Navigate

NOYC Girl's Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 6 7 13
2 Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 9 9 18
3 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 9 13 22
4 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 20 17 37
5 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 30 18 48
6 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 28 20 48
7 Sterling Classical School Sterling Classical School Soldiers 18 40 58
8 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 30 30 60
9 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 30 30 60
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 2 1 2 1 6 Emily Alfortish '21
Ellie Menszer '22
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 2 3 3 9 Ava Anderson '23
Katie Mcgagh '21
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 3 3 1 2 9 Kate Gibbons '23
Emory Friend '22
Sterling Classical School Sterling Classical School Soldiers 5 5 4 4 18 Catherine Froelich '25
Fiona Froelich '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 6 4 5 5 20 Riley Reech '20
Corinne Martin '20
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 9 6 6 7 28 Kate Hennig '23
Vivian Heitkoetter '23
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 4 9 8 9 30 Sarah Marlar '20
Sahana Jaligam '22
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 7 8 7 8 30 Elsie Leblanc '20
Sophie Chevis '21
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 8 7 9 6 30 Cassidy O'Brien '21
Isabella Webster '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 2 3 1 1 7 Ashley Alfortish '23
Whitney Gamard '23
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 3 2 2 2 9 Molly Lagarde '24
Vivian Cerruti '24
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 1 6 5 13 Kailey Warrior '23 [1-4]
Jamie Wood '23 [1-2]
Caitlyn Horton '22 [3-4]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 5 5 3 4 17 Emily Threeton '22
Emily Williams '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 6 4 5 3 18 Kennedy Cooper '20
Kristina Rosch '22
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 4 6 4 6 20 Maeve Dever '21
Lacy Ronhaar '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 7 7 8 8 30 Karen Stiegler '21 [1-2]
Victoria Vandenweghe '23 [3]
Isabella White '22 [4]
Victoria Vandenweghe '23 [1-2]
Sibria Adams '23 [3]
Caitlyn Hall '22 [4]
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 8 8 7 7 30 Rachel Bancroft '21
No Show
Sterling Classical School Sterling Classical School Soldiers DNS DNS DNS DNS 40 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons1133
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights2244
Isidore Newman SchoolIsidore Newman School Greenies3355
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers4466
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS5577
Sterling Classical SchoolSterling Classical School Soldiers6688
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 17717271727
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 28811
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 31727172722

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons2244
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights3355
Isidore Newman SchoolIsidore Newman School Greenies4466
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers5577
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS6688
Sterling Classical SchoolSterling Classical School Soldiers7717271727
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 18811
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 21727172722
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 31133

Conditions — 09/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

90°F
↑ 94°F   ↓ 82°F
Feels like 100°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From NW (305°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1015.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ursuline Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ursuline Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at Ursuline Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →