7	18	23	6	18	109	Jack Corddry '19 Nicholas Lee '20
Hinsdale Central High School	Varsity	12	6	21	3	10	20	18	21	111	Sherman Thompson '18 Evan Fallon '18
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	22	18	18	8	8	3	19	17	113	Carter Nestell '18 [1-8] Gabriella Von Esmarch '19 [1-2, 5-8] Thomas Bird '21 [3-4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech	23	2	3	17	22	5	20	22	114	Jack Lugliani '18 Zach Morley '21
Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	17	9	5	23	21	21	BKD	BKD	127	Marleigh Henehan '21 [1-8] Adelaide Cunningham '20 [1-4] Christopher Zamarripa '21 [5-8]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	13	22	7	12	24	13	15	23	129	Fredrick Baldauf '20 Colette Lee '21
Marin Academy	Wildcats	18	20	15	22	15	19	25	BKD	153	Parker Kulavic '18 [1-8] Beck Lorsch '21 [1-4, 7-8] Preston Downs '21 [5-6]
Coronado	Nado	21	15	22	21	16	DNF	14	19	154	Alex Bastuba '18 [1-8] Mercy Tangredi '20 [1-4, 7-8] Elliot Vineyard '18 [5-6]
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	25	24	23	20	23	11	22	25	173	Rosie Ward '19 Olivia Chang '18
Head Royce	Jayhawks	20	23	25	24	25	24	23	20	184	Madeleine Henry '18 [1-8] Pierce Yeary '19 [1-2, 5-8] Parker Mergelkamp '21 [3-4]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Point Loma High School	Pointers	2	1	3	8	1	1	1	1	18	Timmy Fraher '20 Elisabeth (Elise) Bowman '18
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	11	12	1	5	2	7	7	8	53	Tara Rogers '19 [1-8] Sam Thompson '21 [1-2, 5-6] Brett Peoples '20 [3-4, 7-8]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	8	2	5	3	9	11	10	11	59	Aj Torres '19 Derek Kuno-Williams '20
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	1	4	2	16	3	24	4	9	63	Cade Morris '18 Jasmine Christensen '20
Olympia High School	Bears	5	3	7	15	8	17	3	6	64	Max Miller '18 Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '17
New Trier HS	Trevian	4	5	14	24	4	9	2	5	67	Alex Rietz '20 Sammy Stoeber '20
Sehome High School	Mariners	9	6	13	9	13	2	14	2	68	Cedric Keneipp '19 Mallory Hood '18
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	17	15	11	4	6	5	8	7	73	Griffin Chen '19 Lily Hock '19
Hinsdale Central High School	Varsity	19	18	9	19	5	6	5	3	84	David Phlamm '18 [1-8] Mitchell Thompson '19 [1-6] Saunders Thompson '21 [7-8]
Latin School of Chicago	Varsity	12	11	6	6	12	22	13	4	86	Nikolas Chambers '19 [1-6] Will Davies '18 [7-8] Cj Ricci '20 [1-6]
The Urban School	Blues	18	10	20	7	15	3	9	10	92	Eli Gordon '20 [1-8] Dinah Luomanen '21 [1-2, 5-6] Dillan Srivastava '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	15	8	12	14	11	10	6	17	93	Justin Zimna '20 Emily Collins '19
Head Royce	Jayhawks	3	16	15	1	18	13	15	14	95	Jasper Reid '21 Eloise Henry '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	20	14	4	2	10	12	12	23	97	Cyrus Khaleeli '20 [1-8] Matthew Sun '20 [1-2, 7-8] Jackson Hoover '20 [3-6]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	14	13	17	12	21	4	11	24	116	Alex Pick '19 [1-2, 5-6] Luke Froeb '21 [3-4, 7-8] Charlotte Navin '20 [1-2, 5-6] Leo Sabhorwal '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Charles Wright High School	Tarriers	BKD	BKD	23	11	14	14	18	13	125	Hayden Flaskerud '20 Ted Corddry '21
Marin Academy	Wildcats	13	23	10	13	7	18	22	21	127	Jack Mcdonnell '21 Maggie Alter '18
Coronado	Nado	7	19	21	17	16	19	17	16	132	Amy Schafer '19 Katelyn Roberts '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Varsity	6	7	16	DSQ	17	23	23	15	133	Wyatt Harley '21 [1-8] Tj Boland '19 [1-4] Liliana Taub '19 [5-8]
Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	22	21	8	BKD	OCS	15	20	12	142	Brian Fitzsimmons '20 [1-8] Owen Getz '21 [1-2, 7-8] Mckenzie Neuman '21 [3-4] Noah Kapchinske '21 [5-6]
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	21	20	18	10	20	16	16	25	146	Keilah Stypulkoski '19 [1-8] Lucie Russell '20 [1-6] Thomas Bird '21 [7-8]
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	16	9	19	20	24	20	21	19	148	Kyle Gallagher '19 [1-8] Calista Oliveira '19 [1-5] Kate Harrington '19 [6-8]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	10	17	24	23	23	21	24	18	160	Mackenzie Berwick '18 [1-8] Gabriella Schmidt '18 [1-2, 5-6] Evelyn Plam '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Design Tech High School	d.tech	24	24	22	22	22	8	19	20	161	Jemma Schroder '20 Zoe Flemente '21
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	23	25	25	21	19	25	25	22	185	Caton Woll '20 Lia Watson '21

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.180+0.18

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47
Charles Wright High School Tarriers	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48
Coronado Nado	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49
Design Tech High School d.tech	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50
Head Royce Jayhawks	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51
Hinsdale Central High School Varsity	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52
Latin School of Chicago Varsity	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54
Marin Academy Wildcats	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55
Marin Catholic Wildcats	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
New Trier HS Trevian	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58
Olympia High School Bears	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60
Point Loma High School Pointers	56	56	58	58	60	60	62	62
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	57	57	59	59	61	61	63	63
Sehome High School Mariners	58	58	60	60	62	62	64	64
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats	59	59	61	61	63	63	40	40
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	60	60	62	62	64	64	41	41
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	61	61	63	63	40	40	42	42
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	62	62	64	64	41	41	43	43
The Urban School Blues	63	63	40	40	42	42	44	44
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity	64	64	41	41	43	43	45	45

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48
Charles Wright High School Tarriers	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49
Coronado Nado	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50
Design Tech High School d.tech	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51
Head Royce Jayhawks	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52
Hinsdale Central High School Varsity	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53
Latin School of Chicago Varsity	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55
Marin Academy Wildcats	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
Marin Catholic Wildcats	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58
New Trier HS Trevian	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59
Olympia High School Bears	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61
Point Loma High School Pointers	57	57	59	59	61	61	63	63
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	56	56	58	58	60	60	62	62
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	58	58	60	60	62	62	64	64
Sehome High School Mariners	59	59	61	61	63	63	40	40
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats	60	60	62	62	64	64	41	41
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	61	61	63	63	40	40	42	42
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	62	62	64	64	41	41	43	43
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	63	63	40	40	42	42	44	44
The Urban School Blues	64	64	41	41	43	43	45	45
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Berkeley High School	Rosie Ward '19	Olivia Chang '18
Yellowjackets	Caton Woll '20	Lia Watson '21
Cathedral Catholic High School	Ryan Mcconnville '18	Jacob Titcomb '21
Dons	Kyle Gallagher '19 [1-8]	Calista Oliveira '19 [1-5] Kate Harrington '19 [6-8]
Charles Wright High School	Jack Corddry '19	Nicholas Lee '20
Tarriers	Hayden Flaskerud '20	Ted Corddry '21
Coronado	Alex Bastuba '18 [1-8]	Mercy Tangredi '20 [1-4, 7-8] Elliot Vineyard '18 [5-6]
Nado	Amy Schafer '19	Katelyn Roberts '20
Design Tech High School	Jack Lugliani '18	Zach Morley '21
d.tech	Jemma Schroder '20	Zoe Flemente '21
Head Royce	Madeleine Henry '18 [1-8]	Pierce Yeary '19 [1-2, 5-8] Parker Mergelkamp '21 [3-4]
Jayhawks	Jasper Reid '21	Eloise Henry '20
Hinsdale Central High School	Sherman Thompson '18	Evan Fallon '18
Varsity	David Phlamm '18 [1-8]	Mitchell Thompson '19 [1-6] Saunders Thompson '21 [7-8]
Latin School of Chicago	Marleigh Belsley '19	James Nappo '20
Varsity	Nikolas Chambers '19 [1-6] Will Davies '18 [7-8]	Cj Ricci '20 [1-6]
Long Beach Wilson High School	Dylan Styron '19	Charley Snyder '21
Bruins	Tara Rogers '19 [1-8]	Sam Thompson '21 [1-2, 5-6] Brett Peoples '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Marin Academy	Parker Kulavic '18 [1-8]	Beck Lorsch '21 [1-4, 7-8] Preston Downs '21 [5-6]
Wildcats	Jack Mcdonnell '21	Maggie Alter '18
Marin Catholic	Carter Nestell '18 [1-8]	Gabriella Von Esmarch '19 [1-2, 5-8] Thomas Bird '21 [3-4]
Wildcats	Keilah Stypulkoski '19 [1-8]	Lucie Russell '20 [1-6] Thomas Bird '21 [7-8]
Mission Bay High School	Marleigh Henehan '21 [1-8]	Adelaide Cunningham '20 [1-4] Christopher Zamarripa '21 [5-8]
Buccaneer	Brian Fitzsimmons '20 [1-8]	Owen Getz '21 [1-2, 7-8] Mckenzie Neuman '21 [3-4] Noah Kapchinske '21 [5-6]
New Trier HS	Nate Alter '19	Quin Doughty '21
Trevian	Alex Rietz '20	Sammy Stoeber '20
Olympia High School	Owen Timms '19	Evan Krug '19
Bears	Max Miller '18	Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '17
Palos Verdes High School	George Soliman '20 [1-4] Evan Insley '19 [5-8]	Evan Insley '19 [1-4] Calvin Ytterboe '20 [5-8]
Sea Kings	Justin Zimna '20	Emily Collins '19
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Daren Sathasivam '21	Kaitlin Chan '19
Panthers	Cyrus Khaleeli '20 [1-8]	Matthew Sun '20 [1-2, 7-8] Jackson Hoover '20 [3-6]
Point Loma High School	Megan Cates '18	Ximena Escobar '21
Pointers	Timmy Fraher '20	Elisabeth (Elise) Bowman '18
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Drea Keswater '19	Wynslow Wilmot '21
Huskies	Cade Morris '18	Jasmine Christensen '20
Sehome High School	Lera Anders '18	Peyton Nienaber '18
Mariners	Cedric Keneipp '19	Mallory Hood '18
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Nick Dorn '17	Daria Bubnova '20
Wildcats	Mackenzie Berwick '18 [1-8]	Gabriella Schmidt '18 [1-2, 5-6] Evelyn Plam '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Tamalpais High School	Joe Rico '18	Frances Tarpey-Schwed '19
Red Tailed Hawks	Griffin Chen '19	Lily Hock '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Sarah Cuyler '19	Reid Wishner '19
Breakers 1	Aj Torres '19	Derek Kuno-Williams '20
The Bay School of San Francisco	Fredrick Baldauf '20	Colette Lee '21
Breakers 2	Alex Pick '19 [1-2, 5-6] Luke Froeb '21 [3-4, 7-8]	Charlotte Navin '20 [1-2, 5-6] Leo Sabhorwal '17 [3-4, 7-8]
The Urban School	J.P. Murphy '21 [1-8]	Anna Krylova '20 [1-2, 5-6] Tristan Bellevin '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Blues	Eli Gordon '20 [1-8]	Dinah Luomanen '21 [1-2, 5-6] Dillan Srivastava '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Owen Patterson '19	Asha Baddi '20
Varsity	Wyatt Harley '21 [1-8]	Tj Boland '19 [1-4] Liliana Taub '19 [5-8]

Conditions — 01/06/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 85% · Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

63°F

↑ 68°F ↓ 58°F

Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.7 kn

avg · max 8.0 kn

Gusts to 14.4 kn

From SW (221°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.1 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at US Sailing Center - Long Beach: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at US Sailing Center - Long Beach by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at US Sailing Center - Long Beach: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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