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NP #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 16 7 23
2 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 13 10 23
3 The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 26 10 36
4 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 16 27 43
5 Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 30 18 48
6 Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy The Cavaliers 32 17 49
7 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 22 30 52
8 John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 25 37 62
9 Panthers Panthers Panthers 29 44 73
10 Varsity Varsity Varsity 43 35 78
11 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 34 47 81
12 Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 46 43 89
13 Southlake Southlake Southlake 46 46 92
14 North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 43 49 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 8 1 1 3 13 Zack Carvajal '22
Lauren Creech '19
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 4 4 2 6 16 William Weinbecker '21
Maggie Mclauchlin '21
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 9 3 3 1 16 Clay Myers '21
Abbie Pollitzer '21
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 5 2 6 9 22 Carson Shaw '22
Andrew Shook '19
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 2 8 4 11 25 Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-4]
Andrew Todesco '22 [1-2]
Jack Gigante '22 [3-4]
The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 3 5 5 13 26 Carlyn Blauvelt '19
Erika Kaczynski '20
Panthers Panthers Panthers 6 7 12 4 29
Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 7 6 7 10 30 Evan West '22 [1-4]
Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-2]
Holladay Crook '22 [3-4]
Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy The Cavaliers 1 DSQ 8 8 32 Lucy Spearman '21
Hayden Brautigan '22
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 11 9 9 5 34 Sarah Weese '20
Brooke Zell '20
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 13 12 11 7 43 Ethan Staats '20 [1-4]
Harrison Marx '20 [1-2]
Carter Law '21 [3-4]
Varsity Varsity Varsity 14 13 14 2 43
Southlake Southlake Southlake 10 11 13 12 46
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 12 10 10 14 46 Erin O'Connor '20
Nicole Boyd '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 3 1 2 1 7 Reedy Monahan '20
Tia Schoening '22
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 1 2 5 2 10 Heyward Main '19
Addison Terry '19
The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 2 3 1 4 10 Evie Blauvelt '21
Katrin Surkan '21
Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy The Cavaliers 5 5 4 3 17 Ellie Spearman '21
Ava Wurm '22
Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 6 4 3 5 18 Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-4]
Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [1-2]
Lucas Porter '21 [3-4]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 7 6 7 7 27 Thomas Gnann '20
Court Martin '21
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 4 8 10 8 30 Mason Baird '22 [1-4]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [1-2]
Camdyn Williams '21 [3-4]
Varsity Varsity Varsity 9 9 11 6 35
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 12 7 9 9 37 Neil Bunce '21
Noah Schickler '21
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 8 10 13 12 43 James O'Connor '20
Arianna Borkowski '20
Panthers Panthers Panthers 10 14 6 14 44
Southlake Southlake Southlake 14 13 8 11 46
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 11 11 12 13 47 Nikolas Mcgill '20
Zane Buchli '22
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 13 12 14 10 49 Graham Lee '20
Will Pratt '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
PanthersPanthers Panthers1133
Atlanta Classical AcademyAtlanta Classical Academy The Cavaliers2244
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity3355
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops4466
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny5577
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity6688
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough High School7799
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity881010
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity991111
North Atlanta High SchoolNorth Atlanta High School Warriors10101212
VarsityVarsity Varsity11111313
SouthlakeSouthlake Southlake12121414
The Walker SchoolThe Walker School Wolverines131311
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors141422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
PanthersPanthers Panthers2244
Atlanta Classical AcademyAtlanta Classical Academy The Cavaliers3355
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity4466
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops5577
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny6688
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity7799
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough High School881010
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity991111
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity10101212
North Atlanta High SchoolNorth Atlanta High School Warriors11111313
VarsityVarsity Varsity12121414
SouthlakeSouthlake Southlake131311
The Walker SchoolThe Walker School Wolverines141422
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors1133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy Lucy Spearman '21 Hayden Brautigan '22
The Cavaliers Ellie Spearman '21 Ava Wurm '22
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Clay Myers '21 Abbie Pollitzer '21
Varsity Thomas Gnann '20 Court Martin '21
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Erin O'Connor '20 Nicole Boyd '20
Bishops James O'Connor '20 Arianna Borkowski '20
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL William Weinbecker '21 Maggie Mclauchlin '21
Bishop Kenny Reedy Monahan '20 Tia Schoening '22
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Sarah Weese '20 Brooke Zell '20
Varsity Nikolas Mcgill '20 Zane Buchli '22
Hough High School Hough High School Evan West '22 [1-4] Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-2]
Holladay Crook '22 [3-4]
Hough High School Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-4] Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [1-2]
Lucas Porter '21 [3-4]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Carson Shaw '22 Andrew Shook '19
Varsity Mason Baird '22 [1-4] Mcgill Woodward '21 [1-2]
Camdyn Williams '21 [3-4]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-4] Andrew Todesco '22 [1-2]
Jack Gigante '22 [3-4]
Varsity Neil Bunce '21 Noah Schickler '21
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Ethan Staats '20 [1-4] Harrison Marx '20 [1-2]
Carter Law '21 [3-4]
Warriors Graham Lee '20 Will Pratt '22
The Walker School The Walker School Carlyn Blauvelt '19 Erika Kaczynski '20
Wolverines Evie Blauvelt '21 Katrin Surkan '21
Wando High School Wando High School Zack Carvajal '22 Lauren Creech '19
Wando Warriors Heyward Main '19 Addison Terry '19

Conditions — 12/01/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Moderate rain
Humidity 94%  ·  Pressure 1011.2 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 15.0 kn
Gusts to 33.4 kn
From ESE (121°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity94% Pressure1011.2 hPa Rain1.49 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at North Atlanta: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North Atlanta by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at North Atlanta: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →