Banks Blackwell Invitational Regatta

HostCulver Academies
Date09/22/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Spring Lake High School	Red	39	25	64
2	Loyola Academy	Ramblers	37	63	100
3	University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	45	58	103
4	Evanston Township HS	Orange	26	95	121
5	Beacon Academy	Wolves	47	77	124
6	Culver Academies	Eagles maroon	92	33	125
7	East Grand Rapids	Mixed	73	54	127
8	Jones College Prep	Mixed	66	69	135
9	Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	71	68	139
10	Spring Lake High School	Grey Mixed	80	60	140
11	Trinity High School (IL)	Mixed	77	78	155
12	New Trier HS	Trevian	109	46	155
13	Culver Academies	Eagles white	71	87	158
14	Evanston Township HS	Blue	88	101	189
15	Latin School of Chicago	Mixed	95	96	191
16	University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons Two	109	91	200
17	Fenwick High School	Mixed	103	125	228

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Evanston Township HS	Orange	2	2	1	1	7	3	1	9	26	Ulysses Hennelly '20 Mary Castellini '21
Loyola Academy	Ramblers	7	7	2	4	1	6	2	8	37	Lexi Chigas '22 Angelina Simon '20
Spring Lake High School	Red	5	1	11	3	9	1	7	2	39	Bryson Hough '21 Grace Kucharski '19
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	8	4	3	5	15	2	3	5	45	Matteo Torquati '20 Adler Wright '22
Beacon Academy	Wolves	3	5	8	9	6	4	9	3	47	Greg Wootton '19 Charlie Gelman '20
Jones College Prep	Mixed	11	9	5	13	4	13	4	7	66	Molly Sheridan '21 Jack Bergman '20
Culver Academies	Eagles white	1	3	4	2	14	16	16	15	71	Caleb Barrett '20 [1-4] Pranjal Singh '21 [5-8] Audrey Quist '19 [1-4] Nate Burke '21 [5-8]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	10	8	7	15	8	7	10	6	71	Luke Goldman '21 Liam Anderson '21
East Grand Rapids	Mixed	4	6	OCS	12	2	5	12	14	73	Ava Van Otteren '22 Jenna Wynsma '23
Trinity High School (IL)	Mixed	6	OCS	9	7	16	9	8	4	77	Katie Faris '19 Nicole Ciserella '21
Spring Lake High School	Grey Mixed	9	OCS	6	6	10	8	6	17	80	Ryan Peterson '20 Ben Dornbush '22
Evanston Township HS	Blue	14	11	13	8	3	14	14	11	88	Miles Ford '20 [1-2] Toby Riecke '21 [3-8] Toby Riecke '21 [1-2] Miles Ford '20 [3-8]
Culver Academies	Eagles maroon	16	12	15	16	11	10	11	1	92	Genevieve Huber '21 [1-4] Jason Nguyen '22 [5-8] Mufei Li '21 [1-4] Tianze Shou '21 [5-8]
Latin School of Chicago	Mixed	13	15	14	14	5	11	13	10	95	Curtis Scott '19 [1-6] Olivia Dilatush '23 [7-8] Olivia Dilatush '23 [1-6] Curtis Scott '19 [7-8]
Fenwick High School	Mixed	15	10	16	10	17	17	5	13	103	Aidan Soule '25 [1-8] Zachary Ozga '21 [1-6] Benjamin Youngs '20 [7-8]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons Two	12	14	10	17	12	15	17	12	109	Jason Tothy '20 Gabriel Ran '20
New Trier HS	Trevian	17	13	12	11	13	12	15	16	109	Ben Lewis '20 [1-8] Ally Kleinmann '22 [1-4, 7-8] Markus Tam '20 [5-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Spring Lake High School	Red	2	3	1	5	2	5	1	6	25	Zak Colvin '19 Abby Airo '20
Culver Academies	Eagles maroon	1	1	10	1	6	1	6	7	33	Beckett Kumler '20 [1-2] Samantha Bialek '20 [3-4] Sofia Dolan '22 [5-8] Nathaniel Barret '19 [1-2] Cady Clark '20 [3-4] Charlotte Jaqua '20 [5-8]
New Trier HS	Trevian	6	6	9	11	8	3	2	1	46	Casey Bertocchi '22 Calvin Lutton '22
East Grand Rapids	Mixed	9	5	7	3	3	6	13	8	54	Lexie Lacerda-Jones '23 Kelly Couvreur '22
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	12	4	2	7	1	9	5	RAF	58	Alec Wyers '20 Benjamin Luu '23
Spring Lake High School	Grey Mixed	5	2	3	2	7	10	16	15	60	Gage Redman '21 Caroline Henry '23
Loyola Academy	Ramblers	17	12	6	4	10	4	7	3	63	Grace Beard '21 [1-8] Cassie Hollick '20 [1-2, 5-6] Kevin Barrett '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	4	11	14	12	12	2	9	4	68	Stefan Anderson '22 Daniel Sandoval '22
Jones College Prep	Mixed	8	10	5	6	9	14	3	14	69	Michael Stewart '21 Philip Mick '22
Beacon Academy	Wolves	11	8	12	8	13	8	4	13	77	Jack Ruder '19 [1-8] Willem Aspinall '21 [1-2, 5-6] Harper Williams '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Trinity High School (IL)	Mixed	3	7	11	10	16	17	12	2	78	William Frendreiss '20 [1-4] Emily Kowal '20 [5-8] Emily Kowal '20 [1-4] William Frendreiss '20 [5-8]
Culver Academies	Eagles white	13	15	13	15	4	7	8	12	87	Juliet Hare '20 [1-4] Lars Hansen '20 [5-6] Carolina Jimenez '21 [7-8] Zengyi Song '20 [1-4] Isabelle Kanach '21 [5-6] Alexandra Kwiecien '19 [7-8]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons Two	7	14	8	16	11	11	14	10	91	John Drewno '21 Julian Jenkins '23
Evanston Township HS	Orange	15	13	OCS	14	5	15	10	5	95	Charlie Herrick '22 Saskia Teterycz '21
Latin School of Chicago	Mixed	10	16	4	17	15	12	11	11	96	Domenic Sacchetti '23 Emily Marlas '22
Evanston Township HS	Blue	16	9	16	9	14	13	15	9	101	Matt Bussey '20 Oscar Underburg '20
Fenwick High School	Mixed	14	17	15	13	17	16	17	16	125	Julia Overmyer '23 Maura Hopkinson '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.160+0.16

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Beacon Academy Wolves	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	16	16	1	1	3	3	5	5
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons Two	17	17	2	2	4	4	6	6
Culver Academies Eagles maroon	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Culver Academies Eagles white	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
East Grand Rapids Mixed	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Evanston Township HS Blue	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Evanston Township HS Orange	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Fenwick High School Mixed	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Jones College Prep Mixed	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Latin School of Chicago Mixed	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Loyola Academy Ramblers	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
New Trier HS Trevian	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed	13	13	15	15	17	17	2	2
Spring Lake High School Red	12	12	14	14	16	16	1	1
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack	14	14	16	16	1	1	3	3
Trinity High School (IL) Mixed	15	15	17	17	2	2	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Beacon Academy Wolves	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	17	17	2	2	4	4	6	6
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons Two	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Culver Academies Eagles maroon	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Culver Academies Eagles white	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
East Grand Rapids Mixed	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Evanston Township HS Blue	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Evanston Township HS Orange	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Fenwick High School Mixed	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Jones College Prep Mixed	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Latin School of Chicago Mixed	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Loyola Academy Ramblers	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
New Trier HS Trevian	12	12	14	14	16	16	1	1
Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed	14	14	16	16	1	1	3	3
Spring Lake High School Red	13	13	15	15	17	17	2	2
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack	15	15	17	17	2	2	4	4
Trinity High School (IL) Mixed	16	16	1	1	3	3	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Beacon Academy	Greg Wootton '19	Charlie Gelman '20
Wolves	Jack Ruder '19 [1-8]	Willem Aspinall '21 [1-2, 5-6] Harper Williams '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Culver Academies	Genevieve Huber '21 [1-4] Jason Nguyen '22 [5-8]	Mufei Li '21 [1-4] Tianze Shou '21 [5-8]
Eagles maroon	Beckett Kumler '20 [1-2] Samantha Bialek '20 [3-4] Sofia Dolan '22 [5-8]	Nathaniel Barret '19 [1-2] Cady Clark '20 [3-4] Charlotte Jaqua '20 [5-8]
Culver Academies	Caleb Barrett '20 [1-4] Pranjal Singh '21 [5-8]	Audrey Quist '19 [1-4] Nate Burke '21 [5-8]
Eagles white	Juliet Hare '20 [1-4] Lars Hansen '20 [5-6] Carolina Jimenez '21 [7-8]	Zengyi Song '20 [1-4] Isabelle Kanach '21 [5-6] Alexandra Kwiecien '19 [7-8]
East Grand Rapids	Ava Van Otteren '22	Jenna Wynsma '23
Mixed	Lexie Lacerda-Jones '23	Kelly Couvreur '22
Evanston Township HS	Miles Ford '20 [1-2] Toby Riecke '21 [3-8]	Toby Riecke '21 [1-2] Miles Ford '20 [3-8]
Blue	Matt Bussey '20	Oscar Underburg '20
Evanston Township HS	Ulysses Hennelly '20	Mary Castellini '21
Orange	Charlie Herrick '22	Saskia Teterycz '21
Fenwick High School	Aidan Soule '25 [1-8]	Zachary Ozga '21 [1-6] Benjamin Youngs '20 [7-8]
Mixed	Julia Overmyer '23	Maura Hopkinson '20
Jones College Prep	Molly Sheridan '21	Jack Bergman '20
Mixed	Michael Stewart '21	Philip Mick '22
Latin School of Chicago	Curtis Scott '19 [1-6] Olivia Dilatush '23 [7-8]	Olivia Dilatush '23 [1-6] Curtis Scott '19 [7-8]
Mixed	Domenic Sacchetti '23	Emily Marlas '22
Loyola Academy	Lexi Chigas '22	Angelina Simon '20
Ramblers	Grace Beard '21 [1-8]	Cassie Hollick '20 [1-2, 5-6] Kevin Barrett '20 [3-4, 7-8]
New Trier HS	Ben Lewis '20 [1-8]	Ally Kleinmann '22 [1-4, 7-8] Markus Tam '20 [5-6]
Trevian	Casey Bertocchi '22	Calvin Lutton '22
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Luke Goldman '21	Liam Anderson '21
Wolfpack	Stefan Anderson '22	Daniel Sandoval '22
Spring Lake High School	Ryan Peterson '20	Ben Dornbush '22
Grey Mixed	Gage Redman '21	Caroline Henry '23
Spring Lake High School	Bryson Hough '21	Grace Kucharski '19
Red	Zak Colvin '19	Abby Airo '20
Trinity High School (IL)	Katie Faris '19	Nicole Ciserella '21
Mixed	William Frendreiss '20 [1-4] Emily Kowal '20 [5-8]	Emily Kowal '20 [1-4] William Frendreiss '20 [5-8]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Matteo Torquati '20	Adler Wright '22
Maroons	Alec Wyers '20	Benjamin Luu '23
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Jason Tothy '20	Gabriel Ran '20
Maroons Two	John Drewno '21	Julian Jenkins '23

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 54% · Pressure 1025.2 hPa

Temperature

60°F

↑ 65°F ↓ 53°F

Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

7.3 kn

avg · max 9.7 kn

Gusts to 19.8 kn

From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1025.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn · NE 6 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Culver Academies: a favourites’ day (+0.07)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.19 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Culver Academies by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Culver Academies).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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