Latin School of Chicago '18
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 (fleet 1.75) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 14–7 (67%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 1 | — | 14–7 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (21 matches) the record is 14–7 against 7.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+6.4). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05-26 | 2018 NIT Team Racing Regatta | crew | 1.66 | 3.48 | 14–7 | 7.6 | +1.81 | 6.5 | <1% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Tier 3 Chicago YC JV Regatta | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.3 | 1.46 |
| Culver Spring Regatta | Skipper | A | 3 | 7.7 | 0.56 |
| 2018 NIT Team Racing Regatta | Crew | TR | 9 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Z Trophy JV Regatta | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.0 | 0.69 |
| MISSA Central JV Series #1 | Skipper | A | 4 | 7.8 | 1.09 |
| Dusty Waters | Skipper | B | 5 | 11.0 | 0.03 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Nicholas Peluchiwski |  University of Notre Dame |
'22 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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