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MISSA Great Oaks Qualifier Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 16 16
2 Blake School Blake School Bears 17 17
3 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 20 20
4 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 24 24
5 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 35 35
6 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 36 36
7 Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 55 55
8 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 56 56
9 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 57 57
10 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors 59 59
11 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 61 61
12 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 61 61
13 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 66 66
14 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 67 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 3 1 2 3 6 1 16 Beylan Gode '25
Lily Broklof '24
Blake School Blake School Bears 1 3 4 6 1 2 17 Teddy Bower '26
Martha Hughes '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 4 4 5 1 2 4 20 Liam Gilin '25 [1-3]
Vinny Paliga '24 [4-6]
Jack Armstrong '25 [1-3]
Liam Gilin '25 [4-6]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 2 5 1 4 3 9 24 Emerson Becker '24 [1-6]
Evelyn Hannah '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Gavin Grundei '25 [3-4]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 6 2 6 10 4 7 35 Graham Rebain '25 [1-4]
Gabe Morreale '24 [5-6]
Gabe Morreale '24 [1-4]
Graham Rebain '25 [5-6]
Troy High School Troy High School Troy 5 10 3 2 8 8 36 Rodrigo Flores '24
Jacob Ritter '24
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 10 12 10 8 10 5 55 Elise Brandt '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Sexton '24 [3-4]
Mimi Sexton '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 14 7 8 7 7 13 56 Max Eggert '26 [1-4]
Brooklyn Verplank '25 [5-6]
Lucas Williams '26 [1-4]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 7 8 13 14 9 6 57 Nathan Finkelstein '26 [1-3, 5-6]
Preston Levy '24 [4]
Bennett Waters '26 [1-3, 5-6]
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors 8 14 9 13 5 10 59 Lila Torresen '25 [1-6]
Brady Wallace '27 [1, 3]
Elsie Torresen '27 [2, 4-6]
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 9 6 12 9 11 14 61 Alex Reynolds '24 [1-6]
Max Braund '24 [1-3]
Cameron Keillor '24 [4-6]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 13 11 7 5 14 11 61 Eva Decastro '24
William Styslinger '24
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 11 13 14 12 13 3 66 Henry Elmore '25
Hadley Langoff '26
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 12 9 11 11 12 12 67 Payden Pittman '24 [1-4]
Charlie Vink '27 [5-6]
Joshua Hacker '24 [1-4]
Gavin Yonker '24 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.310+0.31
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions101011111212
Blake SchoolBlake School Bears111112121313
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks121213131414
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits131314141515
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed141415151616
Lake Forest AcademyLake Forest Academy Varsity151516161717
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ161617171818
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors171718181919
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles181819192121
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian191921212222
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red212122222323
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green222223232424
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy232324241010
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity242410101111
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions Henry Elmore '25 Hadley Langoff '26
Blake School Blake School Bears Teddy Bower '26 Martha Hughes '24
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks Emerson Becker '24 [1-6] Evelyn Hannah '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Gavin Grundei '25 [3-4]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits Eva Decastro '24 William Styslinger '24
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed Payden Pittman '24 [1-4]
Charlie Vink '27 [5-6]		 Joshua Hacker '24 [1-4]
Gavin Yonker '24 [5-6]
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity Elise Brandt '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Sexton '24 [3-4]		 Mimi Sexton '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ Graham Rebain '25 [1-4]
Gabe Morreale '24 [5-6]		 Gabe Morreale '24 [1-4]
Graham Rebain '25 [5-6]
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors Lila Torresen '25 [1-6] Brady Wallace '27 [1, 3]
Elsie Torresen '27 [2, 4-6]
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles Beylan Gode '25 Lily Broklof '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian Nathan Finkelstein '26 [1-3, 5-6]
Preston Levy '24 [4]		 Bennett Waters '26 [1-3, 5-6]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Max Eggert '26 [1-4]
Brooklyn Verplank '25 [5-6]		 Lucas Williams '26 [1-4]
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green Alex Reynolds '24 [1-6] Max Braund '24 [1-3]
Cameron Keillor '24 [4-6]
Troy High School Troy High School Troy Rodrigo Flores '24 Jacob Ritter '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity Liam Gilin '25 [1-3]
Vinny Paliga '24 [4-6]		 Jack Armstrong '25 [1-3]
Liam Gilin '25 [4-6]

Conditions — 09/24/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From NE (49°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Brother Rice (MI)/Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.49 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brother Rice (MI)/Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Brother Rice (MI)/Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI/West Bloomfield: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →