Fall MDISA JV Champs

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 23 5 28
2 North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 18 13 31
3 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 30 18 48
4 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 11 41 52
5 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 36 37 73
6 Georgetown Day Georgetown Day Georgetown Day 29 46 75
7 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 42 33 75
8 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 55 31 86
9 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 42 50 92
10 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 37 56 93
11 Gunston Gunston Herons 53 40 93
12 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 58 60 118
13 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 54 65 119
14 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 65 64 129
15 Key School Key School Zags 79 58 137
16 Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 72 68 140
17 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 62 82 144
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 2 2 5 1 1 11 Jon Weed '22
Emilie Orendorff '22
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 3 3 3 4 5 18 Iain Shand '19 [1-2, 5]
Ian Ronald '21 [3-4]
Ellie Sekowski '19 [1-2, 5]
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 2 DSQ 23 Teddy Cromwell '20
Jack O'Donnell '21
Georgetown Day Georgetown Day Georgetown Day 5 8 2 3 11 29
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 6 4 11 5 4 30 Chase Conway '22 [1-5]
Kelly Koerschner '22 [1-4]
Cole Wiegand '21 [5]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 4 6 7 12 7 36 Tehya Gaines '21
Hannah Davis '20
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 7 7 4 7 12 37 Cole Canuel '22
Asha Myers '22
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 8 11 8 6 9 42 Corbin Voorhes '21
Mary Macdonald '21
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 12 14 6 8 2 42 Carolyn Wilson '20
Megan Roberts '20
Gunston Gunston Herons 15 16 9 10 3 53 Severin Schut '21
Charles Shifrin '21
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 13 9 15 11 6 54 Jonathan Stevenson '23
Clare Greenwell '22
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 14 5 13 9 14 55 Ole Singelstad '21 [1-4]
Mary Nolan '21 [5]
Mary Nolan '21 [1-2]
Joshua Sambrano '22 [3-4]
Alexander Harkowa '21 [5]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 12 10 14 13 58 Seamus Seerey '20
Preston Fitzgerald '22
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 16 13 12 13 8 62 Zach Hammel '21
Janie Powell '21
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 11 10 17 17 10 65 Abigail Cosgrove '22 [1-2, 5]
Abigail Hupp '22 [3-4]
Cate Kinslow '22 [1-2, 5]
Daniel Papp '22 [3-4]
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 10 15 16 15 16 72 Will Morrissey '19 [1-2]
Maeve Drury '19 [3-5]
Liam Gallagher '20 [1-4]
Anthony Thonnard '22 [5]
Key School Key School Zags 17 17 14 16 15 79 James Madison '23
Sam Rodilosso '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 5 Zander King '21
Raam Fox '22
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 2 2 3 2 4 13 Morgan Essex '19 [1-2, 5]
Skylor Sweet '22 [3-4]
Henry Stockman '22 [1-2, 5]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 3 2 5 5 18 Andrew Tollefson '22 [1-5]
Cole Wiegand '21 [1-2]
Molly Jones- Lantzy '21 [3-5]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 4 7 7 3 10 31 Amy Christopherson '21
Ryleigh Kealy '21
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 10 6 11 4 2 33 Doug Macdonald '19 [1-2, 5]
Aliya Berger '20 [3-4]
Scott Carlsen '20 [1-2]
Noah Wigglesworth '22 [3-4]
Riley Van Liew '20 [5]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 6 5 12 7 7 37 Gabe Gutierrez '20
Kyle Edwards '20
Gunston Gunston Herons 5 4 8 9 14 40 Helen Boone '21
Hannah Worth '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 8 10 5 6 12 41 Andrew White '21
Lily Newman '21
Georgetown Day Georgetown Day Georgetown Day 11 8 6 15 6 46
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 7 9 9 12 13 50 Henry Meiser '23
Derick Fahnestock '22
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 9 13 13 DSQ 3 56 Josiah Chase '21
Sam White '23
Key School Key School Zags 16 16 4 13 9 58 Stella Kim '23
Jacqueline Mednick '22
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 14 11 16 8 11 60 Michael Hinrichs '22
Pierce Rizzo '22
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 12 15 10 11 16 64 Brady Kinslow '20 [1-2]
Ethan Strain '21 [3-4]
Campbell Earhart '22 [5]
Nicholas Fernbaugh '20 [1-2]
Caeden Wirth '22 [3-4]
Alex Howard '22 [5]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 15 14 14 14 8 65 Julia Sullivan '22
Macy Mccombs '19
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 13 12 DSQ 10 15 68 Maeve Drury '19 [1-2]
Hudson Riggs '20 [3-5]
Olivia Boucher '21 [1-2]
Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22 [3-5]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 17 17 15 16 17 82 Pierre Auchincloss '21
Jack Alpert '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers11335
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers22446
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33557
Georgetown DayGeorgetown Day Georgetown Day44668
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets55779
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles779911
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers88101012
Key SchoolKey School Zags99111113
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1010121214
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors1111131315
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1212141416
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1717224
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1313151517
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons141416161
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1616113
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints151517172
GunstonGunston Herons668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers22446
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers33557
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins44668
Georgetown DayGeorgetown Day Georgetown Day55779
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets668810
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles88101012
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers99111113
Key SchoolKey School Zags1010121214
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1111131315
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors1212141416
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1313151517
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres11335
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals141416161
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons151517172
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1717224
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1616113
GunstonGunston Herons779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Cole Canuel '22 Asha Myers '22
Panthers Josiah Chase '21 Sam White '23
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Seamus Seerey '20 Preston Fitzgerald '22
Cavaliers Michael Hinrichs '22 Pierce Rizzo '22
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Jon Weed '22 Emilie Orendorff '22
Bruins Andrew White '21 Lily Newman '21
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Jonathan Stevenson '23 Clare Greenwell '22
Hornets Julia Sullivan '22 Macy Mccombs '19
Gunston Gunston Severin Schut '21 Charles Shifrin '21
Herons Helen Boone '21 Hannah Worth '21
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Will Morrissey '19 [1-2]
Maeve Drury '19 [3-5]
Liam Gallagher '20 [1-4]
Anthony Thonnard '22 [5]
Eagles Maeve Drury '19 [1-2]
Hudson Riggs '20 [3-5]
Olivia Boucher '21 [1-2]
Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22 [3-5]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Corbin Voorhes '21 Mary Macdonald '21
Buccaneers Doug Macdonald '19 [1-2, 5]
Aliya Berger '20 [3-4]
Scott Carlsen '20 [1-2]
Noah Wigglesworth '22 [3-4]
Riley Van Liew '20 [5]
Key School Key School James Madison '23 Sam Rodilosso '21
Zags Stella Kim '23 Jacqueline Mednick '22
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Tehya Gaines '21 Hannah Davis '20
Raiders Gabe Gutierrez '20 Kyle Edwards '20
North East River High School North East River High School Iain Shand '19 [1-2, 5]
Ian Ronald '21 [3-4]
Ellie Sekowski '19 [1-2, 5]
Road Warriors Morgan Essex '19 [1-2, 5]
Skylor Sweet '22 [3-4]
Henry Stockman '22 [1-2, 5]
Patuxent Patuxent Carolyn Wilson '20 Megan Roberts '20
Panthers Henry Meiser '23 Derick Fahnestock '22
Severn School Severn School Teddy Cromwell '20 Jack O'Donnell '21
Admirals Zander King '21 Raam Fox '22
Severna Park Severna Park Zach Hammel '21 Janie Powell '21
Falcons Pierre Auchincloss '21 Jack Alpert '21
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Chase Conway '22 [1-5] Kelly Koerschner '22 [1-4]
Cole Wiegand '21 [5]
Saints Andrew Tollefson '22 [1-5] Cole Wiegand '21 [1-2]
Molly Jones- Lantzy '21 [3-5]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Abigail Cosgrove '22 [1-2, 5]
Abigail Hupp '22 [3-4]
Cate Kinslow '22 [1-2, 5]
Daniel Papp '22 [3-4]
Knights Brady Kinslow '20 [1-2]
Ethan Strain '21 [3-4]
Campbell Earhart '22 [5]
Nicholas Fernbaugh '20 [1-2]
Caeden Wirth '22 [3-4]
Alex Howard '22 [5]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Ole Singelstad '21 [1-4]
Mary Nolan '21 [5]
Mary Nolan '21 [1-2]
Joshua Sambrano '22 [3-4]
Alexander Harkowa '21 [5]
Sabres Amy Christopherson '21 Ryleigh Kealy '21

Conditions — 10/28/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1010.4 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.5 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From W (260°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine3.8 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1010.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Saints Peter & Paul: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.18)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 16% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Saints Peter & Paul by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Saints Peter & Paul, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →