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MN Fall Conference #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 14 15 29
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 16 13 29
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 21 16 37
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 29 26 55
5 Breck Breck Mixed 38 21 59
6 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 40 33 73
7 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 42 34 76
8 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 39 62 101
9 Edina High School Edina High School mixed 42 63 105
10 Dakota Valley Dakota Valley Panthers 73 33 106
11 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 43 65 108
12 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 31 80 111
13 Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 68 44 112
14 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 65 77 142
15 Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 66 81 147
16 Okoboji High School Okoboji High School Okoboji High School 80 68 148
17 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 94 69 163
18 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 66 99 165
19 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 93 80 173
20 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 99 79 178
21 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 98 101 199
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 4 5 1 3 14 Toby Sullivan '19
Karan Jain '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 2 6 2 2 4 16 Lucia Loosbrock '21
Annika Irene '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 7 2 7 4 1 21 Max Sigel '22
Audrey Cote '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 4 5 1 7 12 29 Greg Bittle '21
Tristan Wischmeier '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 3 8 4 5 11 31 Kate Ness '23
Maria Pumper '19
Breck Breck Mixed 8 10 11 3 6 38 William Sweeney '21
Cameron Anundson '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 6 3 9 11 10 39 Jacob Zils '23
Jack Wherry '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 5 7 6 13 9 40 Robbie Dresen '25
Finnian Falvey '21
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 12 12 10 6 2 42 Finn Tait '21
Hayden Graff '21
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 14 9 3 9 7 42 George Moore '20
Virginia Higgins '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 9 1 13 12 8 43 Marley Barrett '23
Rowan O'Connell '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 16 11 14 10 14 65 Finn Edevold '24
Spence Christensen '22
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 10 13 12 14 17 66 Connor Shore '22
Annika Pendergast '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 13 DNF 8 18 5 66 Katie Hanley '22 [1-5]
Zoey Meyer '22 [1-2, 5]
Alexa Shinler '20 [3-4]
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 17 15 15 8 13 68 Patryk Stachowicz '24
Jackson Stanton '21
Dakota Valley Dakota Valley Panthers 11 14 16 16 16 73 Henry Jensen '19
Brandon Wagner '21
Okoboji High School Okoboji High School Okoboji High School 15 16 17 17 15 80 Brady Clausen '20
Dylan Mchugh '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 18 20 DNF 15 18 93 Luke Larson '22 [1-5]
Ian Larson '24 [1-2, 5]
Mason Schneider '24 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 20 17 18 20 19 94 Delaney Mallin '21 [1-5]
Rasmus Gantriis '21 [1-2, 5]
Olivia Shores '21 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 19 19 20 19 21 98 Morgan Reeves '22
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 21 18 19 21 20 99 Emmanuel Hanson '20
Anneliese Farner '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 6 2 3 1 1 13 Khan Dickel '20
Rory Cole '22
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 1 1 6 6 15 Hank Seum '23
Stephen Olk '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 3 5 4 2 2 16 Jack Callinan '23
Jordi Malaret '23
Breck Breck Mixed 7 3 2 5 4 21 Maeve Katics '22
Martha Hughes '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 4 6 7 4 5 26 Tryg Van Wyk '22
Nicholas Wyatt '22
Dakota Valley Dakota Valley Panthers 2 4 10 7 10 33 Brandon Wagner '21
Hayden Jensen '19
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 9 8 5 3 8 33 Luke Schmidt '21 [1-5]
Abigail Brown '24 [1-2, 5]
Faith Christensen '21 [3-4]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 8 9 6 8 3 34 Wyatt Tait '23 [1-2]
Ben Ragus '20 [3-5]
Griffin Sack '24 [1-4]
Wyatt Tait '23 [5]
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 5 7 8 10 14 44 Madeline Netzer '22 [1-5]
Mark Kamenev '24 [1-2, 5]
Kevin Kane '23 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 11 14 9 12 16 62 Emma Komis '22
Macie Anundson '20
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 13 13 11 15 11 63 Leo Markus '23 [1-4]
Michelle Andruss '20 [5]
Michelle Andruss '20 [1-2]
Elenore Westgard '21 [3-5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 16 15 13 9 12 65 Isabela Snow '23
Evelyn Engebretsen '24
Okoboji High School Okoboji High School Okoboji High School 10 10 18 13 17 68 Timothy (Tj) Ascherl '21
Olin Myhre '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 12 16 12 11 18 69 Kallista Halatsis '23 [1-5]
Sara Fraser '21 [1-2, 5]
Claire Brings '21 [3-4]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers DNF 11 21 16 7 77 Paul Wang '24 [1-2, 5]
Sam Fider '22 [3-4]
Sam Fider '22 [1-2]
Cullen Robbins '23 [3-5]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 15 12 16 17 19 79 Sophia Nelson '22
Aubrey Filanrinos '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 17 18 17 19 9 80 Stella Demars '24 [1-5]
Belle Carpenter '23 [1-2, 5]
Zoe Coler '24 [3-4]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy DNF 17 14 14 13 80 Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-5]
Alyson Liu '24 [1-2, 5]
Grace Bray '23 [3-4]
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 14 19 15 18 15 81 Jackson Medeck '24 [1-5]
Brandt Norwood '20 [1-2]
Ethan Stohr '23 [3-5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 18 21 20 20 20 99 Viktor Boris '19
Keegan Harris '22
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 19 20 19 21 DNF 101 Martin Weiss '22
Aiden Ide '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bloomington JeffersonBloomington Jefferson Mixed1414141414
BreckBreck Mixed1313131313
Dakota ValleyDakota Valley Panthers22222
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed66666
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed1212121212
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs44444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 11515151515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 255555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 32525252525
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 41111111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 51010101010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 688888
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers33333
Okoboji High SchoolOkoboji High School Okoboji High School2222222222
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans2929292929
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed2626262626
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers2323232323
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed3232323232
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed2424242424
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy77777
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed2727272727

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bloomington JeffersonBloomington Jefferson Mixed1414141414
BreckBreck Mixed1313131313
Dakota ValleyDakota Valley Panthers22222
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed66666
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed1212121212
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs44444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 11515151515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 255555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 32525252525
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 41111111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 51010101010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 688888
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers33333
Okoboji High SchoolOkoboji High School Okoboji High School2222222222
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans2929292929
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed2626262626
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers2323232323
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed3232323232
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed2424242424
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy77777
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed2727272727
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Patryk Stachowicz '24 Jackson Stanton '21
Mixed Madeline Netzer '22 [1-5] Mark Kamenev '24 [1-2, 5]
Kevin Kane '23 [3-4]
Breck Breck William Sweeney '21 Cameron Anundson '19
Mixed Maeve Katics '22 Martha Hughes '24
Dakota Valley Dakota Valley Henry Jensen '19 Brandon Wagner '21
Panthers Brandon Wagner '21 Hayden Jensen '19
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '20 Virginia Higgins '22
mixed Leo Markus '23 [1-4]
Michelle Andruss '20 [5]		 Michelle Andruss '20 [1-2]
Elenore Westgard '21 [3-5]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Luke Larson '22 [1-5] Ian Larson '24 [1-2, 5]
Mason Schneider '24 [3-4]
Mixed Stella Demars '24 [1-5] Belle Carpenter '23 [1-2, 5]
Zoe Coler '24 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Delaney Mallin '21 [1-5] Rasmus Gantriis '21 [1-2, 5]
Olivia Shores '21 [3-4]
Zephyrs Kallista Halatsis '23 [1-5] Sara Fraser '21 [1-2, 5]
Claire Brings '21 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lucia Loosbrock '21 Annika Irene '19
Skippers 1 Khan Dickel '20 Rory Cole '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jacob Zils '23 Jack Wherry '23
Skippers 2 Emma Komis '22 Macie Anundson '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Greg Bittle '21 Tristan Wischmeier '21
Skippers 3 Tryg Van Wyk '22 Nicholas Wyatt '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Marley Barrett '23 Rowan O'Connell '20
Skippers 4 Isabela Snow '23 Evelyn Engebretsen '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Katie Hanley '22 [1-5] Zoey Meyer '22 [1-2, 5]
Alexa Shinler '20 [3-4]
Skippers 5 Viktor Boris '19 Keegan Harris '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Max Sigel '22 Audrey Cote '20
Skippers 6 Jack Callinan '23 Jordi Malaret '23
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Toby Sullivan '19 Karan Jain '19
Panthers Hank Seum '23 Stephen Olk '21
Okoboji High School Okoboji High School Brady Clausen '20 Dylan Mchugh '19
Okoboji High School Timothy (Tj) Ascherl '21 Olin Myhre '20
Orono High School Orono High School Morgan Reeves '22 Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Spartans Martin Weiss '22 Aiden Ide '25
Providence Academy Providence Academy Connor Shore '22 Annika Pendergast '23
Mixed Jackson Medeck '24 [1-5] Brandt Norwood '20 [1-2]
Ethan Stohr '23 [3-5]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Finn Edevold '24 Spence Christensen '22
Lakers Paul Wang '24 [1-2, 5]
Sam Fider '22 [3-4]		 Sam Fider '22 [1-2]
Cullen Robbins '23 [3-5]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Finn Tait '21 Hayden Graff '21
Mixed Wyatt Tait '23 [1-2]
Ben Ragus '20 [3-5]		 Griffin Sack '24 [1-4]
Wyatt Tait '23 [5]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Emmanuel Hanson '20 Anneliese Farner '25
Mixed Sophia Nelson '22 Aubrey Filanrinos '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Kate Ness '23 Maria Pumper '19
Navy Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-5] Alyson Liu '24 [1-2, 5]
Grace Bray '23 [3-4]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Finnian Falvey '21
Mixed Luke Schmidt '21 [1-5] Abigail Brown '24 [1-2, 5]
Faith Christensen '21 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From NE (51°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1023.0 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bloomington Jefferso/Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.60 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bloomington Jefferso/Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bloomington Jefferso/Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →