NJISA 2021 Fall Series 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 6 4 10
2 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 5 17 22
3 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 15 13 28
4 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 18 10 28
5 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 16 15 31
6 Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 30 7 37
7 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 14 30 44
8 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 17 30 47
9 Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 37 26 63
10 Westfield High School Westfield High School Blue Devils 32 32 64
11 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 34 33 67
12 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 31 39 70
13 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 40 32 72
14 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 30 46 76
15 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 42 36 78
16 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 45 39 84
17 St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 48 50 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 2 1 2 5 James Kopack '24
Morgan Cashman '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 2 3 6 Ryan Ehnot '22
Kyle Lombardino '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 4 9 1 14 Colin Guerrera '22
Mitchell Hnatt '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 5 5 5 15 Alexa Whitman '22
Ashley Abboud '22
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 8 4 4 16 Everett Botwinick '22
Scott Tedeschi '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 3 6 8 17 Bryce Vitiello '23
Luke Pennisi '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 9 3 6 18 Turner Ryon '25
No Show
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 6 12 12 30 No Show
No Show
Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 16 7 7 30 Benson Chiles '22
Ronan Downie '22
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 14 8 9 31 Jack Pentony '25
Richard Mcgowan '25
Westfield High School Westfield High School Blue Devils 7 11 14 32 Owen Carolan '22 [1-3]
Connor Kotiga '24 [1-2]
Eli Katz '22 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 11 10 13 34 Allison Beisel '24 [1-3]
Sydney Gusmer '22 [1-2]
Sophia Galiano '26 [3]
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 12 14 11 37 No Show
No Show
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 10 13 17 40 Thomas Roeber '23 [1-2]
Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3]
Daniel Stephan '24 [1-2]
Donald Johnston '25 [3]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 17 15 10 42 Belle Placa '25
Natalie Shaw '23
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 13 16 16 45 Grace Bray '23 [1-2]
Alexander Ge '24 [3]
Alexandria Forrest '22 [1-2]
Rowan Johnson '23 [3]
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 15 DNF 15 48 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 2 1 4 Noah Kuzloski '23
Nicholas Cunha '23
Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 4 1 2 7 Gabby Fontana '23
No Show
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 3 3 4 10 Kennedy Laureigh '22
Alex Klinov '22
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 5 5 3 13 Jack Whitman '23
Tomas Mora '23
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 2 7 6 15 Iliana Vasslides '23
Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 6 6 5 17 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Nora Ciak '23
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 9 4 13 26 No Show
No Show
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 8 12 10 30 Andrew Chiles '23
Connor Feury '22
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 12 11 7 30 Greyson Colman '25
Erick Shi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 13 8 11 32 Sam Santos '25
Ryan Mullholland '25
Westfield High School Westfield High School Blue Devils 14 9 9 32 Seamus Carolan '25
Danny Mcdevitt '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 7 14 12 33 Ella Bilow '22
Mackenzie Boles '27
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 11 10 15 36 Erin Little '24
Noah Tallman '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 10 13 16 39 Anthony Abboud '25
Sophia Behar '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 16 15 8 39 Alex Kraljic '23
Dan Drennan '24
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 15 17 14 46 No Show
No Show
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 17 16 17 50 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Biotechnology High SchoolBiotechnology High School Nerds111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2151515
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1121212
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2111111
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs555
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2888
St. Augustine Prep SchoolSt. Augustine Prep School Hermits777
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners666
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs444
Westfield High SchoolWestfield High School Blue Devils222

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Biotechnology High SchoolBiotechnology High School Nerds111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2151515
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1121212
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2111111
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs555
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2888
St. Augustine Prep SchoolSt. Augustine Prep School Hermits777
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners666
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs444
Westfield High SchoolWestfield High School Blue Devils222
School / Team SkipperCrew
Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Benson Chiles '22 Ronan Downie '22
Nerds Gabby Fontana '23 No Show
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Ryan Ehnot '22 Kyle Lombardino '25
Colts 1 Noah Kuzloski '23 Nicholas Cunha '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colin Guerrera '22 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Colts 2 Andrew Chiles '23 Connor Feury '22
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Bryce Vitiello '23 Luke Pennisi '24
Colts 3 Greyson Colman '25 Erick Shi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Thomas Roeber '23 [1-2]
Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3]
Daniel Stephan '24 [1-2]
Donald Johnston '25 [3]
Colts 4 Sam Santos '25 Ryan Mullholland '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Jack Pentony '25 Richard Mcgowan '25
Griffins 1 Alex Kraljic '23 Dan Drennan '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Morgan Cashman '25
Griffins 2 Kevin Brooksbank '23 Nora Ciak '23
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology No Show No Show
Rangers No Show No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Alexa Whitman '22 Ashley Abboud '22
Panthers 1 Jack Whitman '23 Tomas Mora '23
Ranney School Ranney School Grace Bray '23 [1-2]
Alexander Ge '24 [3]
Alexandria Forrest '22 [1-2]
Rowan Johnson '23 [3]
Panthers 2 Anthony Abboud '25 Sophia Behar '25
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven No Show No Show
Bulldogs No Show No Show
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 No Show
Rams 1 Kennedy Laureigh '22 Alex Klinov '22
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Belle Placa '25 Natalie Shaw '23
Rams 2 Erin Little '24 Noah Tallman '25
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School No Show No Show
Hermits No Show No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Everett Botwinick '22 Scott Tedeschi '25
Mariners Iliana Vasslides '23 Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Allison Beisel '24 [1-3] Sydney Gusmer '22 [1-2]
Sophia Galiano '26 [3]
Monarchs Ella Bilow '22 Mackenzie Boles '27
Westfield High School Westfield High School Owen Carolan '22 [1-3] Connor Kotiga '24 [1-2]
Eli Katz '22 [3]
Blue Devils Seamus Carolan '25 Danny Mcdevitt '25

Conditions — 10/06/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1028.1 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 4.6 kn
Gusts to 11.3 kn
From NE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine4.5 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1028.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ranney: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ranney by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Ranney, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →