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MISSA West Great Lakes Qual

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 31 19 50
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 25 31 56
3 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 62 35 97
4 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 64 60 124
5 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 41 88 129
6 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 53 94 147
7 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 88 67 155
8 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 96 75 171
9 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 86 92 178
10 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 114 99 213
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 1 2 3 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 2 25 Jacob Zils '23
Bryce Lesinski '23
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 4 4 3 4 4 2 1 1 1 5 1 1 31 Cole Schweda '23 [1-12]
Ellie Siepmann '23 [1-6]
Will Platten '23 [7-12]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 2 1 1 3 4 8 5 2 2 8 4 41 Hank Seum '23
Parker Ziegler '24
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 3 7 4 2 6 5 4 3 8 1 7 3 53 Ella Wisely '23
Aliya Determan '26
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 7 8 5 5 5 6 3 4 7 4 2 6 62 Dominik Moncur '25 [1-12]
Marco Constantini '23 [1-4, 9-10]
Alyson Liu '24 [5-8, 11-12]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 6 3 6 8 2 3 7 6 4 7 4 8 64 Paxton Denton '25
Kaeli Bohman '24
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 5 6 7 9 7 8 5 7 5 8 10 9 86 Frank Ribich '26
Jonah Brashaw '26
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 8 5 10 7 9 7 6 9 6 9 5 7 88 Wyatt Tait '23
Lorenzo Good '25
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 9 9 8 6 8 9 9 8 9 10 6 5 96 Leo Markus '23
Natalie Richardson '23
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 6 9 10 114 Caden Houge '23 [1-12]
Austin Shaw '23 [1-4, 7-12]
Georgia Green '23 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 19 Charlie Allen '24 [1-12]
Riley Jensen '23 [1-5, 7-12]
Will Platten '23 [6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 3 2 3 2 4 2 3 2 5 2 2 31 Marley Barrett '23
Ana Stewart '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 6 2 3 5 35 Stonewall Anderson '26
Paige Kurtenbach '23
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 4 5 7 5 4 5 4 4 3 6 4 9 60 Quinn O'Dell '26
Bri Bohman '24
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 5 7 4 4 5 6 6 7 4 10 5 4 67 Paul Wang '23
Evan Holmes '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 10 10 5 6 6 3 10 5 5 3 9 3 75 Erik Westgard '23
Mickey Fraser '26
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 7 4 10 9 8 8 9 6 7 7 7 6 88 Alexander Bixby '25
Sofie Muschenheim '25
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 6 8 9 8 10 10 5 8 8 4 6 10 92 Nat Green '24
Caleb Schultz '27
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 3 9 8 7 9 9 7 9 10 8 8 7 94 Akaycia Belisle '25
Mason Scheinder '26
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 9 6 6 10 7 7 8 10 9 9 10 8 99 Samuel Jackson '23 [1-12]
Hunter Wheaton '23 [1-8]
Georgia Green '23 [9-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks33557799131333
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs4412121010886644
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers55779911113355
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers6644121210108866
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders99111133557799
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons77991111335577
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans8866441212101088
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans101088664412121010
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers1111335577991313
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy121210108866441212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks4466881010121244
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs33111199775533
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers6688101012124466
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers55331111997755
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders101012124466881010
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons8810101212446688
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans77553313139977
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans99775533131399
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers121244668810101212
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1111997755331313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Cole Schweda '23 [1-12] Ellie Siepmann '23 [1-6]
Will Platten '23 [7-12]
Warhawks Charlie Allen '24 [1-12] Riley Jensen '23 [1-5, 7-12]
Will Platten '23 [6]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Ella Wisely '23 Aliya Determan '26
Zephyrs Akaycia Belisle '25 Mason Scheinder '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jacob Zils '23 Bryce Lesinski '23
Skippers Marley Barrett '23 Ana Stewart '23
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Hank Seum '23 Parker Ziegler '24
Panthers Alexander Bixby '25 Sofie Muschenheim '25
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Paxton Denton '25 Kaeli Bohman '24
Raccoons Quinn O'Dell '26 Bri Bohman '24
Orono High School Orono High School Caden Houge '23 [1-12] Austin Shaw '23 [1-4, 7-12]
Georgia Green '23 [5-6]
Spartans Samuel Jackson '23 [1-12] Hunter Wheaton '23 [1-8]
Georgia Green '23 [9-12]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Frank Ribich '26 Jonah Brashaw '26
Raiders Nat Green '24 Caleb Schultz '27
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Wyatt Tait '23 Lorenzo Good '25
Spartans Paul Wang '23 Evan Holmes '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Leo Markus '23 Natalie Richardson '23
Millers Erik Westgard '23 Mickey Fraser '26
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Dominik Moncur '25 [1-12] Marco Constantini '23 [1-4, 9-10]
Alyson Liu '24 [5-8, 11-12]
Navy Stonewall Anderson '26 Paige Kurtenbach '23

Conditions — 10/08/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1015.9 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1015.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · SW 12 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Orono/Wayzata: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Orono/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Orono/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →