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SailMaine Sunday Series - Greely

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 1 68
2 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 117
3 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 120
4 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 2 124
5 Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 133
6 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 148
7 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Dublin 183
8 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 195
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 1 B 1 2 1 4 1 2 1 2 14 No Name '15
Hamilton Barclay '23
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers A 4 5 2 2 16 1 9 9 48 Brooke Asherman '19 [1-4]
Anna Smith '19 [5-8]
George Holt '19 [1-4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 B 2 3 6 5 13 7 10 5 51 Zoe Greenhouse '21
Norah Deming '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 2 B 10 6 14 1 3 12 4 1 51 No Name '15
Hamilton Barclay '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 1 A 3 12 12 8 4 5 7 3 54 Ella Beaguregard '21
Kate Mason '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 B 5 9 10 6 6 6 5 10 57 Charlie Metcalfe '19
Taylor Davis '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 A 9 7 7 7 5 8 8 12 63 Luke Weiser '19
No Name '15
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 A 13 1 9 3 15 3 16 6 66 No Name '15
No Name '15
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs B 8 4 3 16 7 4 12 16 70 John Holt '18
Eamon Browne '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 2 A 14 8 5 13 2 10 6 15 73 Ella Beaguregard '21
Kate Mason '23
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs A 11 14 15 12 10 9 3 4 78 Adam Wendell-Pearson '20
Jondall Norris '20
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers B 16 11 4 10 9 13 14 8 85 Ethan Brouder '18 [1-8]
William Getchell '21 [1-4]
Jayme Morrison '19 [5-8]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Dublin B 6 13 8 14 11 16 13 7 88 No Name '15
No Name '15
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers A 15 15 16 9 8 15 2 14 94 Mackenzie Peloquin '19
Anna Parker '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Dublin A 12 16 11 11 12 11 11 11 95 No Name '15
Aiden Daniels '19
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers B 7 10 13 15 14 14 15 13 101 Wes Pratt '21
Kendrick Langenbach '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers11111111
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs22222222
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Boothbay 144444444
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Boothbay 277777777
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Dublin55555555
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 133333333
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 266666666
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers88888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers99999999
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs1010101010101010
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Boothbay 11212121212121212
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Boothbay 21616161616161616
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Dublin1313131313131313
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 11111111111111111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 21515151515151515
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers1717171717171717

Conditions — 10/22/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1030.5 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From E (88°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1030.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Greely - Maine: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.41 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Greely - Maine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Greely - Maine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →