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PCISA Singlehanded Championship (Radial)

# SchoolSailor TOT
1 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Diego Escobar '20 34
2 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Morgan Pinckney '23 55
3 Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Taft Buckley '21 88
4 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Erik Hou '20 94
5 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Liam Andresen '22 100
6 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Jack Egan '20 114
7 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Nathan Sih '21 124
8 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Zoey Ziskind '23 139
9 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Jonathon Seawards '22 165
10 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Chris Salas '22 224
11 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Alex Bonsager '20 244
12 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Sara Parker '21 245
13 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Michael Mcculloch '21 246
14 International HS - SF International HS - SF Alexander Kasolas '22 260
15 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Claudia Arriaga '23 267
16 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Jack Forgea '23 267
17 Ernest J. McBride Ernest J. McBride Tristan Feves '22 270
18 Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Daren Sathasivam '21 278
19 Sacred Heart Cathedral Preparatory Sacred Heart Cathedral Preparatory Ethan Sargent '23 279 MRP
20 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Davis Winsor '20 283
21 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Trey Summers '20 287
22 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Marleigh Henehan '21 289
23 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Jack Roman '22 296
24 Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Chase Englehart '22 316
25 Amador Valley Amador Valley Christopher Hopkins '21 316
26 Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Cooper Butler-Brown '20 322
27 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Mercy Tangredi '21 344
28 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Dylan Gardner '22 353
29 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Cole Tillson '22 357
30 The Urban School The Urban School J.P. Murphy '21 364
31 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Andrew Ingham '21 376
32 College Park High School College Park High School Nate Holden '21 384
33 Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Brendan Connelly '23 411
34 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School William Jacobsen '23 412
35 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Sophia Shaeffer '21 428
36 The Athenian School The Athenian School Annie Chan '21 460
37 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Oliver Stokke '22 464
38 Amador Valley Amador Valley Alec Smith '23 486
39 The Urban School The Urban School Isabelle Lawson '23 530
40 Griffins Griffins Griffins 588
41 Cardinal Cardinal Cardinal 588
SchoolSailor R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Diego Escobar '20 11 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 5 2 34
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Morgan Pinckney '23 9 6 4 3 3 4 4 4 2 2 3 6 1 4 55
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Taft Buckley '21 3 1 9 6 9 6 5 6 4 9 2 8 13 7 88
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Erik Hou '20 4 8 2 2 2 3 3 9 14 3 18 9 14 3 94
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Liam Andresen '22 10 9 8 5 6 10 9 2 7 4 6 10 6 8 100
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Jack Egan '20 1 7 7 14 14 14 11 3 3 8 10 11 2 9 114
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Nathan Sih '21 2 5 10 9 5 7 8 8 8 5 5 7 3 DNS 124
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Zoey Ziskind '23 5 13 16 11 12 16 14 13 12 11 7 1 7 1 139
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Jonathon Seawards '22 7 12 22 16 15 21 17 5 5 6 13 4 12 10 165
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Chris Salas '22 35 16 5 12 23 15 10 20 18 10 15 15 18 12 224
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Alex Bonsager '20 21 20 11 8 11 8 13 31 19 19 8 19 33 23 244
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Sara Parker '21 32 14 20 18 20 24 16 18 10 12 26 20 10 5 245
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Michael Mcculloch '21 22 21 3 10 4 5 6 30 20 23 30 27 21 24 246
International HS - SF International HS - SF Alexander Kasolas '22 24 22 6 4 10 2 2 17 16 25 37 31 36 28 260
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Claudia Arriaga '23 8 19 29 36 29 28 31 12 13 16 1 17 17 11 267
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Jack Forgea '23 17 15 28 29 25 22 24 11 23 17 21 5 8 22 267
Ernest J. McBride Ernest J. McBride Tristan Feves '22 12 10 36 31 33 36 34 10 17 14 11 3 4 19 270
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Daren Sathasivam '21 15 27 12 7 8 12 7 26 34 32 25 23 20 30 278
Sacred Heart Cathedral Preparatory Sacred Heart Cathedral Preparatory Ethan Sargent '23 26 4 25 20 19 17 21 16 21 22 20 18 15 15 279 MRP
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Davis Winsor '20 19 29 15 15 13 11 12 15 31 26 28 30 22 17 283
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Trey Summers '20 23 11 27 21 30 38 26 22 15 20 9 12 27 6 287
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Marleigh Henehan '21 28 17 24 33 31 32 32 7 11 7 14 29 11 13 289
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Jack Roman '22 20 24 30 22 22 26 23 14 9 15 23 24 24 20 296
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Chase Englehart '22 16 18 38 38 37 27 38 25 6 13 17 13 9 21 316
Amador Valley Amador Valley Christopher Hopkins '21 25 33 19 23 7 9 18 19 27 36 34 26 26 14 316
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Cooper Butler-Brown '20 31 25 14 17 26 30 20 29 28 24 16 21 16 25 322
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Mercy Tangredi '21 13 23 33 35 27 33 27 28 26 18 22 22 19 18 344
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Dylan Gardner '22 18 26 34 27 34 20 29 33 24 21 27 16 28 16 353
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Cole Tillson '22 14 38 23 24 24 23 19 23 25 29 29 28 32 26 357
The Urban School The Urban School J.P. Murphy '21 34 30 21 19 16 18 22 24 32 33 31 34 23 27 364
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Andrew Ingham '21 36 35 13 13 18 13 15 32 33 35 33 35 34 31 376
College Park High School College Park High School Nate Holden '21 29 37 18 25 17 19 25 35 36 27 19 33 31 33 384
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Brendan Connelly '23 30 28 26 37 32 29 36 27 30 28 24 25 25 34 411
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School William Jacobsen '23 27 32 37 34 38 37 28 21 22 30 12 32 30 32 412
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Sophia Shaeffer '21 OCS 31 32 30 28 34 33 34 29 31 32 14 29 29 428
The Athenian School The Athenian School Annie Chan '21 38 34 31 26 21 31 30 37 35 34 36 37 35 35 460
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Oliver Stokke '22 6 3 17 32 35 35 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 464
Amador Valley Amador Valley Alec Smith '23 33 36 35 28 36 25 35 36 37 38 38 36 37 36 486
The Urban School The Urban School Isabelle Lawson '23 37 39 39 39 39 39 37 38 38 37 35 38 38 37 530
Griffins Griffins Griffins DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 588
Cardinal Cardinal Cardinal DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 588
Boat Speed Analyzer

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
GriffinsGriffins Griffins1818181818181818181818181818
CardinalCardinal Cardinal3939393939393939393939393939

Performance rating asks, for each skipper: holding every other boat fixed, which rating makes my actual race-by-race finishes least surprising? Boats are valued with the singlehanded rating rather than the fleet rating: 0.79 × the skipper's fleet rating from the week before the event (unrated skippers start at 1.11); the skipper's own singlehanded offset. Strength differences are scaled by 0.80 before they become probabilities, the value that calibrates the model on seasons it had not seen. Non-finishes (OCS, DNF and similar) are left out of the fitting, as in the rating model.

Percentile places a rating among the 495 ISSA sailors with a singlehanded rating who raced the discipline in the last three seasons. Surprise is how many bits more surprising the finishes were at the pre-event rating than at the performance rating. P(this good or better) simulates the event 3,000 times at the pre-event ratings, with the same regatta-form model as the fleet analysis pages, and reports how often the skipper would score this many points or fewer in the races they sailed.

The singlehanded offsets are the current ones (the discipline files keep no weekly history), so a skipper's own offset has already seen this event; offsets are shrunk hard, so the effect is a few hundredths at most. Only skippers are rated.

  • u no fleet rating — the model's level for unrated skippers is the baseline.

Division A  41 boats · 14 races

FinSkipperSchool Races Rating
before		 Perf.
rating		 Δ Percentile
before → perf.		 Surprise
(bits)		 P(this good
or better)		 Avg finish
actual / exp.
1Diego Escobar '20Point Loma High School Pointers 414/143.665.59+1.9299th → 99th11.8<1%2.4 / 9.2
2Morgan Pinckney '23Newport Harbor High School Sailors 214/143.264.75+1.4999th → 99th8.6<1%3.9 / 10.9
3Taft Buckley '21Redondo Union High School14/142.193.89+1.7086th → 99th11.51%6.3 / 16.7
4Erik Hou '20Newport Harbor High School Sailors 114/142.563.60+1.0492nd → 99th4.84%6.7 / 14.7
5Liam Andresen '22Santa Barbara High School Dons 214/142.933.70+0.7698th → 99th2.811%7.1 / 12.9
6Jack Egan '20Point Loma High School Pointers 314/143.653.31−0.3499th → 99th0.744%8.1 / 9.5
7Nathan Sih '21Corona del Mar High School14/142.183.94+1.7686th → 99th11.36%8.9 / 17.0
8Zoey Ziskind '23Dos Pueblos Chargers 114/142.113.04+0.9384th → 98th4.29%9.9 / 17.3
9Jonathon Seawards '22Santa Barbara High School Dons 114/141.942.71+0.7782nd → 95th3.014%11.8 / 17.9
10Chris Salas '22Palos Verdes High School14/141.311.90+0.6067th → 82nd1.816%16.0 / 21.9
11Alex Bonsager '20Newport Harbor High School Sailors 514/141.881.63−0.2581st → 76th0.445%17.4 / 18.3
12Sara Parker '21Point Loma High School Pointers 514/141.511.82+0.3173rd → 81st0.530%17.5 / 20.6
13Michael Mcculloch '21Design Tech High School14/140.851.65+0.8052nd → 76th3.212%17.6 / 24.4
14Ethan Sargent '23Sacred Heart Cathedral Preparatory14/141.71u1.80+0.0978th → 80th0.045%18.5 / 19.5
15Alexander Kasolas '22International HS - SF14/140.631.08+0.4543rd → 60th1.012%18.6 / 25.4
16Claudia Arriaga '23Cathedral Catholic High School14/141.741.41−0.3379th → 70th0.750%19.1 / 19.3
16Jack Forgea '23Dos Pueblos Chargers 214/141.421.67+0.2571st → 77th0.438%19.1 / 21.0
18Tristan Feves '22Ernest J. McBride14/140.981.19+0.2157th → 65th0.224%19.3 / 23.5
19Daren Sathasivam '21Palos Verdes Peninsula High School14/141.501.26−0.2473rd → 66th0.346%19.9 / 20.6
20Davis Winsor '20Newport Harbor High School Sailors 614/141.911.41−0.5082nd → 70th1.766%20.2 / 18.2
21Trey Summers '20Coronado Islanders Nado 214/141.121.27+0.1561st → 66th0.136%20.5 / 22.8
22Marleigh Henehan '21Mission Bay High School14/141.171.30+0.1364th → 67th0.138%20.6 / 22.5
23Jack Roman '22Newport Harbor High School Sailors 414/141.781.48−0.2980th → 72nd0.663%21.1 / 19.3
24Chase Englehart '22Acalanes High School Dons 214/140.880.46−0.4253rd → 36th0.940%22.6 / 24.0
24Christopher Hopkins '21Amador Valley Dons 214/141.060.99−0.0759th → 57th0.047%22.6 / 23.1
26Cooper Butler-Brown '20Oakland Technical High School14/141.091.25+0.1560th → 65th0.148%23.0 / 23.0
27Mercy Tangredi '21Coronado Islanders Nado 314/140.621.06+0.4543rd → 60th1.142%24.6 / 25.5
28Dylan Gardner '22Point Loma High School Pointers 214/141.320.93−0.3967th → 56th1.073%25.2 / 21.7
29Cole Tillson '22Point Loma High School Pointers 114/141.160.80−0.3663rd → 50th0.870%25.5 / 22.6
30J.P. Murphy '21The Urban School Blues 114/141.120.76−0.3561st → 49th0.871%26.0 / 22.8
31Andrew Ingham '21Newport Harbor High School Sailors 314/140.850.37−0.4952nd → 33rd1.667%26.9 / 24.2
32Nate Holden '21College Park High School14/140.390.48+0.0934th → 37th0.052%27.4 / 26.9
33Brendan Connelly '23Acalanes High School Dons 114/140.790.47−0.3350th → 36th0.779%29.4 / 24.7
34William Jacobsen '23Newport Harbor High School Sailors 714/140.660.31−0.3645th → 31st0.876%29.4 / 25.3
35Sophia Shaeffer '21Coronado Islanders Nado 114/140.240.51+0.2729th → 39th0.470%30.6 / 27.7
36Annie Chan '21The Athenian School14/14-0.18-0.30−0.1217th → 15th0.172%32.9 / 29.8
37Oliver Stokke '22Dos Pueblos Chargers 314/141.990.89−1.1183rd → 53rd4.0>99%33.1 / 17.8
38Alec Smith '23Amador Valley Dons 114/140.78u-0.79−1.5749th → 6th17.097%34.7 / 24.8
39Isabelle Lawson '23The Urban School Blues 214/14-0.37-2.45−2.0813th → 1st13.596%37.9 / 30.6

Conditions — 09/21/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 32%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 4.4 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From SW (222°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity32% Pressure1011.9 hPa

What this breeze does at Santa Barbara Yacht Club — from fleet racing

Breeze: SW about 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Santa Barbara Yacht Club in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Santa Barbara Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Santa Barbara Yacht Club: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →