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MDISA Girls Open 2023 Fall Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 15 15
2 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 26 26
3 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 27 27
4 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 35 35
5 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 47 47
6 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 60 60
7 Key School Key School Zags 63 63
8 Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 64 64
9 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 75 75
10 Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots 83 83
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 5 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 15 Claire Sullivan '25
Eliza Szymendera '25
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 4 26 Charlotte Hugo '26
Aurelea Cerny '30
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 8 1 4 4 2 2 2 1 3 27 Malia Deane '25
Anna Makovich '26
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 6 3 3 3 4 5 4 6 1 35 Ann Martino '26
Sloane Fagiolo '27
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 2 6 6 8 6 3 6 5 5 47 Clara Neeland '26 [1-9]
Annika Fisher '25 [1-5]
Lily Moss '25 [6-9]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 5 4 8 7 9 7 5 9 6 60 Abigayle Wyman '25 [1]
Emerson Stehl '26 [2-9]
Emerson Stehl '26 [1]
Abigayle Wyman '25 [2-9]
Key School Key School Zags 4 7 5 5 10 10 7 7 8 63 Mary Hayes Cobbum '27
Maya Kirshtein '26
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 10 10 7 6 5 6 9 4 7 64 Eve Cintron '26
Chloe Cummings '25
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 7 8 9 10 8 8 8 8 9 75 Madison Cannon '25
Alexandria Still '27
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots 9 9 10 9 7 9 10 10 10 83 Mia Joseph '27
Aliana Shrum '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers556699101011
Baltimore Polytechnic InstituteBaltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots66991010111112
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron9910101111121213
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets101011111212131314
Key SchoolKey School Zags111112121313141415
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons121213131414151516
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks13131414151516165
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints141415151616556
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1515161655669
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals161655669910

Conditions — 10/14/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 93%  ·  Pressure 1007.0 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity93% Pressure1007.0 hPa Rain0.27 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at The Tome: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Tome by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at The Tome: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →