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Tier 3 Chicago YC JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Kohler High School Kohler High School Blue Bombers 14 14
2 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 48 48
3 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 63 63
4 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 7 68 68
5 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 79 79
6 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 89 89
7 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 91 91
8 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 1 91 91
9 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Mixed 95 95
10 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 3 98 98
11 Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 1 102 102
12 Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 2 104 104
13 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 105 105
14 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 8 109 109
15 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 111 111
16 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 128 128
17 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 165 165
18 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 2 168 168
19 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 174 174
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Kohler High School Kohler High School Blue Bombers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 14 Douglas Wake '18
Ben Wake '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 3 2 8 2 8 5 5 4 8 3 48 Garrett Cook '20 [1-10]
Alex Adams '20 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Molly Morris '21 [3-4, 8-9]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 10 6 11 6 2 2 3 10 3 10 63 Nicholas Peluchiwski '18 [1-10]
Caroline Creamer '20 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Reyna Puri '22 [3-4, 8-9]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 7 9 5 6 4 12 3 7 3 7 12 68 Nate Alter '19
Anna Mcbride '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 8 11 4 8 7 8 9 11 11 2 79 Ulysses Hennelly '20
Miles Ford '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 16 4 10 3 17 17 14 2 5 1 89 Henry Merrilees '20 [1-10]
Quin Doughty '21 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Paris Levin '20 [3-4, 8-9]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 2 9 5 14 9 4 4 OCS 9 15 91 Alex Rietz '20
Markus Tam '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 1 5 10 16 11 14 6 6 8 1 14 91 Cecily Marden '21
Frances Depke '21
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Mixed 12 12 2 RAF 5 11 2 12 10 9 95 Spencer Glickson '22
Kyle Mcdonald '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 3 17 19 3 5 4 14 12 7 4 13 98 Ted Lutton '20
Sammy Stoeber '20
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 1 4 3 18 10 11 15 8 13 15 5 102 Matthew Sexton '24
Ryan Gullang '19
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 2 7 14 7 15 13 9 13 9 6 11 104 Thaxter Shaw '19
Mimi Sexton '25
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 13 13 12 13 10 10 10 5 12 7 105 Davis Alvarado '20
Sarah Trunsky '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 8 6 15 13 7 15 12 16 6 13 6 109 Maureen Kelly '19 [1-5]
Zach Nagel '19 [6-10]
Zach Nagel '19 [1-5]
Maureen Kelly '19 [6-10]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 11 8 9 17 3 7 15 17 16 8 111 Aidan Lane '20 [1-10]
Nick Leamon '20 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Moriah Hirsh '20 [3-4, 8-9]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 15 7 15 9 6 13 11 14 19 19 128 Maxime Visa '19
Toby Riecke '21
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 19 16 14 18 19 16 17 16 14 16 165 Patrick Fisher '20
Hannah Post '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 2 14 18 17 16 18 18 18 15 17 17 168 Stella Roney '21 [1-10]
Kate Robbins '21 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Varun Sadasivam '21 [3-4, 8-9]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 18 17 19 12 16 19 19 18 18 18 174 Matt Bussey '20
Tim Mooney '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 15555555555
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 210101010101010101010
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 317171717171717171717
Kohler High SchoolKohler High School Blue Bombers19191919191919191919
Lake Forest AcademyLake Forest Academy Varsity 14444444444
Lake Forest AcademyLake Forest Academy Varsity 221212121212121212121
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity3333333333
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 11111111111
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 26666666666
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 38888888888
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 414141414141414141414
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 515151515151515151515
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 620202020202020202020
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 712121212121212121212
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 813131313131313131313
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders2222222222
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 116161616161616161616
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 211111111111111111111
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 Ulysses Hennelly '20 Miles Ford '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 Maxime Visa '19 Toby Riecke '21
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 Matt Bussey '20 Tim Mooney '21
Kohler High School Kohler High School Blue Bombers Douglas Wake '18 Ben Wake '21
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 1 Matthew Sexton '24 Ryan Gullang '19
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 2 Thaxter Shaw '19 Mimi Sexton '25
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Mixed Spencer Glickson '22 Kyle Mcdonald '23
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity Nicholas Peluchiwski '18 [1-10] Caroline Creamer '20 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Reyna Puri '22 [3-4, 8-9]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 Davis Alvarado '20 Sarah Trunsky '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 Garrett Cook '20 [1-10] Alex Adams '20 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Molly Morris '21 [3-4, 8-9]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 3 Ted Lutton '20 Sammy Stoeber '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 Henry Merrilees '20 [1-10] Quin Doughty '21 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Paris Levin '20 [3-4, 8-9]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 Aidan Lane '20 [1-10] Nick Leamon '20 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Moriah Hirsh '20 [3-4, 8-9]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 Alex Rietz '20 Markus Tam '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 7 Nate Alter '19 Anna Mcbride '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 8 Maureen Kelly '19 [1-5]
Zach Nagel '19 [6-10]		 Zach Nagel '19 [1-5]
Maureen Kelly '19 [6-10]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders Patrick Fisher '20 Hannah Post '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 1 Cecily Marden '21 Frances Depke '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 2 Stella Roney '21 [1-10] Kate Robbins '21 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Varun Sadasivam '21 [3-4, 8-9]

Conditions — 04/07/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1021.4 hPa

Temperature

31°F
↑ 36°F   ↓ 22°F
Feels like 23°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From NW (312°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1021.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hinsdale Central/Hyman G. Rickover Na/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hinsdale Central/Hyman G. Rickover Na/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Hinsdale Central/Hyman G. Rickover Na/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →