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MN Conference #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 33 18 51
2 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 44 28 72
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 50 MRP 32 MRP 82 MRP
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 38 MRP 60 MRP 98 MRP
5 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 50 53 103
6 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 6 62 MRP 43 MRP 105 MRP
7 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 48 58 106
8 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 31 77 108
9 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 44 78 122
10 Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 2 82 40 122
11 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 95 MRP 31 MRP 126 MRP
12 Orono High School Orono High School Navy 32 95 127
13 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 80 51 131
14 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 87 57 144
15 Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 1 67 77 144
16 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 43 102 145
17 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 4 84 MRP 62 MRP 146 MRP
18 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 85 63 148
19 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 1 101 57 158
20 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 5 46 MRP 123 MRP 169 MRP
21 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 75 100 175
22 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 2 108 81 189
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 5 13 8 1 4 31 Kytalin Hendrickson '22
Tyra Pranger '21
Orono High School Orono High School Navy 11 11 6 3 1 32 Rachel Bartel '20
Mei Vickery '21
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 1 10 8 13 33 Toby Sullivan '19 [1-4]
Stephen Olk '21 [5]
Stephen Olk '21 [1-4]
Toby Sullivan '19 [5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 3 6 2 2 5 38 MRP Lucia Loosbrock '21
Susie Foster '19
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 8 7 12 7 9 43 Archie Bolgar '19
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 6 3 16 11 8 44 George Moore '20
Reilly Hannula '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 15 5 3 10 11 44 Sean Mcaneney '21
Leo Markus '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 5 2 2 1 14 7 46 MRP Matthew Kickhafer '19
Jack Wherry '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 14 10 5 17 2 48 Nicole Guiliani '20
Max Sadowski '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 7 4 4 9 6 50 MRP Nate Olmsted '19
Beth Walsh '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 10 14 9 5 12 50 Cole Barre '21
Nick Lorentz '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 6 4 9 11 15 3 62 MRP Greg Bittle '21
Nicholas Wyatt '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 1 20 18 7 12 10 67 Calvin Lamosse '21
Gints Pelecis '21
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 9 12 15 18 21 75 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Harrison Anderson '23
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 19 16 18 13 14 80 Finn Tait '21
Hayden Graff '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 2 17 15 13 19 18 82 James Jagielski '21
Timothy Chouinard '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 4 18 8 17 4 17 84 MRP Marley Barrett '23
Sophia Rey '19
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 12 17 20 16 20 85 Kate Ness '23
Maria Pumper '19
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 16 19 14 22 16 87 Connor Shore '22
Paige Kurtenbach '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 13 20 21 6 15 95 MRP Michael Dowson '19
Tryg Van Wyk '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 1 21 21 19 21 19 101 Luke Larson '22 [1-5]
Rasmus Gantriis '21 [1-2, 5]
Ian Larson '24 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 2 22 22 22 20 22 108 Delaney Mallin '21
Sara Fraser '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 6 5 3 3 1 18 Hank Seum '23
Jose Varela '19
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 5 1 12 5 5 28 Marit Lebakken '20
Virginia Higgins '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 2 2 2 2 3 31 MRP Jacob Zils '23
Garrett Moen '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 3 3 1 1 4 32 MRP Max Sigel '22
Jack Callinan '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 2 8 9 7 4 12 40 Madeline Netzer '22
Helene Schroeder '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 6 1 4 5 7 6 43 MRP William Sweeney '21
Erin Mcdonagh '24
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 12 12 9 8 10 51 Wyatt Tait '23
Griffin Sack '24
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 7 14 11 14 7 53 Luke Schmidt '21 [1-5]
Zoe Coler '24 [1-2, 5]
Abigail Brown '24 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 1 10 13 8 9 17 57 Samantha Forgosh '22 [1-5]
Finnian Falvey '21 [1-2, 5]
Belle Carpenter '23 [3-4]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 14 7 13 12 11 57 Monica Beutz '24
Jacob Zagaros '19
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 4 16 15 15 8 58 Finn Edevold '24
Spence Christensen '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 11 6 4 6 13 60 MRP Maeve Katics '22
Isabela Snow '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 4 9 8 10 13 2 62 MRP Katie Hanley '22
Madison Laroche '19
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 16 11 16 11 9 63 Grace Bray '23
Alyson Liu '24
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 1 19 15 19 10 14 77 Paul Wang '24
Mira Katz-James '21
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 20 19 6 17 15 77 Morgan Reeves '22 [1-2]
Louise Rosenbaum '20 [3-5]
Louise Rosenbaum '20 [1-2]
Morgan Reeves '22 [3-5]
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 18 10 18 16 16 78 Grady Van Ness '22
Keilan Keith '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 2 13 18 14 18 18 81 Anika Liner '21 [1-5]
Stella Demars '24 [1-2, 5]
Mason Schneider '24 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Navy 15 21 20 19 20 95 Sam Rosenbaum '22
Martin Weiss '22
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 21 17 17 22 DNF 100 Sam Jackson '23
Hunter Wheaton '23
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 17 22 22 20 21 102 Harry Hust '20
Aiden Ide '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 5 22 20 21 21 19 123 MRP Evelyn Engebretsen '24
Jordi Malaret '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.340+0.34
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Mixed1616161616
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets66666
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 11515151515
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 288888
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 333333
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 255555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 31414141414
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 41919191919
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 52222222222
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 62121212121
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers22222
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 12020202020
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 21212121212
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Navy1717171717
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans1111111111
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers44444
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed 177777
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed 21010101010
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans99999
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers1313131313
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Mixed1616161616
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets66666
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 11515151515
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 288888
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 333333
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 255555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 31414141414
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 41919191919
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 52222222222
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 62121212121
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers22222
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 12020202020
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 21212121212
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Navy1717171717
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans1111111111
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers44444
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed 177777
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed 21010101010
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans99999
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers1313131313
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1818181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Connor Shore '22 Paige Kurtenbach '23
Mixed Monica Beutz '24 Jacob Zagaros '19
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '20 Reilly Hannula '20
Hornets Marit Lebakken '20 Virginia Higgins '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Luke Larson '22 [1-5] Rasmus Gantriis '21 [1-2, 5]
Ian Larson '24 [3-4]
Mixed 1 Samantha Forgosh '22 [1-5] Finnian Falvey '21 [1-2, 5]
Belle Carpenter '23 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Delaney Mallin '21 Sara Fraser '21
Mixed 2 Anika Liner '21 [1-5] Stella Demars '24 [1-2, 5]
Mason Schneider '24 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Cole Barre '21 Nick Lorentz '21
Mixed 3 Luke Schmidt '21 [1-5] Zoe Coler '24 [1-2, 5]
Abigail Brown '24 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Nate Olmsted '19 Beth Walsh '20
Mixed 1 Max Sigel '22 Jack Callinan '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lucia Loosbrock '21 Susie Foster '19
Mixed 2 Maeve Katics '22 Isabela Snow '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Michael Dowson '19 Tryg Van Wyk '22
Mixed 3 Jacob Zils '23 Garrett Moen '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Marley Barrett '23 Sophia Rey '19
Mixed 4 Katie Hanley '22 Madison Laroche '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Matthew Kickhafer '19 Jack Wherry '23
Mixed 5 Evelyn Engebretsen '24 Jordi Malaret '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Greg Bittle '21 Nicholas Wyatt '22
Mixed 6 William Sweeney '21 Erin Mcdonagh '24
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Toby Sullivan '19 [1-4]
Stephen Olk '21 [5]		 Stephen Olk '21 [1-4]
Toby Sullivan '19 [5]
Panthers Hank Seum '23 Jose Varela '19
Orono High School Orono High School Archie Bolgar '19 Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Mixed 1 Harry Hust '20 Aiden Ide '25
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Harrison Anderson '23
Mixed 2 Sam Jackson '23 Hunter Wheaton '23
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 Mei Vickery '21
Navy Sam Rosenbaum '22 Martin Weiss '22
Orono High School Orono High School Kytalin Hendrickson '22 Tyra Pranger '21
Spartans Morgan Reeves '22 [1-2]
Louise Rosenbaum '20 [3-5]		 Louise Rosenbaum '20 [1-2]
Morgan Reeves '22 [3-5]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Nicole Guiliani '20 Max Sadowski '21
Lakers Finn Edevold '24 Spence Christensen '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Calvin Lamosse '21 Gints Pelecis '21
Mixed 1 Paul Wang '24 Mira Katz-James '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School James Jagielski '21 Timothy Chouinard '26
Mixed 2 Madeline Netzer '22 Helene Schroeder '22
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Finn Tait '21 Hayden Graff '21
Spartans Wyatt Tait '23 Griffin Sack '24
Washburn High School Washburn High School Sean Mcaneney '21 Leo Markus '23
Millers Grady Van Ness '22 Keilan Keith '22
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Kate Ness '23 Maria Pumper '19
Navy Grace Bray '23 Alyson Liu '24

Conditions — 09/08/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NE (35°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.2 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.48 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.19 means a rating gap counts about 17% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →