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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 31 17 48
2 Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 20 45 65
3 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 51 25 76
4 Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 41 45 86
5 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 34 55 89
6 Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles 58 MRP 57 MRP 115 MRP
7 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 49 MRP 81 MRP 130 MRP
8 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 74 65 139
9 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 93 MRP 61 MRP 154 MRP
10 Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 92 MRP 75 MRP 167 MRP
11 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 86 MRP 102 MRP 188 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 2 1 4 2 1 7 2 1 20 Hamilton Barclay '23
Ella Beauregard '21
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 1 4 2 1 6 4 1 RAF 31 Grant Adam '19 [1-7]
Sam Bradley '19 [8]
Sam Bradley '19 [1-7]
Grant Adam '19 [8]
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 5 2 7 4 5 3 5 3 34 Hal Clews '19
Lucy Kilbreth '20
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 7 5 5 5 7 1 6 5 41 Christopher Anchan '19
Jason Yang '20
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 3 3 1 8 2 2 8 2 49 MRP Patrick Miller '19
Alec Bodenski '19
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 4 6 11 7 3 8 4 8 51 Brendan Mittleider '19 [1-8]
Emma Cole '21 [1-6]
Alex Mazelsky '20 [7-8]
Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles 6 7 3 3 4 5 3 7 58 MRP No Show
No Show
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 8 11 10 10 11 6 9 9 74 Ella Ryan '22 [1-8]
Nathan Roberts '19 [1-4]
Aidan Weymouth '23 [5-8]
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 9 8 8 9 8 9 11 4 86 MRP No Show
No Show
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 10 10 9 6 10 11 10 6 92 MRP No Show
No Show
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 11 9 6 11 9 10 7 10 93 MRP Caroline Williams '19
Corinne Lee '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 1 1 2 1 1 6 2 3 17 Eric O'Connor '19
Ryan Hamilton '19
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 2 2 1 6 6 3 3 2 25 Catherine Morrissette '20
Catherine Carpenter '19
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 5 8 4 8 4 5 1 10 45 Miguel Vonfedak '19 [1-4]
Briana Chen '20 [5-8]
Ishaan Shah '19 [1-4]
Eddie Bielawa '20 [5-8]
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 8 7 7 3 9 2 5 4 45 Nate Rideout '21
Alton Coolidge '22
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 3 5 10 4 8 11 8 6 55 Gavin Sanborn '21 [1-5]
Adam Wendell-Pearson '20 [6-8]
Jondall Norris '20 [1-5]
Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles 9 4 5 2 3 4 9 1 57 MRP No Show
No Show
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 4 3 3 9 2 7 4 9 61 MRP Katie Lojko '19
Elizabeth Linsdell '20
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 6 11 11 5 5 9 10 8 65 Nicole Pendleton '22
Claudia Fox '20
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 11 10 8 7 7 1 6 5 75 MRP No Show
No Show
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 7 6 6 10 10 8 7 7 81 MRP Aidan Brown '20
Elliot Brown '22
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 10 9 9 11 11 10 11 11 102 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold11111111
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers22222222
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity33333333
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons44444444
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen55555555
Islesboro Central SchoolIslesboro Central School Eagles66666666
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons77777777
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs88888888
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity99999999
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Needham HS1010101010101010
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers1111111111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold11111111
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers22222222
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity33333333
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons44444444
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen55555555
Islesboro Central SchoolIslesboro Central School Eagles66666666
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons77777777
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs88888888
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity99999999
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Needham HS1010101010101010
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers1111111111111111

Conditions — 09/09/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1026.2 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From NE (41°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1026.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin College Coastal Studies Center: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin College Coastal Studies Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bowdoin College Coastal Studies Center: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →