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MDISA Varsity at BCSC

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 8 9 17
2 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 14 13 27
3 Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 21 27 48
4 Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 34 25 59
5 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 39 27 66
6 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 51 28 79
7 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 45 40 85
8 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 50 39 89
9 Key School Key School Zags 41 59 100
10 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 42 58 100
11 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 57 48 105
12 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 61 51 112
13 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 53 64 117
14 Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 65 56 121
15 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 59 68 127
16 Gunston Gunston Herons 52 80 132
17 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 78 80 158
18 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 95 95 190
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 1 2 2 1 8 Mariner Fagan '20
Ryan Wahba '20
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 1 6 3 1 3 14 James Golden '20
Amelia Johnson '21
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 9 3 1 4 4 21 Nick Budington '21
Liam Gronda '21
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 3 2 14 10 5 34 Colman Schofield '21
William Bernhardt '21
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 5 12 5 15 2 39 Daniel Unangst '20
Audrey Commerford '21
Key School Key School Zags 4 4 OCS 3 11 41 Charles Anderson '21
Emma Kissel '22
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 6 13 7 6 10 42 Bryce Ricewoolf '20
Rachel O'Neil '20
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 13 7 6 12 7 45 Carter O'Neill '20
Adam Ginsburg '23
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 8 9 11 7 15 50 Jonjon Weed '22
Lily Newman '21
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 7 8 OCS 11 6 51 Olivia Sowa '20
Braedon Myers '20
Gunston Gunston Herons 15 14 9 5 9 52 Mark Bourdin '20 [1-5]
Marion Riddle '21 [1-2, 4-5]
Hunter Mansfield '20 [3]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 10 10 12 13 8 53 Reese Meyers '23 [1-2, 5]
Will Dryer '20 [3-4]
Izzy Wu-Karr '22 [1-5]
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 11 5 10 17 14 57 Blake Vogel '22 [1-2, 5]
Olivia Yazigi '20 [3-4]
Conner Scuillo '22 [1-5]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 17 17 4 8 13 59 Matthew Collinson '20 [1-5]
Joshua Sambrano '22 [1-2]
Tony Evans '20 [3-5]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 12 11 8 14 16 61 Connor Killeen '21 [1-4]
Douglas Patrick '20 [5]
Grace O'Brien '20 [1-5]
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 14 15 15 9 12 65 Natalie Aramendia '22
Caden Meuller '22
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 16 16 13 16 17 78 Christopher Callaghan '20 [1-5]
Kaitlyn Brouillette '20 [1-4]
Alexandra Mullery '22 [5]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 95 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 4 1 1 1 9 Madeline Hawkins '20 [1-5]
Raam Fox '22 [1-2]
Addi Harris '20 [3-5]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 3 2 3 2 13 Chase Conway '22 [1-5]
Zoe Hoctor '21 [1-4]
Jessica Groblewski '21 [5]
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 4 5 4 7 5 25 Conrad Schofield '23
Eric Johnson '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 1 1 7 8 10 27 Tyler Egeli '20
Emily Williams '20
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 6 6 3 5 7 27 Matt Budington '21
Anna Grolleman '22
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 7 2 9 6 4 28 Lucy Paskoff '20
Jonathan Stevenson '23
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 9 10 5 4 11 39 Morgan Carew '21
Lucien Parker '20
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 12 7 10 2 9 40 Isabella Fadullon '23
Asha Myers '23
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 10 12 8 10 8 48 Connor Vogel '20
Suzanne Erny '23
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 8 9 DSQ 9 6 51 Ben Chitterling '21
Janie Powell '21
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 11 15 6 11 13 56 Tad Clifton '23
Ryan Tatelbaum '22
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 13 14 14 14 3 58 Josh Powell '22
Vaughan Hood '20
Key School Key School Zags 5 11 DSQ 12 12 59 Max Shapiro '20
Marissa Loftus '22
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 14 8 13 15 14 64 Colin Dubose '21 [1-2, 5]
Tate Bothner '22 [3-4]
Evan Ticar '23 [1-2, 5]
Finn Parkinson '21 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 16 13 11 13 15 68 Ole Singelstad '21 [1-5]
Sarah Rosa '20 [1-4]
Joshua Sambrano '22 [5]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 15 16 15 17 17 80 Timothy Dixon '20 [1-2, 5]
Brady Kinslow '20 [3-4]
Jillian Downey '20 [1-2, 5]
Matt Getson '20 [3-4]
Gunston Gunston Herons 17 OCS 12 16 16 80 Will Newberg '20
Allen Wang '20
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 95 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers11335
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron22446
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights33557
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins44668
Georgetown Day SchoolGeorgetown Day School Georgetown Day55779
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds668810
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets779911
Key SchoolKey School Zags99111113
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1010121214
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres161618182
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1111131315
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1212141416
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks1313151517
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights151517171
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1414161618
GunstonGunston Herons88101012
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1717113
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots1818224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers22446
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron33557
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights44668
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins55779
Georgetown Day SchoolGeorgetown Day School Georgetown Day668810
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds779911
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets88101012
Key SchoolKey School Zags1010121214
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1111131315
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1717113
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1212141416
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1313151517
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks1414161618
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights161618182
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints151517171
GunstonGunston Herons99111113
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1818224
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Carter O'Neill '20 Adam Ginsburg '23
Panthers Isabella Fadullon '23 Asha Myers '23
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Nick Budington '21 Liam Gronda '21
Battlin' Baron Matt Budington '21 Anna Grolleman '22
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School No Show No Show
Knights No Show No Show
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Jonjon Weed '22 Lily Newman '21
Bruins Morgan Carew '21 Lucien Parker '20
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Natalie Aramendia '22 Caden Meuller '22
Georgetown Day Tad Clifton '23 Ryan Tatelbaum '22
Gilman School Gilman School Blake Vogel '22 [1-2, 5]
Olivia Yazigi '20 [3-4]		 Conner Scuillo '22 [1-5]
Greyhounds Connor Vogel '20 Suzanne Erny '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Olivia Sowa '20 Braedon Myers '20
Hornets Lucy Paskoff '20 Jonathan Stevenson '23
Gunston Gunston Mark Bourdin '20 [1-5] Marion Riddle '21 [1-2, 4-5]
Hunter Mansfield '20 [3]
Herons Will Newberg '20 Allen Wang '20
Key School Key School Charles Anderson '21 Emma Kissel '22
Zags Max Shapiro '20 Marissa Loftus '22
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Daniel Unangst '20 Audrey Commerford '21
Raiders Tyler Egeli '20 Emily Williams '20
Severn School Severn School Mariner Fagan '20 Ryan Wahba '20
Admirals Madeline Hawkins '20 [1-5] Raam Fox '22 [1-2]
Addi Harris '20 [3-5]
Severna Park Severna Park Connor Killeen '21 [1-4]
Douglas Patrick '20 [5]		 Grace O'Brien '20 [1-5]
Falcons Ben Chitterling '21 Janie Powell '21
South River High School South River High School Bryce Ricewoolf '20 Rachel O'Neil '20
Seahawks Josh Powell '22 Vaughan Hood '20
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) James Golden '20 Amelia Johnson '21
Saints Chase Conway '22 [1-5] Zoe Hoctor '21 [1-4]
Jessica Groblewski '21 [5]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Christopher Callaghan '20 [1-5] Kaitlyn Brouillette '20 [1-4]
Alexandra Mullery '22 [5]
Knights Timothy Dixon '20 [1-2, 5]
Brady Kinslow '20 [3-4]		 Jillian Downey '20 [1-2, 5]
Matt Getson '20 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Matthew Collinson '20 [1-5] Joshua Sambrano '22 [1-2]
Tony Evans '20 [3-5]
Sabres Ole Singelstad '21 [1-5] Sarah Rosa '20 [1-4]
Joshua Sambrano '22 [5]
Towson High School Towson High School Reese Meyers '23 [1-2, 5]
Will Dryer '20 [3-4]		 Izzy Wu-Karr '22 [1-5]
Generals Colin Dubose '21 [1-2, 5]
Tate Bothner '22 [3-4]		 Evan Ticar '23 [1-2, 5]
Finn Parkinson '21 [3-4]
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Colman Schofield '21 William Bernhardt '21
Patriots Conrad Schofield '23 Eric Johnson '23

Conditions — 09/29/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From N (10°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1023.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Gilman/Towson: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Gilman/Towson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Gilman/Towson, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →