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2021 Fall Scramble

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School MIXED 36 43 79
2 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 24 64 88
3 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 27 66 93
4 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 48 54 102
5 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 68 71 139
6 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 52 89 141
7 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 84 MRP 72 MRP 156 MRP
8 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 58 MRP 99 MRP 157 MRP
9 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 97 65 162
10 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 90 MRP 74 MRP 164 MRP
11 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 53 114 167
12 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 124 43 167
13 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Mixed 105 73 178
14 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 68 113 181
15 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 129 52 181
16 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 109 77 186
17 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Mixed 110 78 188
18 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 103 MRP 89 MRP 192 MRP
19 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 130 64 194
20 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 67 MRP 128 MRP 195 MRP
21 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 89 118 207
22 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 73 137 210
23 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 98 MRP 120 MRP 218 MRP
24 Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 116 109 225
25 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 122 MRP 115 MRP 237 MRP
26 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 3 170 MRP 157 MRP 327 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 7 BKD 5 6 1 1 24 Charlie Allen '24
Will Platten '23
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 3 1 1 14 2 6 27 Cole Schweda '23
Ellie Siepmann '23
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School MIXED 4 4 6 2 11 9 36 Augie Jarecki '23 [1-6]
Henry Schlichting '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Frost '27 [3-4]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 10 11 9 8 8 48 Jimmy Sohigian '24
Fiona Naughton '22
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 6 20 10 7 3 52 Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia '22 [1-4]
Calvin Lutton '22 [5-6]
Casey Bertocchi '22 [1-4]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 5 11 2 5 3 OCS 53 Daniel Sandoval '22
Niklas Swanson '24
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 10 2 8 1 4 13 58 MRP Elizabeth Frost '23
Bryan Pan '23
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 15 3 10 3 5 11 67 MRP Margo Cicero '22
Rossignel Wolfe '22
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 1 19 7 18 16 7 68 Jasper Delasanta '22
Adam Pickhardt '24
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 12 13 16 17 6 4 68 Jakub Fuja '23
Olivia Chigas '24
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 14 7 15 11 21 5 73 Penelope Whiteside '24 [1-6]
Kira Schienke '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Carly Elliot '27 [3-4]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 RAF 5 4 7 9 12 84 MRP Benjamin Luu '23
Amy Ren '23
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 22 9 3 23 15 17 89 No Show
Harsshitha Balachander '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 11 18 14 4 13 10 90 MRP Jake Weinstein '23
Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 17 21 18 15 12 14 97 Tristan Tucker '22
Cora Star '22
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 16 8 12 8 14 20 98 MRP Gavin Dempsey '22
Leo Dempsey '24
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 13 12 13 12 10 23 103 MRP Sydney Mandell '22
Marie Peters '23
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Mixed 24 20 9 13 24 15 105 Quinn O'Dell '26 [1-6]
William Sobol '23 [1-2]
Aiden Calagui '26 [3-6]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 9 24 21 20 17 18 109 Noah Blake '23
Stella Brown '23
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Mixed 20 14 17 19 18 22 110 Sydney Urben '22 [1-6]
Elizabeth Sample '25 [1-2]
Julia Janssen '22 [3-6]
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 23 23 24 21 23 2 116 Olivia Finck '22 [1-2]
Aria Nordahl '25 [3-6]
Aria Nordahl '25 [1-2]
Charlie Sauter '25 [3-4]
Olivia Finck '22 [5-6]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 8 15 22 16 22 19 122 MRP David Eskilson '22
Zoe Ishmael '25
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 19 16 19 24 19 OCS 124 Quinn Stevens '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Bennett Gottesman '23 [3-4]
Ainslie Pratt '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 21 22 23 22 20 21 129 Declan Mccormick '24
Cooper Dunlop '25
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 18 17 DNF DNS 25 16 130 Bri Bohman '24
Kaylie Rominski '25
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 3 25 25 25 25 26 24 170 MRP Maksim Williams '29
Caleb Sander '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School MIXED 3 8 1 OCS 1 3 43 John Lieber '26 [1-6]
Jack Goggins '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Cole Bebeau '27 [3-4]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 5 11 2 1 12 12 43 Charlie Herrick '22
Tyler Knohl '22
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 1 3 OCS 3 17 1 52 Henry Ackley '24
Tyler David '27
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 12 9 15 7 7 4 54 Lexi Chigas '22
Natalia Bretones '23
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 7 18 9 14 10 6 64 Kaeli Bohman '24
Sofia Zalewski '24
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 19 2 18 11 5 9 64 Charlie Bruss '24 [1-6]
Trainer Rolfs '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Beres '27 [3-4]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 4 7 7 OCS 2 18 65 Natalie Becker-Stevens '22
Lucy Harley '23
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 8 5 3 9 OCS 14 66 Adam Biwer '22
Jacob Fuller '23
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 21 19 19 2 3 7 71 Logan Pond '22
No Show
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 6 4 6 5 15 16 72 MRP Elias Sveen Erling '22
William Kraemer '23
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Mixed 9 10 17 18 11 8 73 Nathan Kamath '24 [1-6]
Ava Kiss '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Avery Bembenek '27 [3-4]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 20 6 8 6 9 5 74 MRP Peter Stewart '24
Betsy Finley '23
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 11 14 13 13 13 13 77 Lily Brandt '23
Gavin Parsons '24
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Mixed 25 24 11 12 4 2 78 Matthew Nigel '25 [1-2]
Sophie Niemann '26 [3-6]
Sophie Niemann '26 [1-2]
Elizabeth Allen '26 [3-6]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 10 13 12 10 14 10 89 MRP Oscar Gilroy '23
Cassidy Miley '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 16 15 14 OCS 6 11 89 Izzy Rietz '23
Ann Tokoyoda '24
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 2 1 RAF 4 18 OCS 99 MRP David Ren '24
Lydia Frost '25
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 17 17 23 16 16 20 109 Logan Filar '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kai Nordahl '26 [3-4]
Kai Nordahl '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Filar '25 [3-4]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 24 25 4 19 20 21 113 Tommy Casey '22
Carter Slute '22
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 14 16 OCS 15 OCS 15 114 Sam Beattie '24 [1-6]
Thomas Snyder '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Sawicz '24 [3-4]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 15 12 22 8 21 17 115 MRP Joseph Dunning '23
Michael Clancy '22
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 22 21 21 23 8 23 118 No Show
No Show
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 13 22 10 17 19 19 120 MRP Kaylee Good '23
Maeve Mcginn '23
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 18 20 5 20 23 22 128 MRP Jillian Drake '24
Phillip Nakamura '23
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 26 23 16 21 24 DNF 137 Cailey Elliott '24
Madilyn Richlen '26
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 3 23 26 20 22 22 24 157 MRP Ellie Turcotte '27
George Hurtado '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Mixed335577
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 1113355
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 2224466
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers446688
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 111
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 222
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits557799
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings66881010
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans77991111
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 18810101212
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 29911111313
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School MIXED111113131515
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY101012121414
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity121214141616
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers131315151717
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions141416161818
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers151517171919
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian161618182020
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 11919
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 22020
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons17171919
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Mixed18182020
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1133
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins2244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Mixed446688
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 1224466
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 2335577
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers557799
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 122
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 21133
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits66881010
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings77991111
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans8810101212
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 19911111313
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 2101012121414
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School MIXED121214141616
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY111113131515
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity131315151717
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers141416161818
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions151517171919
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers161618182020
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian17171919
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 12020
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons18182020
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Mixed1919
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack11
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies2244
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Sydney Urben '22 [1-6] Elizabeth Sample '25 [1-2]
Julia Janssen '22 [3-6]
Mixed Matthew Nigel '25 [1-2]
Sophie Niemann '26 [3-6]		 Sophie Niemann '26 [1-2]
Elizabeth Allen '26 [3-6]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Cole Schweda '23 Ellie Siepmann '23
Warhawks 1 Adam Biwer '22 Jacob Fuller '23
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Charlie Allen '24 Will Platten '23
Warhawks 2 Charlie Bruss '24 [1-6] Trainer Rolfs '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Beres '27 [3-4]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Noah Blake '23 Stella Brown '23
Trailblazers Lily Brandt '23 Gavin Parsons '24
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Quinn Stevens '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Bennett Gottesman '23 [3-4]		 Ainslie Pratt '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Wildkits Charlie Herrick '22 Tyler Knohl '22
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Olivia Finck '22 [1-2]
Aria Nordahl '25 [3-6]		 Aria Nordahl '25 [1-2]
Charlie Sauter '25 [3-4]
Olivia Finck '22 [5-6]
Vikings Logan Filar '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kai Nordahl '26 [3-4]		 Kai Nordahl '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Filar '25 [3-4]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Jakub Fuja '23 Olivia Chigas '24
Titans Tommy Casey '22 Carter Slute '22
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Jake Weinstein '23 Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Eagles 1 Peter Stewart '24 Betsy Finley '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep David Eskilson '22 Zoe Ishmael '25
Eagles 2 Joseph Dunning '23 Michael Clancy '22
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Augie Jarecki '23 [1-6] Henry Schlichting '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Frost '27 [3-4]
MIXED John Lieber '26 [1-6] Jack Goggins '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Cole Bebeau '27 [3-4]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Penelope Whiteside '24 [1-6] Kira Schienke '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Carly Elliot '27 [3-4]
VARSITY Cailey Elliott '24 Madilyn Richlen '26
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Sydney Mandell '22 Marie Peters '23
Varsity Oscar Gilroy '23 Cassidy Miley '24
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Jimmy Sohigian '24 Fiona Naughton '22
Ramblers Lexi Chigas '22 Natalia Bretones '23
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Gavin Dempsey '22 Leo Dempsey '24
Lions Kaylee Good '23 Maeve Mcginn '23
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Declan Mccormick '24 Cooper Dunlop '25
Hill Toppers Henry Ackley '24 Tyler David '27
New Trier HS New Trier HS Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia '22 [1-4]
Calvin Lutton '22 [5-6]		 Casey Bertocchi '22 [1-4]
Trevian Izzy Rietz '23 Ann Tokoyoda '24
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Bri Bohman '24 Kaylie Rominski '25
Raccoons Kaeli Bohman '24 Sofia Zalewski '24
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Quinn O'Dell '26 [1-6] William Sobol '23 [1-2]
Aiden Calagui '26 [3-6]
Mixed Nathan Kamath '24 [1-6] Ava Kiss '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Avery Bembenek '27 [3-4]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Daniel Sandoval '22 Niklas Swanson '24
Wolfpack Sam Beattie '24 [1-6] Thomas Snyder '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Sawicz '24 [3-4]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Jasper Delasanta '22 Adam Pickhardt '24
Raiders 1 Logan Pond '22 No Show
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) No Show Harsshitha Balachander '23
Raiders 2 No Show No Show
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Maksim Williams '29 Caleb Sander '24
Raiders 3 Ellie Turcotte '27 George Hurtado '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Elizabeth Frost '23 Bryan Pan '23
Maroons 1 David Ren '24 Lydia Frost '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Benjamin Luu '23 Amy Ren '23
Maroons 2 Elias Sveen Erling '22 William Kraemer '23
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Tristan Tucker '22 Cora Star '22
Grizzlies Natalie Becker-Stevens '22 Lucy Harley '23
Whitney Young Whitney Young Margo Cicero '22 Rossignel Wolfe '22
Dolphins Jillian Drake '24 Phillip Nakamura '23

Conditions — 09/18/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1022.7 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From E (84°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1022.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · S 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pewaukee Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pewaukee Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Pewaukee Yacht Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →