2022 PCISA Anteater Regatta - Silver Fleet

HostNewport Harbor
Date11/12/2022
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#		School	Team	A	B	TOT
1		Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	32	36	68
2		Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	51	45	96
3		Stevenson School	Pirates 1	71	83	154
4		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	71	97	168
5		San Domenico High School	Panthers	109	71	180
6		Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	63	126	189
7		Spartans	Spartans	92	98	190
8		Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	110	86	196
9	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	133	72	205
10		Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	141	66	207
11		San Pedro High School	Pirates	91	120	211
12		La Jolla High School	Vikings	90	136	226
13		Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	113	121	234
14		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	110	126	236
15		Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	83	153	236
16		Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	106	150	256
17		The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	181	82	263
18		Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	95	184	279
19		Alameda High School	Hornets	118	165	283
20		Coronado Islanders	Nado	158	127	285
21		Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	103	191	294
22		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	166	138	304
23		Stevenson School	Pirates 2	143	169	312
24		Torrey Pines High School	Falcons	216	108	324
25		Miramonte High School	Matadors	191	135	326
26		The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	126	214	340
27		St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	165	187	352
28		Acalanes High School	Dons	201	151	352
29		Khan Lab	Khan Lab	185	211	396
30		Amador Valley	Dons	238	193	431
31		Campolindo High School	Cougars	231	208	439
32		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	259	203	462

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	2	3	3	1	6	11	5	1	32	Julia Getter '26 Jillian Kaufman '26
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	1	2	2	19	5	3	14	5	51	Liam Kaseburg '26 Claudia Arriaga '23
	Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	3	7	5	22	1	20	3	2	63	Stewart Mccaleb '26 Luke Pinto '26
	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	5	1	4	7	18	17	12	7	71	Max Mccormick '24 Stevie Thomsen '23
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	9	8	26	2	11	8	1	6	71	Loki Barrett '26 [1-8] Ian Steinberger '26 [1-4] Eve Brogan '25 [5-6] Maeve Mcgovern '26 [7-8]
	Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	10	16	14	3	7	2	21	10	83	Antonio Priskich '23 [1-8] Johnnie Pena-Muir '23 [1-2, 5-6] Elizabeth Walsh '26 [3-4, 7-8]
	La Jolla High School	Vikings	13	6	1	14	13	19	10	14	90	Efe Derman '26 [1-8] Graham Croydon '26 [1-4] Sophia Miller '25 [5-7] Nakeen Sarraf '25 [8]
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	7	10	17	15	3	1	23	15	91	Iisac Sharp '23 Emerson Marquez '23
	Spartans	Spartans	18	23	11	4	8	6	9	13	92
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	11	4	9	12	21	13	22	3	95	Lili Brennan '25 Kerala Alexander-Zitske '25
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	16	12	20	8	12	10	17	8	103	Alex Fisher '27 [1-8] Jack Carson '25 [1-4] Kennedy Hildebrand '27 [5-8]
	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	17	9	16	6	25	15	2	16	106	Dominic Lin '25 Anne Burg '25
	San Domenico High School	Panthers	DSQ	11	7	9	10	5	13	21	109	Evie Littler '24 [1-8] Praire Press '26 [1-4, 7-8] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [5-6]
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	6	19	6	27	9	18	7	18	110	Jack Phibbs '23 Dean Gustavson '24
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	24	15	10	13	15	9	4	20	110	Ryan Tonkovich '26 Hayden Walheim '23
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	20	24	15	11	2	12	20	9	113	Melanie Magnani '23 Simone Karlon '23
	Alameda High School	Hornets	14	30	8	20	14	22	6	4	118	Reid Sojka '26 Joby Overton '26
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	15	20	27	16	17	4	8	19	126	Maya Urfer '25 [1-2, 5-8] Victoria Edwards '23 [3-4] Victoria Edwards '23 [1-2] Lelio Maurillo '25 [3-8]
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	30	18	13	10	16	14	15	17	133	Jack Mcghie '27 Rylan Hollmeier '25
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	12	5	25	18	24	26	19	12	141	Matthew Huskins '23 [1-8] Will Kizer '25 [1-2, 5-6] Claire Malykin '23 [3-4, 7-8]
	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	21	14	12	23	19	7	24	23	143	Abbie Zhang '24 Sadie Marinerstein '24
	Coronado Islanders	Nado	27	26	18	17	20	21	18	11	158	Trey Gregory '26 Garret Shamaker '26
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	8	17	24	21	22	29	11	DNS	165	Jack Snow '25 [1-8] Roman Galindo '25 [1-2, 7-8] Tanner Swagger '26 [3-6]
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	19	27	22	5	28	27	16	22	166	Dersen Eddowes '24 Ransom Anderson '28
	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	25	22	31	25	4	25	25	24	181	Brady Moore '23 Charlie Fine '25
	Khan Lab	Khan Lab	4	13	29	30	30	24	28	27	185
	Miramonte High School	Matadors	23	21	21	26	26	16	OCS	25	191	Austin Teodorovic '24 Cyrus Alexander '27
	Acalanes High School	Dons	22	25	23	24	29	23	26	29	201	Kaivo Kadai '25 Aria Falahati '27
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons	DNF	29	19	29	23	30	27	26	216	Natalie Jalaie '25 [1-8] Sophie Lawrence '23 [1-6] Adam Malhis '25 [7-8]
	Campolindo High School	Cougars	26	28	28	28	27	31	30	DNF	231	Liam Hearn '24 Sage Balducci '26
	Amador Valley	Dons	28	31	30	31	DNF	28	29	28	238	Sophia Stomhagen '24 Vinh Epstein '27
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	29	32	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	OCS	DNF	259	Jason Lester '24 Marco Spallas '23

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	5	1	1	6	14	4	2	3	36	Ella Andersson '24 [1-6] Charlie Hilgeman '25 [7-8] Isabel Lewis '26 [1-6] Claire Rosene '23 [7-8]
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	1	3	5	17	1	1	4	13	45	Enzo Loth '25 [1-8] Avery Fretwell '23 [1-4] Yvonne Stenehjem '25 [5-6] Ben Santos '26 [7-8]
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	9	11	11	3	8	8	14	2	66	Max Mcreynolds '23 Skye Crawford '25
	San Domenico High School	Panthers	22	5	12	14	2	3	8	5	71	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-2, 5-6] Anton Gavrilov '23 [3-4, 7-8] Dylan Song '25 [1-2, 5-6] Matilda Hull '26 [3-4, 7-8]
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	8	OCS	17	1	9	2	1	1	72	Preston Woodworth '23 Jessica Green '25
	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	11	12	9	8	22	5	7	8	82	Tristan De Halleux '25 Theo Li '25
	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	3	4	7	20	10	11	6	22	83	Ryder Weston '23 Quinn Karm '23
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	7	16	10	2	19	12	9	11	86	Mila Kane '25 [1-8] Natalie Tonkovich '24 [1-4] Audrey Roomian '23 [5-8]
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	19	21	2	12	15	9	10	9	97	Micah Thompson '24 [1-2] Josh Kozak '25 [3-8] Mia Bohlin '24 [1-4] Nicolas Nobis '25 [5-6] Micah Thompson '24 [7-8]
	Spartans	Spartans	28	2	OCS	5	3	17	3	7	98
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons	17	7	13	15	5	10	21	20	108	Truman Lazarus '23 [1-8] Adam Malhis '25 [1-2] Ryan Niemeyer '23 [3-8]
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	2	OCS	6	19	4	21	17	18	120	Gwen Hildebrand '25 Nicholas Parsnik '26
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	10	18	4	21	27	32	5	4	121	Nathan Friedman '23 [1-8] Peyton Wright '25 [1-2, 5-6] John Nix '25 [3-4, 7-8]
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	6	6	14	13	32	31	12	12	126	Annika Burns '23 Anya Godfrey '26
	Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	13	15	3	18	16	15	20	26	126	Mathilde Smith '26 Abigail Fenholt '28
	Coronado Islanders	Nado	21	19	18	16	7	13	23	10	127	Daniel Alekseyeva '24 [1-2, 7-8] Jay Sullivan '23 [3-6] Jack Shamaker '24 [1-8]
	Miramonte High School	Matadors	24	29	21	11	12	6	11	21	135	Giulia Delling '26 Zahra Alexander '24
	La Jolla High School	Vikings	31	17	26	24	6	7	19	6	136	Alex Kamahi '26 [1-2, 5-8] Rishi Beharry '26 [3-4] Trevor Dunklee '26 [1-2, 5-8] Nakeen Sarraf '25 [3-4]
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	30	14	8	25	18	14	15	14	138	Julia Musial '26 Jarret Meza-Torne '26
	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	14	23	25	10	23	20	16	19	150	Cal Currier '24 Mira Stettner '27
	Acalanes High School	Dons	15	25	16	22	13	23	22	15	151	Jenna Englehart '24 Amanda Wheeler '25
	Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	12	22	15	4	26	26	24	24	153	Eva Bennett '25 Sophie Bucker '24
	Alameda High School	Hornets	27	13	19	23	25	22	13	23	165	Simon Rose '23 Logan Schwimmer '26
	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	4	8	28	28	31	25	28	17	169	Tibet Kilic '24 Tim Zhao '24
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	16	10	23	30	24	27	26	28	184	Tyler Burks '25 [1-8] Beatrix Wright '26 [1-4] Miles Metoyer '26 [5-8]
	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	29	27	20	9	17	19	DNF	DNF	187	Samuel Mohinani '24 Michael Beaird '25
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	26	28	27	27	11	18	27	27	191	Caleb Redin '25 [1-4] William "Nathaniel" Camacho '25 [5-8] Annabelle Redin '26 [1-4] Jack Carson '25 [5-8]
	Amador Valley	Dons	20	20	22	32	21	16	DNF	29	193	Tobias Stomhagen '27 Cole Parker '24
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	32	DNF	29	26	20	29	18	16	203	Reid Imwalle '26 Colin Cann '26
	Campolindo High School	Cougars	18	24	OCS	31	28	24	25	25	208	Patricia Davila Gil '26 Luke Probst '26
	Khan Lab	Khan Lab	23	9	24	29	30	30	DNF	DNF	211
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	25	26	OCS	7	29	28	RAF	RAF	214	Nico Anders '26 [1-8] Jaiden Gimminck '25 [1-2, 5-6] Coral Buono '24 [3-4, 7-8]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.210+0.21

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
	Acalanes High School Dons	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39
	Alameda High School Hornets	34	34	64	64	62	62	60	60
	Amador Valley Dons	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41
	Archbishop Riordan Riordan	36	36	34	34	64	64	62	62
	Campolindo High School Cougars	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43
	Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	38	38	36	36	34	34	64	64
	Coastal Academy High School Stingrays	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	40	40	38	38	36	36	34	34
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47
	Coronado Islanders Nado	42	42	40	40	38	38	36	36
	Design Tech High School d.tech 1	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49
	Design Tech High School d.tech 2	44	44	42	42	40	40	38	38
	The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51
	Khan Lab Khan Lab	46	46	44	44	42	42	40	40
	La Jolla High School Vikings	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53
	Los Alamitos High School Griffins	48	48	46	46	44	44	42	42
	Menlo-Atherton Varsity	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55
	Mira Costa High School Mustangs	50	50	48	48	46	46	44	44
	Miramonte High School Matadors	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	52	52	50	50	48	48	46	46
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59
	San Domenico High School Panthers	54	54	52	52	50	50	48	48
	San Pedro High School Pirates	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	56	56	54	54	52	52	50	50
	Spartans Spartans	57	57	59	59	61	61	63	63
	St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco	58	58	56	56	54	54	52	52
	Stevenson School Pirates 1	59	59	61	61	63	63	33	33
	Stevenson School Pirates 2	60	60	58	58	56	56	54	54
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	61	61	63	63	33	33	35	35
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	62	62	60	60	58	58	56	56
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	63	63	33	33	35	35	37	37
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons	64	64	62	62	60	60	58	58

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
	Acalanes High School Dons	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40
	Alameda High School Hornets	33	33	63	63	61	61	59	59
	Amador Valley Dons	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42
	Archbishop Riordan Riordan	35	35	33	33	63	63	61	61
	Campolindo High School Cougars	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44
	Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	37	37	35	35	33	33	63	63
	Coastal Academy High School Stingrays	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	39	39	37	37	35	35	33	33
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48
	Coronado Islanders Nado	41	41	39	39	37	37	35	35
	Design Tech High School d.tech 1	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50
	Design Tech High School d.tech 2	43	43	41	41	39	39	37	37
	The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52
	Khan Lab Khan Lab	45	45	43	43	41	41	39	39
	La Jolla High School Vikings	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54
	Los Alamitos High School Griffins	47	47	45	45	43	43	41	41
	Menlo-Atherton Varsity	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
	Mira Costa High School Mustangs	49	49	47	47	45	45	43	43
	Miramonte High School Matadors	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	51	51	49	49	47	47	45	45
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60
	San Domenico High School Panthers	53	53	51	51	49	49	47	47
	San Pedro High School Pirates	56	56	58	58	60	60	62	62
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	55	55	53	53	51	51	49	49
	Spartans Spartans	58	58	60	60	62	62	64	64
	St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco	57	57	55	55	53	53	51	51
	Stevenson School Pirates 1	60	60	62	62	64	64	34	34
	Stevenson School Pirates 2	59	59	57	57	55	55	53	53
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	62	62	64	64	34	34	36	36
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	61	61	59	59	57	57	55	55
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	64	64	34	34	36	36	38	38
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons	63	63	61	61	59	59	57	57

	School / Team	Skipper	Crew
	Acalanes High School	Kaivo Kadai '25	Aria Falahati '27
	Dons	Jenna Englehart '24	Amanda Wheeler '25
	Alameda High School	Reid Sojka '26	Joby Overton '26
	Hornets	Simon Rose '23	Logan Schwimmer '26
	Amador Valley	Sophia Stomhagen '24	Vinh Epstein '27
	Dons	Tobias Stomhagen '27	Cole Parker '24
	Archbishop Riordan	Antonio Priskich '23 [1-8]	Johnnie Pena-Muir '23 [1-2, 5-6] Elizabeth Walsh '26 [3-4, 7-8]
	Riordan	Eva Bennett '25	Sophie Bucker '24
	Campolindo High School	Liam Hearn '24	Sage Balducci '26
	Cougars	Patricia Davila Gil '26	Luke Probst '26
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Liam Kaseburg '26	Claudia Arriaga '23
	Dons	Enzo Loth '25 [1-8]	Avery Fretwell '23 [1-4] Yvonne Stenehjem '25 [5-6] Ben Santos '26 [7-8]
	Coastal Academy High School	Alex Fisher '27 [1-8]	Jack Carson '25 [1-4] Kennedy Hildebrand '27 [5-8]
	Stingrays	Caleb Redin '25 [1-4] William "Nathaniel" Camacho '25 [5-8]	Annabelle Redin '26 [1-4] Jack Carson '25 [5-8]
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Ryan Tonkovich '26	Hayden Walheim '23
	Cubs	Mila Kane '25 [1-8]	Natalie Tonkovich '24 [1-4] Audrey Roomian '23 [5-8]
	Corona del Mar High School	Julia Getter '26	Jillian Kaufman '26
	Sea Kings	Ella Andersson '24 [1-6] Charlie Hilgeman '25 [7-8]	Isabel Lewis '26 [1-6] Claire Rosene '23 [7-8]
	Coronado Islanders	Trey Gregory '26	Garret Shamaker '26
	Nado	Daniel Alekseyeva '24 [1-2, 7-8] Jay Sullivan '23 [3-6]	Jack Shamaker '24 [1-8]
	Design Tech High School	Melanie Magnani '23	Simone Karlon '23
	d.tech 1	Nathan Friedman '23 [1-8]	Peyton Wright '25 [1-2, 5-6] John Nix '25 [3-4, 7-8]
	Design Tech High School	Matthew Huskins '23 [1-8]	Will Kizer '25 [1-2, 5-6] Claire Malykin '23 [3-4, 7-8]
	d.tech 2	Max Mcreynolds '23	Skye Crawford '25
	La Jolla High School	Efe Derman '26 [1-8]	Graham Croydon '26 [1-4] Sophia Miller '25 [5-7] Nakeen Sarraf '25 [8]
	Vikings	Alex Kamahi '26 [1-2, 5-8] Rishi Beharry '26 [3-4]	Trevor Dunklee '26 [1-2, 5-8] Nakeen Sarraf '25 [3-4]
	Los Alamitos High School	Stewart Mccaleb '26	Luke Pinto '26
	Griffins	Mathilde Smith '26	Abigail Fenholt '28
	Menlo-Atherton	Dominic Lin '25	Anne Burg '25
	Varsity	Cal Currier '24	Mira Stettner '27
	Mira Costa High School	Lili Brennan '25	Kerala Alexander-Zitske '25
	Mustangs	Tyler Burks '25 [1-8]	Beatrix Wright '26 [1-4] Miles Metoyer '26 [5-8]
	Miramonte High School	Austin Teodorovic '24	Cyrus Alexander '27
	Matadors	Giulia Delling '26	Zahra Alexander '24
	Mission Bay High School	Loki Barrett '26 [1-8]	Ian Steinberger '26 [1-4] Eve Brogan '25 [5-6] Maeve Mcgovern '26 [7-8]
	Buccaneer	Micah Thompson '24 [1-2] Josh Kozak '25 [3-8]	Mia Bohlin '24 [1-4] Nicolas Nobis '25 [5-6] Micah Thompson '24 [7-8]
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Dersen Eddowes '24	Ransom Anderson '28
	Panthers	Julia Musial '26	Jarret Meza-Torne '26
	San Domenico High School	Evie Littler '24 [1-8]	Praire Press '26 [1-4, 7-8] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [5-6]
	Panthers	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-2, 5-6] Anton Gavrilov '23 [3-4, 7-8]	Dylan Song '25 [1-2, 5-6] Matilda Hull '26 [3-4, 7-8]
	San Pedro High School	Iisac Sharp '23	Emerson Marquez '23
	Pirates	Gwen Hildebrand '25	Nicholas Parsnik '26
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Jack Mcghie '27	Rylan Hollmeier '25
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Dragons	Preston Woodworth '23	Jessica Green '25
	St. John Bosco High School	Jack Snow '25 [1-8]	Roman Galindo '25 [1-2, 7-8] Tanner Swagger '26 [3-6]
	St. John Bosco	Samuel Mohinani '24	Michael Beaird '25
	Stevenson School	Max Mccormick '24	Stevie Thomsen '23
	Pirates 1	Ryder Weston '23	Quinn Karm '23
	Stevenson School	Abbie Zhang '24	Sadie Marinerstein '24
	Pirates 2	Tibet Kilic '24	Tim Zhao '24
	Tamalpais High School	Jason Lester '24	Marco Spallas '23
	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Reid Imwalle '26	Colin Cann '26
	Tamalpais High School	Jack Phibbs '23	Dean Gustavson '24
	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Annika Burns '23	Anya Godfrey '26
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Maya Urfer '25 [1-2, 5-8] Victoria Edwards '23 [3-4]	Victoria Edwards '23 [1-2] Lelio Maurillo '25 [3-8]
	Breakers	Nico Anders '26 [1-8]	Jaiden Gimminck '25 [1-2, 5-6] Coral Buono '24 [3-4, 7-8]
	The International School of San Francisco	Brady Moore '23	Charlie Fine '25
	Jaguars	Tristan De Halleux '25	Theo Li '25
	Torrey Pines High School	Natalie Jalaie '25 [1-8]	Sophie Lawrence '23 [1-6] Adam Malhis '25 [7-8]
	Falcons	Truman Lazarus '23 [1-8]	Adam Malhis '25 [1-2] Ryan Niemeyer '23 [3-8]

Conditions — 11/12/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 65% · Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

60°F

↑ 63°F ↓ 52°F

Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.6 kn

avg · max 6.0 kn

Gusts to 11.7 kn

From SSW (193°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1017.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Newport Harbor: a typical day (+0.00)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Newport Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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