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October Ursuline Intra Team Scrimmage

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Blue 37
2 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Seniors 43
3 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-White 47
4 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Pink 53
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Blue A 3 2 2 2 3 12 Emily Threeton '22
Emily Williams '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Seniors A 1 3 1 1 7 13 Cassidy O'Brien '21
Sophie Chevis '21
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Pink B 2 6 5 5 2 20 Isabella Webster '22
Kelsa Marie Jacobs '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-White B 5 7 3 3 4 22 Emerson Goodlett '24
Madelyn Oster '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-White A 7 1 6 6 5 25 Julia Poche '24
Evie Barras '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Blue B 8 8 4 4 1 25 Victoria Vandenweghe '23
Sibria Adams '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Seniors B 6 4 7 7 6 30 Karen Stiegler '21
Kate Ford '21
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Pink A 4 5 8 8 8 33 Isabella White '22
Caitlyn Hall '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-Blue33333
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-Pink55555
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-Seniors77777
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-White11111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-Blue44444
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-Pink66666
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-Seniors88888
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-White22222

Conditions — 10/17/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From E (85°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1022.5 hPa

What this breeze does at Ursuline Academy — from fleet racing

Breeze: E about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Ursuline Academy in this breeze: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.16)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ursuline Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at Ursuline Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →