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Foundry Fall #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 25 23 48
2 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 32 17 49
3 Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 1 10 52 62
4 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1 56 21 77
5 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 54 23 77
6 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 51 28 79
7 Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 2 47 43 90
8 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2 39 53 92
9 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 28 68 96
10 Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 25 72 97
11 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 56 52 108
12 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Green 95 29 124
13 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 63 81 144
14 Toledo Technology Academy Toledo Technology Academy Tigers 88 77 165
15 Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Panthers 88 89 177
16 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED 92 98 190
17 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 83 110 193
18 Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 99 112 211
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 1 2 1 2 1 1 3 10 Jack Vanderhorst '22
Ashley Almquist '22
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 1 6 8 3 2 5 25 Henry Gonzalez '21
Paige Gorman '21
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 8 2 1 2 8 4 25 Iain Mcsweeney '20
Marie Genevieve Boushelle '22
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 3 8 4 4 7 2 28 Grace Squires '20
Emma Hutchings '22
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 4 3 3 7 3 12 32 Nadia Reynolds '20
Jolene Jirosek '21
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2 7 4 7 6 6 9 39 Jp Starck '20
Patrick Wynn '24
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 2 12 5 5 5 12 8 47 Jonathan Mack '22
Annika Vanderhorst '23
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 5 9 9 13 5 10 51 Meghan Dieball '20
Kyla Bugarin '20
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 14 7 10 8 9 6 54 Collier Ellis '21
Dylan Robertson '24
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1 6 12 6 12 DNF 1 56 Jp Wynne '20
John Wagner '23
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 11 13 11 10 4 7 56 Margot Dugan '20
Blair Willse '21
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 9 11 12 9 11 11 63 Rylan Van De Wettering '20
Eva Ottenbreit '22
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 18 16 14 11 10 14 83 Fisher Howe '21
William Bruner '23
Toledo Technology Academy Toledo Technology Academy Tigers 10 10 17 18 17 16 88 Mallory Dietsch '23 [1-2]
Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [3-6]
Kassidy Kennedy '22 [1-2]
Anshi Pasha '22 [3-6]
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Panthers 17 15 13 16 14 13 88 Nora Ladd '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Talii Steidl '21 [3-4]
Alexandra Knauer '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Emil Michael '24 [3-4]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED 13 14 16 15 15 DNS 92 Jimmy Souilliere '23
Mallory Dieball '24
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Green 16 18 RAF 14 13 15 95 Gefei (Ken) Zhu '21
Jack Harman '23
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 15 17 15 17 16 DNF 99 Lilli Malone '22
Sofia Ely '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 2 1 5 3 5 1 17 Brendon Smucker '21
Sam Heighway '21
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1 5 7 2 2 1 4 21 Eric Pohl '22
Keegan Sheehan '24
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 1 2 4 1 7 8 23 Jed Lory '23
Nicholas Robertson '23
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 4 5 1 7 4 2 23 Adrian Stone '20
Madison Fan '20
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 6 4 3 8 2 5 28 Maren Matthews '22
Faith Gaertner '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Green 3 3 9 5 6 3 29 Charlie Gonzalez '23
Ryan Michalak '23
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 2 12 8 6 4 3 10 43 Robert Mansuetto '21
Kellie Keane '24
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 8 13 7 9 8 7 52 Joey Bonacci '21
Jackie Rosenbaum '21
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 1 9 11 10 6 10 6 52 Ellen Petrigan '22
Kayden Ullom '21
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2 10 6 8 11 9 9 53 Charles Pohl '22
Andrew Coviello '22
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 7 9 12 10 DNF 11 68 Porter Martin '23
Brady Smith '22
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 14 10 11 14 11 12 72 Ashlin Fegen '20
Megan Fegen '22
Toledo Technology Academy Toledo Technology Academy Tigers 11 15 13 12 12 14 77 Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [1-2]
Mallory Dietsch '23 [3-6]
Anshi Pasha '22 [1-2]
Kassidy Kennedy '22 [3-6]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 13 12 15 15 13 13 81 Anna Mcaughey '24
Norton Coulibaly '23
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Panthers 15 14 14 13 14 DNF 89 Macy Ladd '23 [1-2]
Kate Byrnes '22 [3-6]
Hope Cooks '24 [1-4]
Macy Ladd '23 [5-6]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED 16 16 16 16 15 DNF 98 Gillian Bellard '25
Vasilious Dionyssopoulos '21
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 17 17 DNS DNS DNS DNS 110 Matt Savage '22
Emma Hershey '23
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 18 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS 112 Bo Baker '24
Lukas Serenko '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity 1113355
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity 2224466
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue335577
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Green446688
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED66881010
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED77991111
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet557799
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles8810101212
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots9911111313
Put-in-Bay High SchoolPut-in-Bay High School Panthers101012121414
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity111113131515
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed121214141616
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1131315151717
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2141416161818
Toledo Technology AcademyToledo Technology Academy Tigers1515171711
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity1616181822
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Wildcats17171133
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack18182244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity 1224466
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity 2335577
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue446688
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Green557799
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED77991111
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED8810101212
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet66881010
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles9911111313
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots101012121414
Put-in-Bay High SchoolPut-in-Bay High School Panthers111113131515
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity121214141616
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed131315151717
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1141416161818
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 21515171711
Toledo Technology AcademyToledo Technology Academy Tigers1616181822
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity17171133
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Wildcats18182244
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bay High School Bay High School Jack Vanderhorst '22 Ashley Almquist '22
Varsity 1 Ellen Petrigan '22 Kayden Ullom '21
Bay High School Bay High School Jonathan Mack '22 Annika Vanderhorst '23
Varsity 2 Robert Mansuetto '21 Kellie Keane '24
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Henry Gonzalez '21 Paige Gorman '21
Blue Adrian Stone '20 Madison Fan '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Gefei (Ken) Zhu '21 Jack Harman '23
Green Charlie Gonzalez '23 Ryan Michalak '23
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Rylan Van De Wettering '20 Eva Ottenbreit '22
GI Grey - MIXED Anna Mcaughey '24 Norton Coulibaly '23
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Jimmy Souilliere '23 Mallory Dieball '24
GI White - MIXED Gillian Bellard '25 Vasilious Dionyssopoulos '21
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Meghan Dieball '20 Kyla Bugarin '20
Grosse Ile - Scarlet Maren Matthews '22 Faith Gaertner '20
New Albany High School New Albany High School Collier Ellis '21 Dylan Robertson '24
Eagles Jed Lory '23 Nicholas Robertson '23
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Grace Squires '20 Emma Hutchings '22
Patriots Porter Martin '23 Brady Smith '22
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Nora Ladd '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Talii Steidl '21 [3-4]		 Alexandra Knauer '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Emil Michael '24 [3-4]
Panthers Macy Ladd '23 [1-2]
Kate Byrnes '22 [3-6]		 Hope Cooks '24 [1-4]
Macy Ladd '23 [5-6]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Margot Dugan '20 Blair Willse '21
Varsity Joey Bonacci '21 Jackie Rosenbaum '21
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Iain Mcsweeney '20 Marie Genevieve Boushelle '22
Mixed Ashlin Fegen '20 Megan Fegen '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Jp Wynne '20 John Wagner '23
Wildcats 1 Eric Pohl '22 Keegan Sheehan '24
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Jp Starck '20 Patrick Wynn '24
Wildcats 2 Charles Pohl '22 Andrew Coviello '22
Toledo Technology Academy Toledo Technology Academy Mallory Dietsch '23 [1-2]
Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [3-6]		 Kassidy Kennedy '22 [1-2]
Anshi Pasha '22 [3-6]
Tigers Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [1-2]
Mallory Dietsch '23 [3-6]		 Anshi Pasha '22 [1-2]
Kassidy Kennedy '22 [3-6]
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Nadia Reynolds '20 Jolene Jirosek '21
Varsity Brendon Smucker '21 Sam Heighway '21
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Lilli Malone '22 Sofia Ely '22
Wildcats Bo Baker '24 Lukas Serenko '23
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Fisher Howe '21 William Bruner '23
Wolf Pack Matt Savage '22 Emma Hershey '23

Conditions — 09/22/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1013.3 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.9 kn
avg  ·  max 16.4 kn
Gusts to 31.5 kn
From SSW (211°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1013.3 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Aurora/Avon/Avon Lake/Bay/Beaumont/Benedictine/Firestone/Notre Dame Cathedral/Rocky River/Saint Joseph Academy/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH)/University/Westlake: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.30 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Aurora/Avon/Avon Lake/Bay/Beaumont/Benedictine/Firestone/Notre Dame Cathedral/Rocky River/Saint Joseph Academy/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH)/University/Westlake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Aurora/Avon/Avon Lake/Bay/Beaumont/Benedictine/Firestone/Notre Dame Cathedral/Rocky River/Saint Joseph Academy/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH)/University/Westlake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →