Lake Forest Academy '24
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.75 | 133 of 198 | 76 | Fall 2025 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 (fleet 1.39) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–10 (41%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 3–9 | — |
| Spring 2018 | 1 | 4–1 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (17 matches) the record is 7–10 against 7.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-22 | MISSA Central Baker Qualifier | skipper | 0.83 | 0.09 | 3–9 | 4.1 | −0.75 | 0.5 | 88% |
| 2018-04-15 | Central Team Race Scrimmage | skipper | 0.65 | 1.27 | 4–1 | 3.6 | +0.62 | 0.1 | 57% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Central Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | B | 5 | 8.0 | 0.39 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| MISSA ILCA 7 Cressy Quals Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 7 | 3.4 | 2.20 |
| MISSA Great Oaks Qualifier Gold | Skipper | A | 2 | 9.0 | 0.30 |
| MISSA GOQ RED | Skipper | A | 2 | 6.0 | 0.97 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| MISSA Central Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 12 | 25% | — |
| Central Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.0 | 0.23 |
| 2023 MISSA Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | A | 12 | 15.0 | -0.38 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| MISSA Cressy Single-handed Full Qualifier Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.9 | 1.75 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| MISSA Cressy Qualifier (ILCA 6/ Radial) Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 19.5 | 0.43 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| MISSA Cressy Qualifier (Radial) Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 26.7 | 0.09 |
| Kick Off Classic Lasers Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 2.8 | 1.53 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| May Madness | Skipper | A | 9 | 7.9 | 0.66 |
| IL State Double Handed Championship | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.7 | 1.20 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Fall Scramble | Skipper | A | 3 | 11.0 | 0.18 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Tier 3 Chicago YC JV Regatta | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.2 | 0.39 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Chicago YC JV Central Series #2 | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.1 | 1.67 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Matthew Sexton |  Rollins College |
'28 |
| ISSA | Matthew Sexton |  Lake Forest High School |
'24 |
| ISSA | Matthew Sexton |  Glenbrook South High School |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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