Casco Bay Open

HostSailMaine
Date09/22/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Barrington High School	Eagles	10	17	27
2	Cape Elizabeth High School	Capers	31	38	69
3	Greely High School - Maine	Rangers	34	37	71
4	Falmouth High School (ME)	Yachtsmen	32	41	73
5	Marblehead High School	Fishwagons	25	52	77
6	Boothbay RHS	SeaHawks Gold	46	42	88
7	Duxbury High School	Dragons	70	20	90
8	Mt. Desert Island HS	Varsity	40	52	92
9	Islesboro Central School	Eagles	63	38	101
10	Portland High School	Bulldogs	76	33	109
11	Sharon High School	Varsity	68	61	129
12	Yarmouth High School	Clippers	64 MRP	71 MRP	135 MRP
13	Unregistered-NESSA	Northern VT	52	87	139
14	Champlain VUHS	Varsity	77	68	145
15	Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine	64	97	161
16	Brewster Academy	Bobcats	98	85	183
17	Cheverus High School	Varsity	103	113	216
18	Dublin School	Varsity	118 MRP	132 MRP	250 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Barrington High School	Eagles	1	2	3	2	1	1	10	Charles Kreuzkamp '20 Kaleigh Morgan '19
Marblehead High School	Fishwagons	8	1	4	5	4	3	25	Magdelaina Putnam '20 Gavin Dowley '20
Cape Elizabeth High School	Capers	4	3	12	3	5	4	31	Patrick Miller '19 Aidan Brown '20
Falmouth High School (ME)	Yachtsmen	2	6	2	11	2	9	32	Brendan Mittleider '19 [1-6] Alex Mazelsky '20 [1-2] Sam Rooks '22 [3-6]
Greely High School - Maine	Rangers	9	4	5	7	7	2	34	George Holt '19 Anna Smith '19
Mt. Desert Island HS	Varsity	11	5	7	4	3	10	40	Alec Fisichella '19 [1-4] Joe Minutolo '22 [5-6] Sylvester Mays '22 [1-4] Jesse Macdonald '21 [5-6]
Boothbay RHS	SeaHawks Gold	6	8	1	9	17	5	46	Hamilton Barclay '23 Ella Beauregard '21
Unregistered-NESSA	Northern VT	5	7	14	6	13	7	52	Julia Shannon-Grillo '20 Joshua Scheidt '19
Islesboro Central School	Eagles	7	13	9	8	14	12	63	Rylee Sienkiewicz '20 Ava Schlottman '20
Yarmouth High School	Clippers	3	14	10	1	8	8	64 MRP	No Show No Show
Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine	13	11	6	10	10	14	64	Nathan Selian '20 Luke Weiser '19
Sharon High School	Varsity	14	10	8	13	12	11	68	Christopher Anchan '19 [1-4] Briana Chen '20 [5-6] Jason Yang '20 [1-4] Eddie Bielawa '20 [5-6]
Duxbury High School	Dragons	DNF	9	15	15	6	6	70	Katie Lojko '19 Julia Phipps '20
Portland High School	Bulldogs	17	12	11	12	9	15	76	Hal Clews '19 Lucy Kilbreth '20
Champlain VUHS	Varsity	10	16	13	14	11	13	77	Jack Merrill '19 Aaron Mcnally '20
Brewster Academy	Bobcats	16	17	16	16	16	17	98	Aidan Rolfe '20 Natasha Vallett '20
Cheverus High School	Varsity	12	15	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	103	William Keith '22 Matthew Scanlon '22
Dublin School	Varsity	15	18	17	17	15	16	118 MRP	No Show No Show

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Barrington High School	Eagles	1	3	2	8	1	2	17	Joseph Wicker '20 Olin Guck '22
Duxbury High School	Dragons	3	4	3	2	2	6	20	Griffen Horne '19 Noah Handfeild '20
Portland High School	Bulldogs	9	6	6	3	6	3	33	Gavin Sanborn '21 [1-4] Eva Ermlich '22 [5-6] Jondall Norris '20 [1-4]
Greely High School - Maine	Rangers	12	11	1	1	7	5	37	Jayme Morrison '19 Brooke Asherman '19
Islesboro Central School	Eagles	6	1	9	4	10	8	38	Emily Lau '19 Sophie Lau '21
Cape Elizabeth High School	Capers	7	5	10	6	3	7	38	Alec Bodenski '19 [1-6] Elliot Brown '22 [1-4] Brad Bodenski '21 [5-6]
Falmouth High School (ME)	Yachtsmen	13	10	4	5	8	1	41	Catherine Morrissette '20 [1-6] Catherine Carpenter '19 [1-4] Emma Cole '21 [5-6]
Boothbay RHS	SeaHawks Gold	5	9	7	7	4	10	42	Nate Rideout '21 Alton Coolidge '22
Mt. Desert Island HS	Varsity	4	8	13	9	9	9	52	Lucas Ingebritson '19 Nate Ingebritson '21
Marblehead High School	Fishwagons	10	7	8	10	5	12	52	Matthew Caplan '21 Jessica West '21
Sharon High School	Varsity	11	2	5	15	15	13	61	Miguel Vonfedak '19 [1-4] Michael Anchan '19 [5-6] Ishaan Shah '19 [1-4] Addison Stead '19 [5-6]
Champlain VUHS	Varsity	8	13	12	12	12	11	68	Michael Hayes '20 Ulrick Meyer '21
Yarmouth High School	Clippers	2	12	11	11	11	4	71 MRP	No Show No Show
Brewster Academy	Bobcats	15	14	15	14	13	14	85	Huanzhi Mao '21 Trevor Simboli '21
Unregistered-NESSA	Northern VT	14	15	14	13	16	15	87	Noah Powell '21 Ryan Gladstone '20
Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine	16	16	DNF	16	14	16	97	Miles Thompson '19 Harrison Fream '21
Cheverus High School	Varsity	18	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	113	Francessca Chace '22 Camden Hom '22
Dublin School	Varsity	17	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	132 MRP	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Barrington High School Eagles	1	1	3	3	5	5
Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold	2	2	4	4	6	6
Brewster Academy Bobcats	3	3	5	5	7	7
Cape Elizabeth High School Capers	4	4	6	6	8	8
Champlain VUHS Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9
Cheverus High School Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10
Dublin School Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11
Duxbury High School Dragons	8	8	10	10	12	12
Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen	9	9	11	11	13	13
Greely High School - Maine Rangers	10	10	12	12	14	14
Islesboro Central School Eagles	11	11	13	13	15	15
Marblehead High School Fishwagons	12	12	14	14	16	16
Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity	13	13	15	15	17	17
Portland High School Bulldogs	14	14	16	16	18	18
Sharon High School Varsity	15	15	17	17	1	1
Unregistered-NESSA Northern VT	16	16	18	18	2	2
Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine	17	17	1	1	3	3
Yarmouth High School Clippers	18	18	2	2	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Barrington High School Eagles	2	2	4	4	6	6
Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold	3	3	5	5	7	7
Brewster Academy Bobcats	4	4	6	6	8	8
Cape Elizabeth High School Capers	5	5	7	7	9	9
Champlain VUHS Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10
Cheverus High School Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11
Dublin School Varsity	8	8	10	10	12	12
Duxbury High School Dragons	9	9	11	11	13	13
Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen	10	10	12	12	14	14
Greely High School - Maine Rangers	11	11	13	13	15	15
Islesboro Central School Eagles	12	12	14	14	16	16
Marblehead High School Fishwagons	13	13	15	15	17	17
Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity	14	14	16	16	18	18
Portland High School Bulldogs	15	15	17	17	1	1
Sharon High School Varsity	16	16	18	18	2	2
Unregistered-NESSA Northern VT	17	17	1	1	3	3
Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine	18	18	2	2	4	4
Yarmouth High School Clippers	1	1	3	3	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Barrington High School	Charles Kreuzkamp '20	Kaleigh Morgan '19
Eagles	Joseph Wicker '20	Olin Guck '22
Boothbay RHS	Hamilton Barclay '23	Ella Beauregard '21
SeaHawks Gold	Nate Rideout '21	Alton Coolidge '22
Brewster Academy	Aidan Rolfe '20	Natasha Vallett '20
Bobcats	Huanzhi Mao '21	Trevor Simboli '21
Cape Elizabeth High School	Patrick Miller '19	Aidan Brown '20
Capers	Alec Bodenski '19 [1-6]	Elliot Brown '22 [1-4] Brad Bodenski '21 [5-6]
Champlain VUHS	Jack Merrill '19	Aaron Mcnally '20
Varsity	Michael Hayes '20	Ulrick Meyer '21
Cheverus High School	William Keith '22	Matthew Scanlon '22
Varsity	Francessca Chace '22	Camden Hom '22
Dublin School	No Show	No Show
Varsity	No Show	No Show
Duxbury High School	Katie Lojko '19	Julia Phipps '20
Dragons	Griffen Horne '19	Noah Handfeild '20
Falmouth High School (ME)	Brendan Mittleider '19 [1-6]	Alex Mazelsky '20 [1-2] Sam Rooks '22 [3-6]
Yachtsmen	Catherine Morrissette '20 [1-6]	Catherine Carpenter '19 [1-4] Emma Cole '21 [5-6]
Greely High School - Maine	George Holt '19	Anna Smith '19
Rangers	Jayme Morrison '19	Brooke Asherman '19
Islesboro Central School	Rylee Sienkiewicz '20	Ava Schlottman '20
Eagles	Emily Lau '19	Sophie Lau '21
Marblehead High School	Magdelaina Putnam '20	Gavin Dowley '20
Fishwagons	Matthew Caplan '21	Jessica West '21
Mt. Desert Island HS	Alec Fisichella '19 [1-4] Joe Minutolo '22 [5-6]	Sylvester Mays '22 [1-4] Jesse Macdonald '21 [5-6]
Varsity	Lucas Ingebritson '19	Nate Ingebritson '21
Portland High School	Hal Clews '19	Lucy Kilbreth '20
Bulldogs	Gavin Sanborn '21 [1-4] Eva Ermlich '22 [5-6]	Jondall Norris '20 [1-4]
Sharon High School	Christopher Anchan '19 [1-4] Briana Chen '20 [5-6]	Jason Yang '20 [1-4] Eddie Bielawa '20 [5-6]
Varsity	Miguel Vonfedak '19 [1-4] Michael Anchan '19 [5-6]	Ishaan Shah '19 [1-4] Addison Stead '19 [5-6]
Unregistered-NESSA	Julia Shannon-Grillo '20	Joshua Scheidt '19
Northern VT	Noah Powell '21	Ryan Gladstone '20
Unregistered-NESSA	Nathan Selian '20	Luke Weiser '19
Southern Maine	Miles Thompson '19	Harrison Fream '21
Yarmouth High School	No Show	No Show
Clippers	No Show	No Show

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Casco Bay Open

Division A

Division B

From the notes