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PYC Fun Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 7 33 40
2 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 42 10 52
3 Lowell High School - MI Lowell High School - MI Mixed 23 33 56
4 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 39 22 61
5 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 23 51 74
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 40 35 75
7 Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School GI White - MIXED 56 39 95
8 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 43 55 98
9 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 20 79 99
10 Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mixed 77 38 115
11 Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Mixed 64 52 116
12 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green 72 45 117
13 Toledo Technology Academy Toledo Technology Academy Mixed 59 76 135
14 Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School GI Grey - MIXED 70 70 140
15 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 85 84 169
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 Dominic Dulac '20
Lucas Bellamy '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 3 2 4 3 3 5 20 Liam Hounsell '23
Susanne Denner '19
Lowell High School - MI Lowell High School - MI Mixed 2 6 2 2 8 3 23 Camden Seymour '22
Alexander Hahn '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 8 5 3 4 1 2 23 Jacob Schaupeter '21
Eva Paschke '20
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 9 3 5 8 6 8 39 Lexie Lacerda-Jones '23
Noah Sippel '22
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 5 4 6 7 11 7 40 Grace Quasebarth '20
Lillian Beech '19
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 4 7 7 6 9 9 42 Ryan Peterson '20
Paris Heard '19
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 6 8 9 9 5 6 43 Bill Lazarro '22 [1-6]
Aiden Hocking '22 [1-2]
Vanessa Porter '19 [3-4]
Riley Goodill '22 [5-6]
Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School GI White - MIXED 11 13 10 11 7 4 56 Rylan Van De Wettering '20
Vasilious Dionyssopoulos '21
Toledo Technology Academy Toledo Technology Academy Mixed 7 9 8 13 10 12 59 Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [1-5]
Cecelia Dietsch '22 [6]
Cecelia Dietsch '22 [1-5]
Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [6]
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Mixed 10 10 12 5 14 13 64 Talii Steidl '21
Alexandra Knauer '20
Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School GI Grey - MIXED 14 14 14 10 4 14 70 Jimmy Souilliere '23
Sydney Porter '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green 12 12 13 12 13 10 72 Frank Bachulis '22
Anthony Dziuba '21
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mixed 13 11 11 15 12 15 77 Max Hristovski '22
Hope Cooks '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 15 15 15 14 15 11 85 Joe Mowrey '21
Eric Ellison '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 2 2 1 2 2 1 10 Claire Deblanc '20
Morgan Whitaker '20
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 1 5 3 1 1 11 22 Jenna Wynsma '23
Mady Allen '21
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 4 6 6 3 6 8 33 Ryan Hexter '21 [1-6]
Aidan King '21 [1-4]
Charles Logan '22 [5-6]
Lowell High School - MI Lowell High School - MI Mixed 5 9 7 5 4 3 33 Jackson Macnaughton '22
Liam Fox '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 10 4 2 6 9 4 35 Anna Russo '20
Singer-Miller Abby '19
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mixed 6 1 10 4 5 12 38 Ben Stevens '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Myneni '22 [3-4]
Nick Myneni '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Stevens '20 [3-4]
Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School GI White - MIXED 3 8 4 8 7 9 39 Maren Matthews '22 [1-6]
Mallory Dieball '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyla Bugarin '20 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green 8 10 5 9 3 10 45 Walter Paliga '22
Ronnie Budka '21
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 7 11 8 7 11 7 51 Grant Corrion '22
Matt Schulte '20
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Mixed 11 3 9 13 10 6 52 Kate Byrnes '22
Macy Ladd '23
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 9 7 11 14 12 2 55 Charlie Movius '22 [1-6]
Riley Goodill '22 [1-2]
Aiden Hocking '22 [3-4]
Vanessa Porter '19 [5-6]
Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School GI Grey - MIXED 13 13 12 11 8 13 70 Noton Coulibaly '23 [1-2]
Anna Mcaughey '24 [3-6]
Faith Gaertner '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Noton Coulibaly '23 [3-4]
Toledo Technology Academy Toledo Technology Academy Mixed 15 15 15 12 14 5 76 Jacob Doll '22
Mallory Dietsch '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 12 12 13 10 DNS DNS 79 Vinny Paliga '24 [1-6]
Stephen Tortora '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Ike Schell '23 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 14 14 14 15 13 14 84 Will Hilborn '22
Caden Meyers '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue113355
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold335577
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Red224466
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold446688
Grosse IIe High SchoolGrosse IIe High School GI Grey - MIXED557799
Grosse IIe High SchoolGrosse IIe High School GI White - MIXED66881010
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue77991111
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold8810101212
Lowell High School - MILowell High School - MI Mixed9911111313
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mixed101012121414
Put-in-Bay High SchoolPut-in-Bay High School Mixed111113131515
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity1212141411
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red1313151522
Toledo Technology AcademyToledo Technology Academy Mixed14141133
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB Green15152244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue224466
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold446688
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Red335577
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold557799
Grosse IIe High SchoolGrosse IIe High School GI Grey - MIXED66881010
Grosse IIe High SchoolGrosse IIe High School GI White - MIXED77991111
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue8810101212
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold9911111313
Lowell High School - MILowell High School - MI Mixed101012121414
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mixed111113131515
Put-in-Bay High SchoolPut-in-Bay High School Mixed1212141411
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity1313151522
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red14141133
Toledo Technology AcademyToledo Technology Academy Mixed15152244
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB Green113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Liam Hounsell '23 Susanne Denner '19
MIXED Blue Vinny Paliga '24 [1-6] Stephen Tortora '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Ike Schell '23 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Grace Quasebarth '20 Lillian Beech '19
MIXED Gold Anna Russo '20 Singer-Miller Abby '19
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Joe Mowrey '21 Eric Ellison '24
MIXED Red Will Hilborn '22 Caden Meyers '22
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Lexie Lacerda-Jones '23 Noah Sippel '22
EGR Varsity Gold Jenna Wynsma '23 Mady Allen '21
Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School Jimmy Souilliere '23 Sydney Porter '24
GI Grey - MIXED Noton Coulibaly '23 [1-2]
Anna Mcaughey '24 [3-6]		 Faith Gaertner '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Noton Coulibaly '23 [3-4]
Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School Rylan Van De Wettering '20 Vasilious Dionyssopoulos '21
GI White - MIXED Maren Matthews '22 [1-6] Mallory Dieball '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyla Bugarin '20 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Dominic Dulac '20 Lucas Bellamy '20
Blue Ryan Hexter '21 [1-6] Aidan King '21 [1-4]
Charles Logan '22 [5-6]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Jacob Schaupeter '21 Eva Paschke '20
Gold Grant Corrion '22 Matt Schulte '20
Lowell High School - MI Lowell High School - MI Camden Seymour '22 Alexander Hahn '20
Mixed Jackson Macnaughton '22 Liam Fox '24
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Max Hristovski '22 Hope Cooks '24
Mixed Ben Stevens '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Myneni '22 [3-4]		 Nick Myneni '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Stevens '20 [3-4]
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Talii Steidl '21 Alexandra Knauer '20
Mixed Kate Byrnes '22 Macy Ladd '23
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Bill Lazarro '22 [1-6] Aiden Hocking '22 [1-2]
Vanessa Porter '19 [3-4]
Riley Goodill '22 [5-6]
Varsity Charlie Movius '22 [1-6] Riley Goodill '22 [1-2]
Aiden Hocking '22 [3-4]
Vanessa Porter '19 [5-6]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Ryan Peterson '20 Paris Heard '19
Red Claire Deblanc '20 Morgan Whitaker '20
Toledo Technology Academy Toledo Technology Academy Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [1-5]
Cecelia Dietsch '22 [6]		 Cecelia Dietsch '22 [1-5]
Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [6]
Mixed Jacob Doll '22 Mallory Dietsch '23
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Frank Bachulis '22 Anthony Dziuba '21
WB Green Walter Paliga '22 Ronnie Budka '21

Conditions — 10/21/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1025.3 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.9 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From WNW (287°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine4.1 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1025.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →