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Shepherd Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 58 18 76
2 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 45 33 78
3 Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 45 50 95
4 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 28 75 103
5 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 57 52 109
6 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 55 68 123
7 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 85 39 124
8 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 72 56 128
9 Troy High School Troy High School Colts 61 88 149
10 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 70 93 163
11 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 89 85 174
12 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 56 144 200
13 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 137 79 216
14 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 140 104 244
15 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 112 137 249
16 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 130 121 251
17 Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 140 140 280
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 4 4 3 4 1 5 1 5 1 28 Emma Friedauer '22
William Bruner '23
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 2 1 5 8 3 2 6 10 8 45 Henry Gonzalez '21 [1-9]
Adrian Stone '20 [1-2]
Paige Gorman '21 [3-9]
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 8 7 2 3 8 9 4 1 3 45 Michaela O'Donnell '20
Megan Fegen '22
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 10 5 8 7 2 1 11 9 2 55 Emmett Nevel '21 [1-9]
Maddie Fitzgerald '22 [1-4]
William Clancy '22 [5-6, 9]
Jake Weinstein '23 [7-8]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 7 2 4 1 DSQ 10 8 2 4 56 John Hultquist '20
Aidan Soule '25
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 9 6 10 2 5 7 3 6 9 57 Wyatt Harley '21
Aviva Kaplan '20
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 1 9 1 6 4 3 10 13 11 58 Nadia Reynolds '20
Maeve Ginty '20
Troy High School Troy High School Colts 3 3 12 9 6 14 5 4 5 61 Emily Pytell '21 [1-9]
Joe Mowrey '21 [1-2]
Alexa Warburton '22 [3-6]
Alaina Favret '21 [7-9]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 11 12 6 5 7 4 12 7 6 70 Benny Wild '22
Adler Wright '22
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 6 8 7 12 11 11 2 8 7 72 Finn Tait '21
Hayden Graff '21
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 5 10 13 15 10 8 9 3 12 85 Meghan Dieball '20
Kyla Bugarin '20
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 13 11 9 10 9 6 7 11 13 89 Liam Clone '20
Ella Beck '22
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 14 13 11 11 12 15 14 12 10 112 Margo Cicero '22
James Rockey '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 12 14 14 13 14 17 15 15 16 130 Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-9]
William Barrett '24 [1-7]
Andrew Sabin '26 [8-9]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 15 15 16 14 15 12 16 17 17 137 Luke Kleinrichert '20
Gabe Maday '22
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 16 16 15 17 DNS 16 13 14 15 140 Keg Avakian '22 [1-9]
Ali Jensen '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Nick Lorenzen '23 [5-6]
Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 17 17 17 16 13 13 17 16 14 140 Jackie Aparicio '20
Ammar Khalid '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 1 4 1 2 1 3 1 1 4 18 Brendon Smucker '21
Sam Heighway '21
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 3 3 RDG 1 7 5 4 3 5 33 Adrian Stone '20 [1-4, 9]
Charlie Gonzalez '23 [5-8]
Madison Fan '20 [1-4, 9]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 8 1 7 3 6 1 2 4 7 39 Maren Matthews '22
Faith Gaertner '20
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 4 7 2 7 14 2 6 7 1 50 Stephanie Hwodeky '23
Marie Genevieve Boushelle '22
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 2 2 DSQ 11 3 9 3 2 2 52 Cecily Marden '21 [1-4, 9]
Alessandra Torres '20 [5-8]
Rem Johannknecht '22 [1-4, 9]
Asha Baddi '20 [5-8]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 6 6 8 4 5 8 5 6 8 56 Wyatt Tait '23
Tj Isberg '21
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 7 8 5 8 10 12 7 5 6 68 Michael Stewart '21 [1-9]
David Eskilson '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Michael Clancy '22 [5-6]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 11 11 11 5 2 4 10 8 13 75 Alison Hoeft '20
Cameron Friedauer '20
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 9 12 4 9 4 10 12 10 9 79 Joe Thuente '20
Ryan Schmidt '21
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 10 9 10 14 8 7 13 11 3 85 Andrew Godmer '22 [1-8]
Bryce Wilmoth '20 [9]
Nic Zenner '21 [1-8]
Troy High School Troy High School Colts 5 10 6 6 11 13 11 12 14 88 Joe Mowrey '21 [1-9]
Will Hilborn '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Dane Greenwood '23 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 14 5 9 12 DSQ 6 9 9 11 93 Philip Lengyel '21
Ava Wilson '20
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 13 13 12 10 13 11 8 14 10 104 Gavin Dempsey '22
Aidan Walls '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 12 DSQ 13 13 9 14 14 13 15 121 Robert Jones '23 [1-9]
Andrew Sabin '26 [1-6]
William Barrett '24 [7-9]
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 17 15 14 15 12 17 15 16 16 137 Phillip Nakamura '23
Rossignel Wolfe '22
Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 16 14 DNS DNS 15 16 16 15 12 140 Alejandra Garcia '20
Anthony Mendoza '20
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 15 16 15 16 16 15 17 17 17 144 Sam Kulisek '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Julia Overmyer '23 [3-6, 9]
William Carl '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Kulisek '23 [3-4, 9]
Julia Overmyer '23 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons131315151717224
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue113355779
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars2244668810
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet3355779911
Hyman G. Rickover Naval AcademyHyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity446688101012
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles557799111113
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions66881010121214
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots77991111131315
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity8810101212141416
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue9911111313151517
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans10101212141416161
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green11111313151517172
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Colts121214141616113
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1414161611335
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1515171722446
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity16161133557
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins17172244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons1414161611335
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue2244668810
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars3355779911
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet446688101012
Hyman G. Rickover Naval AcademyHyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity557799111113
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles66881010121214
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions77991111131315
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots8810101212141416
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity9911111313151517
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue10101212141416161
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans11111313151517172
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green121214141616113
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Colts131315151717224
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1515171722446
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy16161133557
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity17172244668
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins113355779
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Henry Gonzalez '21 [1-9] Adrian Stone '20 [1-2]
Paige Gorman '21 [3-9]
Blue Adrian Stone '20 [1-4, 9]
Charlie Gonzalez '23 [5-8]		 Madison Fan '20 [1-4, 9]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School John Hultquist '20 Aidan Soule '25
Friars Sam Kulisek '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Julia Overmyer '23 [3-6, 9]		 William Carl '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Kulisek '23 [3-4, 9]
Julia Overmyer '23 [7-8]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Meghan Dieball '20 Kyla Bugarin '20
Grosse Ile - Scarlet Maren Matthews '22 Faith Gaertner '20
Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Jackie Aparicio '20 Ammar Khalid '21
Varsity Alejandra Garcia '20 Anthony Mendoza '20
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Emmett Nevel '21 [1-9] Maddie Fitzgerald '22 [1-4]
William Clancy '22 [5-6, 9]
Jake Weinstein '23 [7-8]
Eagles Michael Stewart '21 [1-9] David Eskilson '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Michael Clancy '22 [5-6]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Keg Avakian '22 [1-9] Ali Jensen '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Nick Lorenzen '23 [5-6]
Lions Gavin Dempsey '22 Aidan Walls '21
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Emma Friedauer '22 William Bruner '23
Patriots Alison Hoeft '20 Cameron Friedauer '20
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Michaela O'Donnell '20 Megan Fegen '22
Varsity Stephanie Hwodeky '23 Marie Genevieve Boushelle '22
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Luke Kleinrichert '20 Gabe Maday '22
TCSF Varsity Blue Joe Thuente '20 Ryan Schmidt '21
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Finn Tait '21 Hayden Graff '21
Spartans Wyatt Tait '23 Tj Isberg '21
Traverse City West Traverse City West Liam Clone '20 Ella Beck '22
TCW Varsity Green Andrew Godmer '22 [1-8]
Bryce Wilmoth '20 [9]		 Nic Zenner '21 [1-8]
Troy High School Troy High School Emily Pytell '21 [1-9] Joe Mowrey '21 [1-2]
Alexa Warburton '22 [3-6]
Alaina Favret '21 [7-9]
Colts Joe Mowrey '21 [1-9] Will Hilborn '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Dane Greenwood '23 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Benny Wild '22 Adler Wright '22
Maroons Philip Lengyel '21 Ava Wilson '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Wyatt Harley '21 Aviva Kaplan '20
Grizzlies Cecily Marden '21 [1-4, 9]
Alessandra Torres '20 [5-8]		 Rem Johannknecht '22 [1-4, 9]
Asha Baddi '20 [5-8]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-9] William Barrett '24 [1-7]
Andrew Sabin '26 [8-9]
Navy Robert Jones '23 [1-9] Andrew Sabin '26 [1-6]
William Barrett '24 [7-9]
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Nadia Reynolds '20 Maeve Ginty '20
Varsity Brendon Smucker '21 Sam Heighway '21
Whitney Young Whitney Young Margo Cicero '22 James Rockey '20
Dolphins Phillip Nakamura '23 Rossignel Wolfe '22

Conditions — 11/09/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 30°F
Feels like 29°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.1 kn
avg  ·  max 13.6 kn
Gusts to 21.6 kn
From SSW (213°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 14 kn · N 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →