MDISA Kent Island Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 School Without Walls School Without Walls Varsity 18 13 31
2 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 19 13 32
3 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 16 16 32
4 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 13 46 59
5 Gunston Gunston Herons 40 28 68
6 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 34 45 79
7 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 49 33 82
8 Kennett High School Kennett High School Kennett 38 46 84
9 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 53 40 93
10 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 51 47 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 4 3 2 1 2 1 13 Victor Schlecker '26
Emerson Stehl '26
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 2 3 2 3 3 16 Will Grah '25
Cormac Flynn '24
School Without Walls School Without Walls Varsity 2 4 1 5 1 5 18 Jackson Herritage '24
Allison Sproles '23
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 1 1 8 3 4 2 19 Caden Latchaw '23 [1-2, 5-6]
James Biles '27 [3-4]
Viana Johnston '28 [1-2]
Shane Kenney '26 [3-4]
Ben Billets '27 [5-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 5 6 4 6 6 7 34 Alisha Donahue '25
Felicia Gomoljak '26
Kennett High School Kennett High School Kennett 8 8 6 7 5 4 38 Finn Urie '26
Gideon Garber '28
Gunston Gunston Herons 6 5 5 DSQ 7 6 40 Grace Anne Philips '23 [1-4]
Harrison Lavery '26 [5-6]
Margaret Randolph '25 [1-4]
Gianni Figliozzi '26 [5-6]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 10 10 7 4 9 9 49 Allie Clark '26
Owen Smith '26
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 7 7 9 8 10 10 51 Thomas Birchfield '27 [1-2]
Joseph Dibonaventuro '26 [3-6]
Andy Pico '27 [1-2]
Thomas Birchfield '27 [3-4]
Freyja Raines '27 [5-6]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 9 9 10 9 8 8 53 Cooper Wright '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Leo Xiang '25 [3-4]
Evan Gavin '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Finarelli '25 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 3 2 2 4 1 1 13 William Fachet '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Zachary Wells '25 [3-4]
Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Nathan Cayer '28 [3-4]
Benjamin Kennedy '27 [5-6]
School Without Walls School Without Walls Varsity 4 3 1 1 2 2 13 Kearns '24
Amory Smith '26
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders BKD 1 3 3 3 3 16 Everett Moulds '25
Jared Werner '25
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 6 4 5 6 6 28 Logan Kille '25 [1-6]
Cooper Hightower '23 [1-4]
Thomas Callahan '24 [5-6]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 8 4 5 2 10 4 33 Audrey Nelson '28
Reed Carey '25
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 2 8 7 7 7 9 40 Eduardo Lopez '24 [1-6]
Joseph Carter '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Georgia Mudd '26 [3-4]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 5 10 6 6 8 10 45 Andrea Runk '24
Victoria Corwin '26
Kennett High School Kennett High School Kennett 9 7 9 9 4 8 46 John Arty '29 [1-6]
Ellie Niekrash '29 [1-4]
Alwin Dannenberg '24 [5-6]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 10 5 10 DSQ 5 5 46 Jack Lewin '27
Ian Kyriakou '27
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 6 9 8 8 9 7 47 Charlie Bates '27 [1-6]
Freyja Raines '27 [1-2]
Andy Pico '27 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins113355
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets224466
Kennett High SchoolKennett High School Kennett446688
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers557799
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders66881010
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers779911
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights991133
GunstonGunston Herons335577
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans10102244
School Without WallsSchool Without Walls Varsity88101022

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins224466
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets335577
Kennett High SchoolKennett High School Kennett557799
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers66881010
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders779911
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers88101022
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights10102244
GunstonGunston Herons446688
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans113355
School Without WallsSchool Without Walls Varsity991133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Alisha Donahue '25 Felicia Gomoljak '26
Bruins Andrea Runk '24 Victoria Corwin '26
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Allie Clark '26 Owen Smith '26
Hornets Audrey Nelson '28 Reed Carey '25
Gunston Gunston Grace Anne Philips '23 [1-4]
Harrison Lavery '26 [5-6]
Margaret Randolph '25 [1-4]
Gianni Figliozzi '26 [5-6]
Herons Logan Kille '25 [1-6] Cooper Hightower '23 [1-4]
Thomas Callahan '24 [5-6]
Kennett High School Kennett High School Finn Urie '26 Gideon Garber '28
Kennett John Arty '29 [1-6] Ellie Niekrash '29 [1-4]
Alwin Dannenberg '24 [5-6]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Caden Latchaw '23 [1-2, 5-6]
James Biles '27 [3-4]
Viana Johnston '28 [1-2]
Shane Kenney '26 [3-4]
Ben Billets '27 [5-6]
Buccaneers William Fachet '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Zachary Wells '25 [3-4]
Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Nathan Cayer '28 [3-4]
Benjamin Kennedy '27 [5-6]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Will Grah '25 Cormac Flynn '24
Raiders Everett Moulds '25 Jared Werner '25
Patuxent Patuxent Thomas Birchfield '27 [1-2]
Joseph Dibonaventuro '26 [3-6]
Andy Pico '27 [1-2]
Thomas Birchfield '27 [3-4]
Freyja Raines '27 [5-6]
Panthers Charlie Bates '27 [1-6] Freyja Raines '27 [1-2]
Andy Pico '27 [3-6]
School Without Walls School Without Walls Jackson Herritage '24 Allison Sproles '23
Varsity Kearns '24 Amory Smith '26
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Cooper Wright '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Leo Xiang '25 [3-4]
Evan Gavin '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Finarelli '25 [3-4]
Knights Eduardo Lopez '24 [1-6] Joseph Carter '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Georgia Mudd '26 [3-4]
The Tome School The Tome School Victor Schlecker '26 Emerson Stehl '26
Titans Jack Lewin '27 Ian Kyriakou '27

Conditions — 09/25/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1006.6 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.0 kn
avg  ·  max 17.4 kn
Gusts to 28.0 kn
From SSW (201°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1006.6 hPa Rain0.34 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kent Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.56
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.36 means a rating gap counts about 32% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →