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MN Conference Regatta #3 Fall '18

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 26 33 59
2 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 67 17 84
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 42 43 85
4 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 51 51 102
5 Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 52 57 109
6 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 45 67 112
7 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 71 56 127
8 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 19 109 128
9 Breck Breck Varsity 87 44 131
10 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 58 86 144
11 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 77 74 151
12 Hopkins High School (MN) Hopkins High School (MN) Mixed 68 86 154
13 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 54 107 161
14 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 55 114 169
15 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 114 72 186
16 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 115 76 191
17 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 3 112 97 209
18 Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 109 101 210
19 Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Mixed 130 85 215
20 Okoboji High School Okoboji High School Okoboji High School 125 117 242
21 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 141 126 267
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 3 7 2 3 2 1 19 Rachel Bartel '20
Theodore (Teddy) Graham '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 2 4 6 3 1 1 9 26 Max Sigel '22
Nicholas Wyatt '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 4 6 2 6 8 5 11 42 Greg Bittle '21
Tristan Wischmeier '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 7 5 10 8 7 4 4 45 Graham Ness '19
Macie Anundson '20
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 14 7 14 5 2 7 2 51 Rachel Bartel '20
Theodore (Teddy) Graham '22
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 9 13 1 9 6 6 8 52 Sean Mcaneney '21
Hayden Graff '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 8 8 3 4 14 10 7 54 No Show
No Show
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 16 10 4 1 11 8 5 55 Walker Mullin '19 [1-7]
Alex Saffert '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Paige Kurtenbach '23 [3-4, 7]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 3 1 8 7 9 14 16 58 Matt Dresen '20
Finnian Falvey '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 6 11 9 11 4 12 14 67 Owen Harrod '22
Luke Larson '21
Hopkins High School (MN) Hopkins High School (MN) Mixed 10 2 15 10 10 11 10 68 Patryk Stachowicz '24
Mark Kamenev '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 5 16 5 15 5 3 OCS 71 Henry Westlind '19
Zoey Meyer '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 13 15 12 12 13 9 3 77 Marley Barrett '23
Martha Hughes '24
Breck Breck Varsity 15 9 13 13 15 16 6 87 William Sweeney '21
Grace Schurtz-Ford '20
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 20 14 11 14 17 18 15 109 Madeline Netzer '22
Helene Schroeder '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 3 11 12 16 17 19 19 18 112 Kallista Halatsis '23
Claire Brings '21
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 17 18 19 16 18 13 13 114 Paul Wang '23
Alexia Harrison '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 12 17 17 19 16 15 19 115 Anika Liner '21
Olivia Shores '21
Okoboji High School Okoboji High School Okoboji High School 19 21 18 18 12 17 20 125 Brady Clausen '20
Dylan Mchugh '19
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Mixed 18 19 20 20 20 21 12 130 Eloise Gitchell '19 [1-7]
Brandon Neifert '21 [1-2]
Jackson Medeck '24 [3-4]
Ethan Stohr '23 [5-7]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 21 20 21 21 21 20 17 141 Aidan Lundgren '21
Anna Dumond '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 3 2 1 2 2 3 4 17 Cole Barre '21
Nick Lorentz '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 1 6 2 13 1 2 8 33 Tryg Van Wyk '22
Rory Cole '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 9 5 5 1 4 5 14 43 Garrett Moen '19
Jack Wherry '22
Breck Breck Varsity 2 3 6 8 8 6 11 44 Maeve Katics '22
Erin Mcdonagh '24
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 8 1 3 4 13 1 21 51 Connor Shore '22
Louise Rosenbaum '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 7 8 4 6 14 12 5 56 Jack Callinan '23
Viktor Boris '19
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 20 7 12 3 7 7 1 57 Leo Markus '23
Nils Wulfsberg '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 10 9 10 5 12 9 12 67 Evan Komis '20
Beth Walsh '20
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 16 4 11 18 6 8 9 72 Grady Van Ness '22 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Virginia Higgins '22 [2, 4, 6]
Virginia Higgins '22 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Grady Van Ness '22 [2, 4, 6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 12 12 9 12 9 17 3 74 Isabela Snow '23
Evelyn Engebretsen '24
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 5 13 13 9 10 19 7 76 Stella Demars '24 [1-7]
Belle Carpenter '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Mason Schneider '24 [3-4, 7]
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Mixed 4 18 19 15 3 11 15 85 Taylor Jensen '19 [1-7]
Ethan Stohr '23 [1-2]
Brandon Neifert '21 [3-4]
Jackson Medeck '24 [5-7]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 6 10 14 7 16 20 13 86 Alec Murphy '22
Stella Townshend '24
Hopkins High School (MN) Hopkins High School (MN) Mixed 18 15 17 10 5 4 17 86 Griffin Sack '24
Mira Katz-James '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 3 11 14 16 14 11 13 18 97 Delaney Mallin '21 [1-7]
Sara Fraser '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Rasmus Gantriis '21 [3-4, 7]
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 13 16 8 21 15 18 10 101 Sam Fider '22
Spence Christensen '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 19 20 20 11 21 10 6 107 No Show
No Show
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 21 17 21 16 18 14 2 109 Georgia Green '22
Hunter Wheaton '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 17 19 7 19 20 16 16 114 Grace Bray '23
Alyson Liu '24
Okoboji High School Okoboji High School Okoboji High School 14 11 15 17 19 21 20 117 Timothy (Tj) Ascherl '21
Olin Myhre '20
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 15 DNS 18 20 17 15 19 126 Sophia Nelson '22
Aubrey Filanrinos '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bloomington JeffersonBloomington Jefferson Mixed8888888
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Mixed1111111
BreckBreck Varsity7777777
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets10101010101010
Hopkins High School (MN)Hopkins High School (MN) Mixed2222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 111111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 214141414141414
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 315151515151515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 15555555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 26666666
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 39999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 416161616161616
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 518181818181818
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 621212121212121
Okoboji High SchoolOkoboji High School Okoboji High School12121212121212
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed20202020202020
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans4444444
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed17171717171717
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed3333333
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed19191919191919
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed13131313131313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bloomington JeffersonBloomington Jefferson Mixed8888888
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Mixed1111111
BreckBreck Varsity7777777
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets10101010101010
Hopkins High School (MN)Hopkins High School (MN) Mixed2222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 111111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 214141414141414
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 315151515151515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 15555555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 26666666
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 39999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 416161616161616
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 518181818181818
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 621212121212121
Okoboji High SchoolOkoboji High School Okoboji High School12121212121212
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed20202020202020
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans4444444
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed17171717171717
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed3333333
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed19191919191919
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed13131313131313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Madeline Netzer '22 Helene Schroeder '22
Mixed Sam Fider '22 Spence Christensen '22
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Eloise Gitchell '19 [1-7] Brandon Neifert '21 [1-2]
Jackson Medeck '24 [3-4]
Ethan Stohr '23 [5-7]
Mixed Taylor Jensen '19 [1-7] Ethan Stohr '23 [1-2]
Brandon Neifert '21 [3-4]
Jackson Medeck '24 [5-7]
Breck Breck William Sweeney '21 Grace Schurtz-Ford '20
Varsity Maeve Katics '22 Erin Mcdonagh '24
Edina High School Edina High School Paul Wang '23 Alexia Harrison '19
Hornets Grady Van Ness '22 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Virginia Higgins '22 [2, 4, 6]		 Virginia Higgins '22 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Grady Van Ness '22 [2, 4, 6]
Hopkins High School (MN) Hopkins High School (MN) Patryk Stachowicz '24 Mark Kamenev '24
Mixed Griffin Sack '24 Mira Katz-James '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Anika Liner '21 Olivia Shores '21
Zephyrs 1 Stella Demars '24 [1-7] Belle Carpenter '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Mason Schneider '24 [3-4, 7]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Owen Harrod '22 Luke Larson '21
Zephyrs 2 Cole Barre '21 Nick Lorentz '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Kallista Halatsis '23 Claire Brings '21
Zephyrs 3 Delaney Mallin '21 [1-7] Sara Fraser '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Rasmus Gantriis '21 [3-4, 7]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Greg Bittle '21 Tristan Wischmeier '21
Skippers 1 Garrett Moen '19 Jack Wherry '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Henry Westlind '19 Zoey Meyer '22
Skippers 2 Jack Callinan '23 Viktor Boris '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Max Sigel '22 Nicholas Wyatt '22
Skippers 3 Tryg Van Wyk '22 Rory Cole '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Marley Barrett '23 Martha Hughes '24
Skippers 4 Isabela Snow '23 Evelyn Engebretsen '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School No Show No Show
Skippers 5 No Show No Show
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Graham Ness '19 Macie Anundson '20
Skippers 6 Evan Komis '20 Beth Walsh '20
Okoboji High School Okoboji High School Brady Clausen '20 Dylan Mchugh '19
Okoboji High School Timothy (Tj) Ascherl '21 Olin Myhre '20
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 Theodore (Teddy) Graham '22
Mixed Connor Shore '22 Louise Rosenbaum '20
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 Theodore (Teddy) Graham '22
Spartans Georgia Green '22 Hunter Wheaton '23
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Aidan Lundgren '21 Anna Dumond '22
Mixed Sophia Nelson '22 Aubrey Filanrinos '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School Sean Mcaneney '21 Hayden Graff '21
Mixed Leo Markus '23 Nils Wulfsberg '22
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Walker Mullin '19 [1-7] Alex Saffert '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Paige Kurtenbach '23 [3-4, 7]
Mixed Grace Bray '23 Alyson Liu '24
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Matt Dresen '20 Finnian Falvey '21
Mixed Alec Murphy '22 Stella Townshend '24

Conditions — 09/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1026.6 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From E (95°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1026.6 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Minnetonka: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnetonka by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Minnetonka, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →