2023 Rose Bowl Regatta - HS Bronze

HostErnest J. McBride
Date01/07/2023
TypeNational Invitational
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	South Torrance High School	Spartans	35	21	56
2	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	26	36	62
3	Bainbridge High School	Spartans	57	14	71
4	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	21	51	72
5	Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	27	56	83
6	San Pedro High School	Pirates	57	34	91
7	Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	64	37	101
8	Capital High School	Cougars	58	48	106
9	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	20	88	108
10	Alameda High School	Hornets	45	74	119
11	Lakeside School	Lions	93	36	129
12	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	37	97	134
13	Olympia High School	Bears	30	109	139
14	Palo Alto High	Vikings	99	41	140
15	Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	82	60	142
16	Orcas High School	Vikings	88	55	143
17	Burlingame High School	Burlingame	61	83	144
18	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	83	70	153
19	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	93	82	175
20	Parker	Parker	75	102	177
21	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	91	87	178
22	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	88	93	181
23	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	99	84	183
24	Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	100	83	183
25	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	97	87	184

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	2	6	2	7	3	20	Alex Fisher '27 [1-5] Caleb Redin '25 [1-2] Santiago Balderson '26 [3-5]
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	5	3	3	1	9	21	Finn Deprez '25 [1-5] Kelsea Cowart '25 [1-2, 5] Sky Rainbolt '23 [3-4]
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	6	12	1	2	5	26	Oliver Nairn '23 Solomon Lucero '25
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	1	9	6	3	8	27	William Embick '26 Aspen Merrill '25
Olympia High School	Bears	9	2	4	5	10	30	Liam Taylor '25 Caleigh Mingay '26
South Torrance High School	Spartans	3	7	8	16	1	35	Joaquin Desrochers '25 Kayla Spalding '24
Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	13	13	5	4	2	37	Gabe Hasen '26 Tyler Burks '25
Alameda High School	Hornets	4	19	12	6	4	45	Chase Carson '25 Makenan Smith '23
Bainbridge High School	Spartans	8	1	19	17	12	57	Carter Anderson '23 [1-5] Jaya Wirth '23 [1-4] Jeffrey Kriegh '23 [5]
San Pedro High School	Pirates	10	10	10	12	15	57	Iisac Sharp '23 [1-4] Gwen Hildebrand '25 [5] Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-4] Iisac Sharp '23 [5]
Capital High School	Cougars	20	4	14	9	11	58	Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23 [1-5] Gabriel Scott Bixler '24 [1-2, 5] Aidan Budelman '25 [3-4]
Burlingame High School	Burlingame	19	11	11	14	6	61	Sebastian Bounds '23 Finn Hayes '26
Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	11	5	16	11	21	64	Jack Mcghie '27 [1-5] Rylan Hollmeier '25 [1-2, 5] Joshua Morrissey '27 [3-4]
Parker	Parker	DNF	8	9	10	22	75	Mitchell Janes '26 Jonah Chuang '25
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	16	15	20	8	23	82	Amanda Turner '23 [1-4] Spencer Koontz '24 [5] Spencer Koontz '24 [1-4] Amanda Turner '23 [5]
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	18	17	17	18	13	83	Sage Dillemuth '23 Jade Richheimer '23
Orcas High School	Vikings	14	18	18	24	14	88	Dagny Kruger '25 Lola Walker '26
St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	23	21	13	13	18	88	Jack Snow '25 [1-5] Tanner Swagger '26 [1-2, 5] Roman Galindo '25 [3-4]
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	22	20	21	21	7	91	Dersen Eddowes '24 Ransom Anderson '28
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	15	16	23	23	16	93	Brady Moore '23 Charlotte Mcgeary '24
Lakeside School	Lions	17	22	15	19	20	93	Nikhil Damji '25 [1-2, 5] Advik Eswaran '23 [3-4] Emil Damji '25 [1-2, 5]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	7	24	22	20	24	97	Victoria Edwards '23 Emma Yashinsky '23
Palo Alto High	Vikings	12	23	24	15	25	99	Cal Currier '24 Maxwell Warren '27
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	21	14	25	22	17	99	Alistair Spencer Mork '25 Gabriela Almeida Gere '24
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	24	25	7	25	19	100	Aidan Elliot '23 [1-2, 5] Henry Chen '26 [3-4] Ashrith Alavilli '23 [1-2, 5]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans	2	9	1	1	1	14	Nolan Wiggins '23 [1-4] Ava Bergan '23 [5] Talia Esarey '24 [1-4] Nick Heinzelman '24 [5]
South Torrance High School	Spartans	1	11	5	2	2	21	Nicholas Alexander '24 Mateo Monteiro '26
San Pedro High School	Pirates	4	5	10	7	8	34	Kennedy Hildebrand '27 Emerson Marquez '23
Lakeside School	Lions	10	7	7	3	9	36	Noelani Li '26 Anna Cezik '26
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	14	2	2	6	12	36	Hannah Shorr '26 William Layton '25
Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	3	3	3	14	14	37	Henry Day '27 [1-5] Beckett Kooi '27 [1-4] Joshua Morrissey '27 [5]
Palo Alto High	Vikings	7	8	6	4	16	41	Mira Stettner '27 Ward Brouwer '24
Capital High School	Cougars	11	6	9	17	5	48	Alijah Manzanares '25 Ryan Solie '25
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	13	18	11	5	4	51	Nico Konyk '25 [1, 4-5] Bailey Rainbolt '26 [2-3] Bailey Rainbolt '26 [1, 4] Nico Konyk '25 [2-3] Kelsea Cowart '25 [5]
Orcas High School	Vikings	12	13	8	19	3	55	Silas Kok '25 Else Ranker '26
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	5	21	16	8	6	56	Hannah Welch '25 Annalise Landy '27
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	15	1	20	13	11	60	Casey Strattan '23 [1-3, 5] Garrett Koontz '26 [4] Mateo Krok '23 [1-5]
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	6	17	14	20	13	70	Nolan Whitehill '24 Holden Elias '24
Alameda High School	Hornets	16	4	25	9	20	74	Elsa Hartley '24 Mikaela Hartley '27
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	DNF	22	4	15	15	82	Tristan De Halleux '25 Ary Clark De Castilho '25
Burlingame High School	Burlingame	9	14	17	22	21	83	Scarlett Bounds '26 Lucia Hayes '26
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	21	16	24	12	10	83	Rohan Uppalapati '25 Inika Bansal '26
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	23	24	12	18	7	84	Cato Escamilla Geisler '23 [1-2] Cade Vix '26 [3-5] Cade Vix '26 [1-2] Cato Escamilla Geisler '23 [3-5]
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	8	19	19	16	25	87	Julia Musial '26 Jarret Meza-Torne '26
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	17	25	15	11	19	87	Milo Sperry '25 James Williams '24
Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	20	12	22	10	24	88	Benjamin Winn '25 [1-2, 5] Ezra Balderson '25 [3-4] Caleb Winn '26 [1-2] Caleb Redin '25 [3-4] Jack Carson '25 [5]
St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	19	15	13	23	23	93	Samuel Mohinani '24 Michael Beaird '25
Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	18	23	18	21	17	97	Ruby Wright '24 [1-4] Parker Johnson '24 [5] Beatrix Wright '26 [1-2] Miles Metoyer '26 [3-5]
Parker	Parker	22	10	23	25	22	102	Aristotle Van Frank '24 Tyler Alexander '25
Olympia High School	Bears	DNF	20	21	24	18	109	Vadim Hettena '24 Brolin Boelts '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.170+0.17

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Alameda High School Hornets	1	1	3	3	5
Bainbridge High School Spartans	2	2	4	4	6
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions	3	3	5	5	7
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1	4	4	6	6	8
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2	5	5	7	7	9
Burlingame High School Burlingame	6	6	8	8	10
Capital High School Cougars	7	7	9	9	11
Coastal Academy High School Stingrays	8	8	10	10	12
Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	9	9	11	11	13
Parker Parker	56	56	58	58	60
Gig Harbor High School Tides	10	10	12	12	14
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	11	11	13	13	15
Lakeside School Lions	12	12	14	14	63
Mira Costa High School Mustangs	13	13	15	15	54
Olympia High School Bears	14	14	63	63	55
Orcas High School Vikings	15	15	54	54	56
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity	63	63	55	55	57
Palo Alto High Vikings	54	54	56	56	58
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	55	55	57	57	59
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	57	57	59	59	61
San Pedro High School Pirates	58	58	60	60	62
South Torrance High School Spartans	59	59	61	61	1
St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco	60	60	62	62	2
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	61	61	1	1	3
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies	62	62	2	2	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Alameda High School Hornets	2	2	4	4	6
Bainbridge High School Spartans	3	3	5	5	7
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions	4	4	6	6	8
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1	5	5	7	7	9
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2	6	6	8	8	10
Burlingame High School Burlingame	7	7	9	9	11
Capital High School Cougars	8	8	10	10	12
Coastal Academy High School Stingrays	9	9	11	11	13
Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	10	10	12	12	14
Parker Parker	57	57	59	59	61
Gig Harbor High School Tides	11	11	13	13	15
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	12	12	14	14	63
Lakeside School Lions	13	13	15	15	54
Mira Costa High School Mustangs	14	14	63	63	55
Olympia High School Bears	15	15	54	54	56
Orcas High School Vikings	63	63	55	55	57
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity	54	54	56	56	58
Palo Alto High Vikings	55	55	57	57	59
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	56	56	58	58	60
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	58	58	60	60	62
San Pedro High School Pirates	59	59	61	61	1
South Torrance High School Spartans	60	60	62	62	2
St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco	61	61	1	1	3
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	62	62	2	2	4
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies	1	1	3	3	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Chase Carson '25	Makenan Smith '23
Hornets	Elsa Hartley '24	Mikaela Hartley '27
Bainbridge High School	Carter Anderson '23 [1-5]	Jaya Wirth '23 [1-4] Jeffrey Kriegh '23 [5]
Spartans	Nolan Wiggins '23 [1-4] Ava Bergan '23 [5]	Talia Esarey '24 [1-4] Nick Heinzelman '24 [5]
Bellarmine Preparatory School	William Embick '26	Aspen Merrill '25
Lions	Hannah Welch '25	Annalise Landy '27
Berkeley High School	Sage Dillemuth '23	Jade Richheimer '23
Yellowjackets 1	Nolan Whitehill '24	Holden Elias '24
Berkeley High School	Alistair Spencer Mork '25	Gabriela Almeida Gere '24
Yellowjackets 2	Cato Escamilla Geisler '23 [1-2] Cade Vix '26 [3-5]	Cade Vix '26 [1-2] Cato Escamilla Geisler '23 [3-5]
Burlingame High School	Sebastian Bounds '23	Finn Hayes '26
Burlingame	Scarlett Bounds '26	Lucia Hayes '26
Capital High School	Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23 [1-5]	Gabriel Scott Bixler '24 [1-2, 5] Aidan Budelman '25 [3-4]
Cougars	Alijah Manzanares '25	Ryan Solie '25
Coastal Academy High School	Alex Fisher '27 [1-5]	Caleb Redin '25 [1-2] Santiago Balderson '26 [3-5]
Stingrays	Benjamin Winn '25 [1-2, 5] Ezra Balderson '25 [3-4]	Caleb Winn '26 [1-2] Caleb Redin '25 [3-4] Jack Carson '25 [5]
Ernest J. McBride	Jack Mcghie '27 [1-5]	Rylan Hollmeier '25 [1-2, 5] Joshua Morrissey '27 [3-4]
Wolfpack	Henry Day '27 [1-5]	Beckett Kooi '27 [1-4] Joshua Morrissey '27 [5]
Gig Harbor High School	Finn Deprez '25 [1-5]	Kelsea Cowart '25 [1-2, 5] Sky Rainbolt '23 [3-4]
Tides	Nico Konyk '25 [1, 4-5] Bailey Rainbolt '26 [2-3]	Bailey Rainbolt '26 [1, 4] Nico Konyk '25 [2-3] Kelsea Cowart '25 [5]
Lakeside School	Nikhil Damji '25 [1-2, 5] Advik Eswaran '23 [3-4]	Emil Damji '25 [1-2, 5]
Lions	Noelani Li '26	Anna Cezik '26
Mira Costa High School	Gabe Hasen '26	Tyler Burks '25
Mustangs	Ruby Wright '24 [1-4] Parker Johnson '24 [5]	Beatrix Wright '26 [1-2] Miles Metoyer '26 [3-5]
Olympia High School	Liam Taylor '25	Caleigh Mingay '26
Bears	Vadim Hettena '24	Brolin Boelts '26
Orcas High School	Dagny Kruger '25	Lola Walker '26
Vikings	Silas Kok '25	Else Ranker '26
Pacific Collegiate School	Amanda Turner '23 [1-4] Spencer Koontz '24 [5]	Spencer Koontz '24 [1-4] Amanda Turner '23 [5]
Varsity	Casey Strattan '23 [1-3, 5] Garrett Koontz '26 [4]	Mateo Krok '23 [1-5]
Palo Alto High	Cal Currier '24	Maxwell Warren '27
Vikings	Mira Stettner '27	Ward Brouwer '24
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Dersen Eddowes '24	Ransom Anderson '28
Panthers	Julia Musial '26	Jarret Meza-Torne '26
Parker	Mitchell Janes '26	Jonah Chuang '25
Parker	Aristotle Van Frank '24	Tyler Alexander '25
Roosevelt High School	Oliver Nairn '23	Solomon Lucero '25
Rough Riders	Hannah Shorr '26	William Layton '25
San Pedro High School	Iisac Sharp '23 [1-4] Gwen Hildebrand '25 [5]	Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-4] Iisac Sharp '23 [5]
Pirates	Kennedy Hildebrand '27	Emerson Marquez '23
South Torrance High School	Joaquin Desrochers '25	Kayla Spalding '24
Spartans	Nicholas Alexander '24	Mateo Monteiro '26
St. John Bosco High School	Jack Snow '25 [1-5]	Tanner Swagger '26 [1-2, 5] Roman Galindo '25 [3-4]
St. John Bosco	Samuel Mohinani '24	Michael Beaird '25
The Bay School of San Francisco	Victoria Edwards '23	Emma Yashinsky '23
Breakers	Milo Sperry '25	James Williams '24
The International School of San Francisco	Brady Moore '23	Charlotte Mcgeary '24
Jaguars	Tristan De Halleux '25	Ary Clark De Castilho '25
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Aidan Elliot '23 [1-2, 5] Henry Chen '26 [3-4]	Ashrith Alavilli '23 [1-2, 5]
Grizzlies	Rohan Uppalapati '25	Inika Bansal '26

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2023 Rose Bowl Regatta - HS Bronze

Division A

Division B

From the notes