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May Madness

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 44 49 93
2 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 47 46 93
3 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Mixed 54 42 96
4 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 76 40 116
5 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Mixed 48 80 128
6 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 78 68 146
7 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Mixed 53 104 157
8 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 95 66 161
9 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Mixed 120 74 194
10 Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 93 102 195
11 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Mixed 95 123 218
12 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 151 85 236
13 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 133 140 273
14 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 182 102 284
15 Trinity High School (IL) Trinity High School (IL) Mixed 143 144 287
16 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 143 147 290
17 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 103 192 295
18 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Orange 154 149 303
19 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 1 141 177 318
20 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Mixed 180 176 356
21 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 2 189 202 391
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 1 1 5 16 2 6 5 2 5 1 44 Luke Hosek '20
Lauren Mellinger '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 2 4 1 6 11 5 6 8 2 2 47 Hank Seum '23
Kristen Geib '20
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Mixed 6 12 3 3 9 2 4 1 3 5 48 Henry Scholz '23
Zoe Zoghlin '21
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Mixed 10 10 7 1 3 4 3 3 4 8 53 Spencer Glickson '22
Paige Roby '23
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Mixed 3 3 4 13 4 8 2 7 7 3 54 Jack Schweda '20
Nathan Kamath '24
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 8 8 18 5 6 17 1 6 1 6 76 Ryan Henderson '19
Elias Henke '19
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 7 16 8 4 7 1 9 4 9 13 78 Robbie Dresen '25
Stella Townshend '22
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity DNS 6 2 9 8 7 8 10 6 15 93 Matthew Sexton '24
Mimi Sexton '26
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Mixed 9 7 6 2 10 9 16 16 10 10 95 Jackson Walker '23
Will Burke '21
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 17 2 13 8 5 13 13 9 8 7 95 Ella Reinemann '19
Lindsay Summers '19
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 4 5 16 10 14 12 11 5 DSQ 4 103 John Hultquist '20 [1-10]
Julia Overmyer '23 [1-6]
Aidan Janc '21 [7-10]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Mixed 5 9 10 7 DSQ 16 17 12 11 11 120 Marissa Tegeder '21 [1-10]
Lilly Tinder '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ian Trotier '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins DSQ 15 9 11 13 11 10 15 18 9 133 Margo Cicero '22 [1-10]
Rossignel Wolfe '22 [1-4, 7-10]
Cassidy Skafish '22 [5-6]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 1 DNS 18 14 14 1 10 15 13 15 19 141 Keg Avakian '22
Abbey Walls '20
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 13 11 15 18 12 3 20 18 13 20 143 Jack Williams '19
Emma Butcher '20
Trinity High School (IL) Trinity High School (IL) Mixed 16 17 11 12 15 14 12 14 14 18 143 Katie Faris '19
Nicole Ciserella '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 11 13 12 20 20 19 19 11 12 14 151 Alec Wyers '20
Adler Wright '22
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Orange 14 14 17 19 17 15 7 19 16 16 154 Mary Castellini '21
Saskia Teterycz '21
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Mixed 12 19 20 17 19 21 21 20 19 12 180 Willem Aspinall '21
Daren Nerad '20
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles DNS 21 21 15 16 18 18 17 17 17 182 Molly Sheridan '21
Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 2 15 20 19 21 18 20 14 21 20 21 189 Gavin Dempsey '22 [1-10]
Lily Drobny '22 [1-6]
Ali Jensen '22 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 5 4 5 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 40 Ulysses Hennelly '20
Lily Allen '19
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Mixed 7 3 4 2 13 1 1 3 4 4 42 Ella Schieble '22
Tess Kruetzman '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 6 5 11 7 1 4 3 1 5 3 46 Cole Barre '21
Nick Lorentz '21
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 2 2 9 8 3 2 2 8 12 1 49 William Frendreiss '20
Audra Spokas-Jaros '21
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 10 11 1 1 6 6 8 11 2 10 66 Sam Delasanta '20
No Show
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 9 6 10 6 5 7 7 6 7 5 68 Patrick Levins '22
Jack Elias '20
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Mixed 14 8 2 DSQ 2 3 9 5 1 8 74 Carly Kiss '21
David Kiss '23
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Mixed 3 7 3 16 14 11 4 2 13 7 80 Zach Biela '20 [1-5]
Leo Kumar '23 [6-10]
Tristan Mcdonald '24 [1-5]
Kyle Mcdonald '23 [6-10]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 1 1 16 9 7 9 14 10 6 12 85 Julian Bornstien '20
Benjamin Luu '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 11 10 7 4 8 15 11 15 8 13 102 Michael Stewart '21
William Clancy '22
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 12 13 6 5 10 14 13 13 10 6 102 Thaxter Shaw '19
Ian Harman '22
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Mixed 13 9 14 11 9 8 10 7 9 14 104 Brit Vondersitt '20 [1-10]
John Palkovic '20 [1-5]
Isaac Martinez '23 [6-10]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Mixed 8 12 15 12 15 17 6 12 15 11 123 Eric Kunz '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Wagner '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Ellie Adams '21 [1-3]
Eric Kunz '22 [4, 7-8]
Emma Wagner '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 4 16 12 10 16 16 17 16 14 19 140 Brody Schwartz '20 [1-10]
Cassidy Skafish '22 [1-2]
Anthony Amella '22 [3-10]
Trinity High School (IL) Trinity High School (IL) Mixed 15 15 13 15 17 10 18 9 RDG 18 144 Sydney Mandell '22
Lucy Harley '23
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 17 14 17 14 11 13 12 18 16 15 147 Hannah Post '20
Ryan Yedica '22
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Orange 18 17 DSQ 13 12 12 16 19 11 9 149 Avery Bryant '21 [1-10]
Yonadav Ostrreicher '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Connor Vannatta '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Mixed 16 20 20 17 19 19 15 17 17 16 176 Tim Mooney '21 [1-10]
Harper Williams '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tyler Knohl '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 1 19 18 8 18 18 18 20 20 21 17 177 Isabel Drobny '20
Ella Finnegan '20
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 21 19 18 20 21 20 19 14 19 21 192 Maura Hopkinson '20 [1-6]
Julia Overmyer '23 [7-10]
Aidan Janc '21 [1-6]
Maura Hopkinson '20 [7-10]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 2 20 21 19 19 20 21 21 21 20 20 202 Daniel Bichao '21 [1-6]
Grayson Goodwin '20 [7-10]
Grayson Goodwin '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Ali Jensen '22 [3-4]
Lily Drobny '22 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Mixed1133557799
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Mixed224466881010
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed19192121224466
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Orange44668810101212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits335577991111
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars55779911111313
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Mixed6688101012121414
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles7799111113131515
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Mixed991111131315151717
Lake Forest AcademyLake Forest Academy Varsity881010121214141616
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity10101212141416161818
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions 111111313151517171919
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions 212121414161618182020
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed13131515171719192121
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 11616181820201133
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 21717191921212244
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Mixed141416161818202011
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Mixed151517171919212122
Trinity High School (IL)Trinity High School (IL) Mixed18182020113355
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears202011335577
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins212122446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Mixed224466881010
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Mixed335577991111
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed202011335577
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Orange55779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits44668810101212
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars6688101012121414
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Mixed7799111113131515
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles881010121214141616
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Mixed10101212141416161818
Lake Forest AcademyLake Forest Academy Varsity991111131315151717
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity11111313151517171919
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions 112121414161618182020
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions 213131515171719192121
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed141416161818202011
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 11717191921212244
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 218182020113355
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Mixed151517171919212122
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Mixed1616181820201133
Trinity High School (IL)Trinity High School (IL) Mixed19192121224466
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears212122446688
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Jack Schweda '20 Nathan Kamath '24
Mixed Ella Schieble '22 Tess Kruetzman '19
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Willem Aspinall '21 Daren Nerad '20
Mixed Tim Mooney '21 [1-10] Harper Williams '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tyler Knohl '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Mary Castellini '21 Saskia Teterycz '21
Orange Avery Bryant '21 [1-10] Yonadav Ostrreicher '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Connor Vannatta '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Ryan Henderson '19 Elias Henke '19
Wildkits Ulysses Hennelly '20 Lily Allen '19
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School John Hultquist '20 [1-10] Julia Overmyer '23 [1-6]
Aidan Janc '21 [7-10]
Friars Maura Hopkinson '20 [1-6]
Julia Overmyer '23 [7-10]		 Aidan Janc '21 [1-6]
Maura Hopkinson '20 [7-10]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Spencer Glickson '22 Paige Roby '23
Mixed Brit Vondersitt '20 [1-10] John Palkovic '20 [1-5]
Isaac Martinez '23 [6-10]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Molly Sheridan '21 Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Eagles Michael Stewart '21 William Clancy '22
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Matthew Sexton '24 Mimi Sexton '26
Varsity Thaxter Shaw '19 Ian Harman '22
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Henry Scholz '23 Zoe Zoghlin '21
Mixed Zach Biela '20 [1-5]
Leo Kumar '23 [6-10]		 Tristan Mcdonald '24 [1-5]
Kyle Mcdonald '23 [6-10]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Luke Hosek '20 Lauren Mellinger '21
Varsity William Frendreiss '20 Audra Spokas-Jaros '21
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Keg Avakian '22 Abbey Walls '20
Lions 1 Isabel Drobny '20 Ella Finnegan '20
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Gavin Dempsey '22 [1-10] Lily Drobny '22 [1-6]
Ali Jensen '22 [7-10]
Lions 2 Daniel Bichao '21 [1-6]
Grayson Goodwin '20 [7-10]		 Grayson Goodwin '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Ali Jensen '22 [3-4]
Lily Drobny '22 [7-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Hank Seum '23 Kristen Geib '20
Mixed Cole Barre '21 Nick Lorentz '21
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Jackson Walker '23 Will Burke '21
Mixed Eric Kunz '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Wagner '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Ellie Adams '21 [1-3]
Eric Kunz '22 [4, 7-8]
Emma Wagner '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Marissa Tegeder '21 [1-10] Lilly Tinder '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ian Trotier '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Mixed Carly Kiss '21 David Kiss '23
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Ella Reinemann '19 Lindsay Summers '19
Raiders 1 Sam Delasanta '20 No Show
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Jack Williams '19 Emma Butcher '20
Raiders 2 Hannah Post '20 Ryan Yedica '22
Trinity High School (IL) Trinity High School (IL) Katie Faris '19 Nicole Ciserella '21
Mixed Sydney Mandell '22 Lucy Harley '23
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Alec Wyers '20 Adler Wright '22
Mixed Julian Bornstien '20 Benjamin Luu '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Stella Townshend '22
Bears Patrick Levins '22 Jack Elias '20
Whitney Young Whitney Young Margo Cicero '22 [1-10] Rossignel Wolfe '22 [1-4, 7-10]
Cassidy Skafish '22 [5-6]
Dolphins Brody Schwartz '20 [1-10] Cassidy Skafish '22 [1-2]
Anthony Amella '22 [3-10]

Conditions — 05/11/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From SE (134°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine2.5 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1019.7 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn* · E 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pewaukee Yacht Club: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.22 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pewaukee Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Pewaukee Yacht Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →